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Why are many assuming Letlow wins the runoff?

Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:11 am
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10709 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:11 am
Letlow ran against 2 other major candidates and only got 45% of the vote. We can deduce from this that roughly 55% of voters, for various reasons, had an issue with her candidacy.

Why are we to think she will grow her coalition in the next round? Why are many assuming her win in the next round is a given?

The only positive Letlow has is Trump’s endorsement which the results show wasn’t a deciding factor for 55% of the voters. If anything it would appear that Letlow has hit her ceiling for support.
Posted by Coastal Tiger
Along the vanishing Louisiana coast
Member since Apr 2005
2306 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:14 am to
Because she will.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
37314 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:15 am to
Donald says she’s good, and her husband died so regardless of anything else she has to win.

That one time she tweeted something or other that said Trump was good.
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
21054 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:19 am to
What % of the electorate had some sort of issue with the 2 losers?
Posted by antman123
Member since Feb 2014
370 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:19 am to
because math and stuff says its pretty unlikely for 100% of the people that voted for cassidy to decide to all vote for fleming
Posted by ataraxia
Member since May 2023
59 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:43 am to
Bro you are strangely obsessed with the desire to see ya boy John not go down in flames. I told you three months ago he wasn’t going to get elected. You didn’t listen then, but now you’re just embarrassing yourself.

I promise when it’s all said and done it doesn’t really matter who gets elected. It’s all a big show, bud.

Shhhhhhhh. Go rest.
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10709 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:57 am to
Who’s alter are you?
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10709 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 12:59 am to
The same math showing DEI Queen could only get 45% of the vote?
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
49940 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:02 am to
I hope Fleming wins. Anything can happen between now and the run-off. That being said, she appears to be in good shape with 45% of the vote tonight.

I wonder if they will ask Trump to cut an ad on her behalf?
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10709 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:08 am to
I don’t see how she grows her base of support. The Fleming block isn’t moving and the Cassidy vote didn’t like her in the first round. I think she’s cooked. I think Trump will play it cool. Fleming needs to make round 2 a referendum on Landry and DEI.
Posted by ataraxia
Member since May 2023
59 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:11 am to
I’m a working-class guy (logistics) in my early 30s. My degree was in poli sci, so naturally I take an interest in this stuff.

Not everyone who disagrees with you is part of some shadow network, guy. The fact that your mind automatically jumps to “alt account” honestly says a lot about your mental state.

Now go report to John and tell him you did your best on the forums tonight.
Posted by antman123
Member since Feb 2014
370 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:16 am to
I’d put Letlow around 80–85% to win the runoff based purely on the numbers and current race setup.

There you go, chat gpt says your boy still has a chance, but not too likely
Posted by Rabby
Member since Mar 2021
1735 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:33 am to
quote:

We can deduce from this that roughly 55% of voters, for various reasons, had an issue with her candidacy.
Peculiar take on the results.
My thinking is that she took the far higher split of the anti-Cassidy crowd and will likely be pretty even in taking the pro-Cassidy voters IF they bother to vote in the general election at all. I figure that her odds are pretty good right now.
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
21213 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:33 am to
quote:

We can deduce from this that roughly 55% of voters, for various reasons, had an issue with her candidacy.

90% of that 55% will vote for Letlow. What choice do they have? Voting for Democrats is insanity.
Posted by Kafka
I am the moral conscience of TD
Member since Jul 2007
157360 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:46 am to
quote:

quote:

ataraxia
Who’s alter are you?
ataraxia

sounds like some horrible skin disease
Posted by ataraxia
Member since May 2023
59 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 1:52 am to
For the less inquisitive minds a simple Google search will tell you it is a “Greek term for a state of serene calmness, emotional tranquility, and freedom from anxiety or mental disturbance.”

So not a disease, ol’ chum. Actually, quite a fitting remedy for Riverside!
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
16416 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 5:17 am to
There's going to be plenty of smoked Fleming ham after the runoff.
Posted by TigerAllNightLong
Member since Jul 2023
1159 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 6:42 am to
quote:

Who’s alter are you?

Jeff Crouere

Maybe you should start working at your allegedly no-show government job?
This post was edited on 5/17/26 at 6:45 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55529 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 6:44 am to
quote:

Why are many assuming Letlow wins the runoff?

Note that she received more votes than her opponent in the runoff. So an argument against her runoff chances, based on her lack of primary votes, is tough to sustain.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55529 posts
Posted on 5/17/26 at 6:45 am to
quote:

What % of the electorate had some sort of issue with the 2 losers?

And the winner of the democrat primary.
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