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Message
Talking heads saying Fed is about to pivot
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:18 pm
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:18 pm
A lot of rumblings that the fed is about to turn dove and only do another 2 rate hikes.
Daddy Bidens handlers laid the dick into Ole Powell.
What say the great financial minds of the MT oh wise one's.
Daddy Bidens handlers laid the dick into Ole Powell.
What say the great financial minds of the MT oh wise one's.
13
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:26 pm to GREENHEAD22
No
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:34 pm to GREENHEAD22
What's with all the downvotes, I just asked the question.
For the record I don't think they are and the CPI print coming up will only reinforce it.
Just making sure I am not missing anything.
For the record I don't think they are and the CPI print coming up will only reinforce it.
Just making sure I am not missing anything.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:34 pm to GREENHEAD22
It's a pick your poison scenario isn't it? If they don't raise the rates inflation will continue to kill consumers, if they do raise the rates then you push towards a recession.
Maybe the dems are trying to time it for when the Republicans take back the house and senate. I wouldn't put it past them.
Maybe the dems are trying to time it for when the Republicans take back the house and senate. I wouldn't put it past them.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:36 pm to tiggerthetooth
That's is the tinfoil take that I also wouldn't dismiss out of hand. Never put anything past the government, especially this administration.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:42 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
Daddy Bidens handlers laid the dick into Ole Powell.
I heard an interesting speculation that it was to the Republicans overall benefit to lose the 2020 presidential election. Mostly because the energy, fiscal, and international problems were likely to be problems no matter what (especially the effects of inflation downstream from the massive money printing and distribution during Covid).
The downstream benefits of course being elections in 2022 and 2024.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:46 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
Never put anything past the government, especially this administration.
Sounds like exactly the kind of thing a desperate imbecile politician would do to save himself at the expense of the entire country.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:48 pm to tiggerthetooth
I do miss Russians take on these matters, him and Doc going mia has hurt the macro chops of this place.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 8:59 pm to GREENHEAD22
Double digit inflation.
Sure.
Sure.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 9:07 pm to molsusports
quote:
speculation...the energy, fiscal, and international problems were likely to be problems no matter what (especially the effects of inflation downstream from the massive money printing and distribution during Covid).
Most people not blinded by partisan politics would not call that speculation. Be it Biden or Trump, it was going to happen. Issues with inflation, energy, and supply lines are happening globally.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 9:09 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
A lot of rumblings that the fed is about to turn dove and only do another 2 rate hikes.
Link?
Exactly who of note is saying this?
Posted on 6/6/22 at 9:35 pm to BottomlandBrew
quote:
Most people not blinded by partisan politics would not call that speculation. Be it Biden or Trump, it was going to happen. Issues with inflation, energy, and supply lines are happening globally.
That's my bias.
Setting apart the total incompetence of pretty much every major American politician of note?
There's a big shite sandwich on the plate that even schrewd leaders would find difficult to manage
Posted on 6/6/22 at 10:11 pm to molsusports
That is the crux, either raise rates and hammer the economy and have difficulty servicing our huge debt. Or let inflation run.
I feel like there was a discussion on being able to service the debt and some posters explained how the Fed has a way out of that. I could be remembering wrong.
Do they cook the CPI numbers and let inflation run to help inflate our way to reducing the debt.
No good options.
I feel like there was a discussion on being able to service the debt and some posters explained how the Fed has a way out of that. I could be remembering wrong.
Do they cook the CPI numbers and let inflation run to help inflate our way to reducing the debt.
No good options.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 10:12 pm to iAmBatman
Was talked about on one of the Fox Business shows today and lots of online/youtube, CNN ran an article on it last week.
Posted on 6/6/22 at 10:24 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
lots of online/youtube
quote:
CNN ran an article on it last week.
So link it then
Posted on 6/6/22 at 11:30 pm to tiggerthetooth
quote:
It's a pick your poison scenario isn't it? If they don't raise the rates inflation will continue to kill consumers, if they do raise the rates then you push towards a recession
That's one of the issues with macro policies being political, like everything else, in today's day and age. Politicians and political appointees aren't going to push monetary policy that will hurt in the short term for the benefit of the long term. They know voters memories are short and the ballot box will reflect what they feel last week and today. It would not surprise me at all if they chill the rate hikes to prevent immediate pain and let Republicans deal with the continued long term inflation issue.
The only time politicians are comfortable inflicting current pain is if they need to in order to drive an agenda item, and they need to get the job done before the next election.
Posted on 6/7/22 at 8:08 am to GREENHEAD22
Fed is more focused on Core CPI which is ex energy and food. That is slowing and will go down. Headline CPI includes energy and food is soaring but the Fed will put a large blame on this due to Russia/Ukraine and China shutdown.
So yes, I agree with you that late summer/early Fall the Fed will come out and say we’ve done all we can do.
You also have to take note that energy/food increase is technically a brake to the economy as well. So they’re getting leveraged tightening going on currently.
So yes, I agree with you that late summer/early Fall the Fed will come out and say we’ve done all we can do.
You also have to take note that energy/food increase is technically a brake to the economy as well. So they’re getting leveraged tightening going on currently.
Posted on 6/7/22 at 8:19 am to GREENHEAD22
quote:
What's with all the downvotes, I just asked the question.
Actually, you said that there is a belief the fed is about to pivot. Downvotes are for when someone disagrees with a post. Many, including me, disagree that the fed is going to pivot when inflation is roaring out of control.
This post was edited on 6/7/22 at 6:35 pm
Posted on 6/7/22 at 8:30 am to GREENHEAD22
Instead of asking a bunch of drones that think the Fed can “do something” to fix inflation by raising IOER, why don’t you go check out what the market thinks and which direction it’s trending.
Posted on 6/7/22 at 8:51 am to tiggerthetooth
If we know that is a possibility then one has got to know the Pimps, Thieves and Whores know.
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