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Over/Under for Russian invasion of Ukraine - 10 days What do you think?

Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:40 am
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99808 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:40 am
I am taking the under.

Russian amphibious ships and support are transiting the English Channel as we speak and should be in the Black Sea within 8 days (in support of what's already there [Russia's Black Sea Fleet]).
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
61829 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:41 am to
By Feb 1, I'd assume.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27421 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:42 am to
Easily over. There will not be a formal invasion of Ukraine. To the extent Russian eventually annexes Donetsk and Luhansk without firing a shot, it will occur after February 1.
Posted by 308
the backwoods of Mississippi
Member since Sep 2020
2048 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:42 am to
Over.

After the Winter Olympics.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
68904 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:44 am to

Has Putin done the math to see if the cost of invasion/war was actually cheaper than paying off Ukrainian politicians to get what he wants?


It seems that the Chinese have figured out that the later is more cost effective.
Posted by Mellow Drama
Making Groceries
Member since Aug 2020
4028 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:44 am to


Will Joe Blow come to Ukraine's aid, since Hunter is managing Ukraine's natural gas business with such acumen?
Posted by Mike Joyce
Member since Jan 2021
393 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:45 am to
Putin will not dare try anything with Brandon watching.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72419 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Over.

After the Winter Olympics.
That is China’s invasion of Taiwan.

Russia, most likely, doesn’t give two shits about the olympics.
Posted by KingBeingking
Member since Jul 2014
2388 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:49 am to
As an American troop over in Eastern Europe, I’m intrigued by the situation.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27421 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:50 am to
quote:

That is China’s invasion of Taiwan

Along with OP, this also goes on the list of things that OMLandshark and John Bolton desperately want to happen, but won’t.
This post was edited on 1/21/22 at 11:51 am
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
30866 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:51 am to
Ukraine has around 3000 nukes....... How bad do they wanna stay independent
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18207 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:52 am to
They are going to wait until after the Olympics in my opinion.

Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27421 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Ukraine has around 3000 nukes.......

You keep repeating this lie. Ukraine has zero nuclear weapons.
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
16871 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

To the extent Russian eventually annexes Donetsk and Luhansk without firing a shot, it will occur after February 1.


Annexation will not solve Putin’s problem.

He’s going to move to the extent that it prevents Ukraine from being a NATO member.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:53 am to
Not invading.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27421 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:53 am to
quote:

He’s going to move to the extent that it prevents Ukraine from being a NATO member.


He has already done that. Ukraine will not be a NATO member and is nowhere close to becoming one.

He will annex the Donbass though.
Posted by LookSquirrel
Old Millville
Member since Oct 2019
6189 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:54 am to
Putin does not need Ukraine, so why take it over? He already has the part he needed in Crimea. The rest of the country is poor and would be a drain on the Russian economy.

But! If we keep poking the bear, who knows.
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:57 am to
Im taking the under. Bought more oil stocks and waiting for them to move up. Too the moon!
Posted by ninthward
Boston, MA
Member since May 2007
20531 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 11:58 am to
no chance
its all to make biden look bad

now if some CIA-backed Ukrainian spooks gas people well...
Posted by Sasquatch45
Earth
Member since Jul 2021
1307 posts
Posted on 1/21/22 at 12:02 pm to
They are waiting for favorable weather to attack
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