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re: Why are many assuming Letlow wins the runoff?
Posted on 5/17/26 at 6:56 am to Riverside
Posted on 5/17/26 at 6:56 am to Riverside
quote:
Trump will play it cool
Now that Cassidy's gone, I think he'll divert his attention elsewhere
quote:
Fleming needs to make round 2 a referendum on Landry and DEI
It's his only shot. It might get ugly
0
Posted on 5/17/26 at 7:01 am to Riverside
quote:
I don’t see how she grows her base of support. The Fleming block isn’t moving and the Cassidy vote didn’t like her in the first round. I think she’s cooked.
The Cassidy vote didn't like Fleming either.
Big question is how many people won't show up at all for the runoff. The ABC voters already have what they wanted.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 7:10 am to Riverside
What is Letlow’s stance on Carbon capture ? I know Fleming has come out strongly against it. One of the reasons I voted for him
Posted on 5/17/26 at 7:30 am to KCT
quote:Trump's endorsement seems to have made people ignore her DEI support and the fact that she's shacking up with a carbon capture lobbyist.
I hope Fleming wins. Anything can happen between now and the run-off. That being said, she appears to be in good shape with 45% of the vote tonight.
Everything about this chick screams democrat but Trump anointed her so sheep DGAF.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 7:45 am to Riverside
Fleming needs to educate Louisiana about his resume and highlight Letlow's main accomplishment was her husband getting elected.
Unfortunately, this involves educating Louisiana.
Unfortunately, this involves educating Louisiana.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 7:52 am to Penrod
Flemiing's support was deep but was never wide. Yet it wasn't that deep, per FEC reporting, his supporters didn't think he was worth sending a few bucks to help his campaign. He loaned his campaign $10 million for not much
This post was edited on 5/17/26 at 7:53 am
Posted on 5/17/26 at 8:49 am to Riverside
quote:
Why are many assuming Letlow wins the runoff?
Letlow ran against 2 other major candidates and only got 45% of the vote.
"Only" 45%?
Fleming got only 28%. Runoffs generally have lower turnout (30%-60% lower). What this means is that the runoff is likely to be decided by who has the most momentum.
-She beat Fleming by nearly 20 points in the general election. That's momentum Fleming doesn't have.
-She has Trump's endorsement. That's yuge momentum Fleming doesn't have (or has only limited access to via having worked in the Trump I administration).
-The real push in the general was to get rid of Cassidy. That's done. At best both Fleming and Letlow share that decline in momentum equally, which ends up being a positive for Letlow.
I'm not saying it's impossible, but highly improbable that Fleming wins the runoff.
This post was edited on 5/17/26 at 11:53 am
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:13 am to Bard
All of which is sad, because the only reason she is being backed is that Johnson and Scalise see her as a lock to vote in line with the party. Plus the carbon capture lobby.
I really don’t get why she is in office (but for the money). Her late husband won one race. That’s it. That’s the extent of her resume. Fleming has a much stronger resume. Not sure why Trump endorsed her but for the other reps telling him to. Sigh.
I really don’t get why she is in office (but for the money). Her late husband won one race. That’s it. That’s the extent of her resume. Fleming has a much stronger resume. Not sure why Trump endorsed her but for the other reps telling him to. Sigh.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:27 am to Riverside
1) Trump
2) This close to 50% in a primary usually translates to a win due to decreased turnout in the run-off
3) Trump
4) Shes a woman, and will get a decent portion of Cassidys N.O. base due to that fact
5) Trump
6) Fleming is 75 years old, and the states voters just told judges that had to retire at 70 years old
7) Trump
8) Fleming called Trump reprehensible (just like Cassidy did in his concession speech), so they are a lot alike
9) Landry
2) This close to 50% in a primary usually translates to a win due to decreased turnout in the run-off
3) Trump
4) Shes a woman, and will get a decent portion of Cassidys N.O. base due to that fact
5) Trump
6) Fleming is 75 years old, and the states voters just told judges that had to retire at 70 years old
7) Trump
8) Fleming called Trump reprehensible (just like Cassidy did in his concession speech), so they are a lot alike
9) Landry
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:31 am to Riverside
It’s simple math based on the primary results.
Try just a little bit.
Try just a little bit.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:40 am to ataraxia
quote:
s. I told you three months
Yet this account is less than a month old. Alter
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:45 am to RobbBobb
Fleming seems to have a ceiling. He did win State Treasurer against weak opponents. His third statewide race and couldn't come close to closing the deal.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:51 am to TDFreak
quote:
All of which is sad, because the only reason she is being backed is that Johnson and Scalise see her as a lock to vote in line with the party.
At the end of the day, what else is there really to care about for a Senator, from the perspective of a voter?
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:57 am to Riverside
quote:
Fleming needs to make round 2 a referendum on Landry and DEI.
And that her fiancé is a lobbyist for carbon sequestration.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 9:59 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:As long as Scalise and Johnson are in-line with your own politics or pocketbook. I lean more towards people with the pocketbooks are taking advantage of the middle class conservative voter with the Letlow ticket.
At the end of the day, what else is there really to care about for a Senator, from the perspective of a voter?
Posted on 5/17/26 at 10:01 am to Riverside
Women will vote overwhelmingly for her as they did yesterday.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 10:34 am to TigerAllNightLong
Solid theory. Not gonna lie, Riverside secretly being Jeff Crouere would explain a lot, and not in a good way.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 10:38 am to jorconalx
Imagine being this confidently stupid while fabricating evidence for your own conspiracy theory.
Registered in 2023 and this idiot still typed “less than a month old” with complete confidence.
Registered in 2023 and this idiot still typed “less than a month old” with complete confidence.
Posted on 5/17/26 at 10:41 am to ataraxia
Yep you’re right. My bad. You can still go frick yourself though
Posted on 5/17/26 at 10:51 am to honeybadger07
quote:
It’s simple math based on the primary results.
Try just a little bit.
Speaking of simple math, how do Letlow and Flemings war chests compare?
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