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re: Why would China not be able to take down Taiwan easily?
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:45 pm to WKUHilltopper
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:45 pm to WKUHilltopper
no sea lift capability now there's your answer boy, run along and let the grown ups talk politics!
0
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:46 pm to WKUHilltopper
quote:
I’m woefully ignorant of the dynamics involved, but if someone wants to share, I’d love to hear why.
Just looking at it with no knowledge I would think China could take Taiwan fairly easily. I’m sure China has plenary of spies already in Taiwan, they are way larger in population and technology (I think), they are trying to rival us as the supreme superpower…
So why am I not to think China wouldn’t make light work Taiwan
I'm sure the Chinese could simply overwhelm/overrun the island of Taiwan if they put away all concerns of losses. Taiwan has some decent air defense batteries along with some other US defensive weaponry.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:48 pm to WKUHilltopper
We do not need another conflict.....but China sees the opening. I sure hope not. And now we got Putin helping Iran.....that is BS!
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:51 pm to WKUHilltopper
Because if you have been paying attention to Iran, all the top of the line Chinese kit that Iran had didn’t work worth a frick. Misses, air defenses, you name it we went through it like a hot knife through butter, The Taiwanese are armed with US made kit that is far superior to Chinas stuff.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:52 pm to WKUHilltopper
I know a guy who is fairly high ranking in the Air Force, who has spent a significant portion of his career planning the US response to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
His exact words to me “we cannot stop them if they really want to take it.“
It’s too close to China. It would be a logistical nightmare for us.
His exact words to me “we cannot stop them if they really want to take it.“
It’s too close to China. It would be a logistical nightmare for us.
This post was edited on 3/15/26 at 6:54 pm
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:55 pm to WKUHilltopper
Logistics. Getting troops from
Mainland to eastern side of Taiwan. Believe best landing beaches are in the east side.
Also only a few months ideal tidal window from what I remember.
They would need air superiority over the island and around the area. Would need sea superiority in the water between Taiwan and China and sea parity east of the island.
1st they need to get troops to Taiwan and then they need to keep them supplied. Would need to do it fast before. uS navy got fully mobilized in the area.
Mainland to eastern side of Taiwan. Believe best landing beaches are in the east side.
Also only a few months ideal tidal window from what I remember.
They would need air superiority over the island and around the area. Would need sea superiority in the water between Taiwan and China and sea parity east of the island.
1st they need to get troops to Taiwan and then they need to keep them supplied. Would need to do it fast before. uS navy got fully mobilized in the area.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:55 pm to WKUHilltopper
Taiwaneese are sneaky.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 6:57 pm to WKUHilltopper
Zero battle experience in over 50 years.
Zero amphibious capability.
Taiwan has more spies than China.
Wuhan was revealed worldwide before the inept US Government or MSM said a thing.
Zero amphibious capability.
Taiwan has more spies than China.
Wuhan was revealed worldwide before the inept US Government or MSM said a thing.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:00 pm to thetempleowl
quote:
If China shoots their load and fails, Xi would likely be killed. China goes back 20 years and is blacklisted by the world.
Risk reward ratio heavily states they won't.
Also, what if they succeed? The US would cut off all fuel supply to the region. The US, Europe and the ME would all cease trading with them. We’d choke them out economically.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:04 pm to WKUHilltopper
One of these days they're gonna go take it, then look at us like "We put up with your wars. It's time for you to put up with ours."
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:16 pm to WKUHilltopper
This generation of Chinese men have to provide for their parents, their wife's parents, and covid surviving grandparents.
Next generation is the target.
Only chance is if they can make a deal with Trump.
Next generation is the target.
Only chance is if they can make a deal with Trump.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:23 pm to WKUHilltopper
Its the most heavily defended real estate in the world. My accounting prof was from Tawain, he said his office had pencils, paper, a cheap calculator and a 50. BMG in it because his window overlooked a strategic alley.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:27 pm to Strannix
Hows that Arizona chip plant coming along?
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:27 pm to tigeraddict
Everyone acts as if everyone on Taiwan is opposed to reunification. There's a reason the pro-independence side has always refused a referundum. A significant portion of them would fight on China's side if they came.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 7:31 pm to WKUHilltopper
I would think that while China could do it, it would be extremely expensive for them.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 8:30 pm to WKUHilltopper
Look at it the same way the entire middle east hasn't taken down Isreal.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 8:32 pm to TrueTiger
This is a fact
Very costly for Chiba
Very costly for Chiba
Posted on 3/15/26 at 8:37 pm to WKUHilltopper
Keep in mind. They have to not only be guaranteed (in their minds) that they can take it but also that they can hold it. Otherwise, they won’t move.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 8:44 pm to WKUHilltopper
The straight of Taiwan is only accessible a few months out the year for 1. April-May and sometimes October.
The Davidson window is predicted around 2027.
Although, their military (Navy) isnt quite ready but as said around 2027.
The Davidson window is predicted around 2027.
Although, their military (Navy) isnt quite ready but as said around 2027.
Posted on 3/15/26 at 9:12 pm to WKUHilltopper
Militarily...Many of the challenges are mentioned by others in the thread. The most important are: a very narrow window of attack (2 months per year) plus the inability to gain operational or tactical surprise (indication and warnings of an attack would be unambiguous), Taiwan anti-ship missiles & artillery, difficulty logistically sustaining operations (especially once the strait becomes rugged), China's lack of amphibious assault craft, etc. Biggest advantage, though, is economical.
Economically...Taiwan is a decade ahead of the remainder of the world in producing state-of-the art microchips needed for advanced weapons and industrial applications. The chip gap is so wide, its potential destruction would severely damage China's economy.
Politically...Taiwan is safe as long as it stays away from the "I" word. China will attack and conquer them, not matter the cost, if Taiwan pushes for Independence.
Economically...Taiwan is a decade ahead of the remainder of the world in producing state-of-the art microchips needed for advanced weapons and industrial applications. The chip gap is so wide, its potential destruction would severely damage China's economy.
Politically...Taiwan is safe as long as it stays away from the "I" word. China will attack and conquer them, not matter the cost, if Taiwan pushes for Independence.
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