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Whitmer +6

Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:32 am
Posted by squid_hunt
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2021
11272 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:32 am
Two weeks ago she was +16. Someone want to explain what new information just came through to make her drop so quickly right before the election?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115958 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:34 am to
Early polls are designed to discourage right leaning voters.

The later polls are designed to be more in line with reality so they can appear accurate.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95749 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:34 am to
Polling models adjusting back towards reality.

Though I’m sure Stretchin Gretchen is used to +6 from behind.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131398 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:35 am to
The polls are all over the place.

It will be interesting to look back and see which ones were most accurate.

I know if someone claiming to be a polling company contacts me, I'm not going to tell a stranger on the phone that I am MAGA as frick. That's a good way to get put on a list.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18436 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:35 am to
Lee Zeldin was only down 2 in the NY Gov race. How epic would it be to see a whack state like NY elect a Republican governor?

And I should add that Oregon is likely going to elect a Republican Gov as well.
This post was edited on 10/10/22 at 11:36 am
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
30713 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:36 am to
Realclearpolitics just flipped 12 or 13 races from leaning Dem to leaning GOP.

There are three other governorships in blue states that could flip red as well.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95749 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:36 am to
NY had Pataki as Governor in the 90s so it isn’t unprecedented.

It’s a nice thumb in the eye but not “NOLA electing a Republican mayor” levels of flying pigs.
Posted by squid_hunt
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2021
11272 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:37 am to
quote:


And I should add that Oregon is likely going to elect a Republican Gov as well.

Republican is winning by a landslide in Vermont.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53422 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:38 am to
Maybe the early polls were suppression. I don't think the Republican party is trying. I have literally only ever seen one or two Dixon ads. I see 10 Whitmer almost every day, either online or on TV.

I think the Republicans are mailing it in because the first set of candidates were knocked out on the purported signature fraud issues.

Whitmer must really be hated for this thing to even be close.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19535 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Lee Zeldin was only down 2 in the NY Gov race. How epic would it be to see a whack state like NY elect a Republican governor?


Well, Pelosi got booed at a concert full of young people in NYC if that's any sign. NYC became safe and prosperous back in Giuliani's day as mayor. Some may remember.
Posted by squid_hunt
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2021
11272 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:40 am to
quote:


Whitmer must really be hated for this thing to even be close.

Wish someone would throw a bucket or water on her.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95749 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:43 am to
Tell her it is Astroglide.
Posted by TigerFan55555
Tomball, TX
Member since Nov 2008
9583 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Wish someone would throw a bucket or water on her.



both of them
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89551 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Maybe the early polls were suppression.


They almost certainly were. Recall they had Warnock up double digits. He may very well win, but he's not winning by double digits - not with a gubernatorial race alongside that Kemp will cruise to victory.

quote:

I don't think the Republican party is trying.


This is generally a given in any mid-term except for 1994. You mean specifically in Michigan? Yes, the GOPe DGAF about Dixon or the Michigan governor's mansion because they're short-sighted political opportunists, not a legitimate governing party (see what they did with both chambers AND the WH from 2017 to 2019, their first such opportunity is almost 2 decades).
This post was edited on 10/10/22 at 11:46 am
Posted by Nosevens
Member since Apr 2019
10330 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:46 am to
Dominion has by 70% come November. Michigan voters needs to raise the pitchforks or raze the hell in that state
Posted by BigMob
Georgia
Member since Oct 2021
7625 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 11:47 am to
She’s getting sympathy votes for avoiding being kidnapped by the FBI.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
27558 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:15 pm to
What's amazing is that she has the support she does.

Democrats should not be able to get away with the shite they pulled during Covid. They should be paying a higher price than they are.
Posted by Speckhunter2012
Lake Charles
Member since Dec 2012
5847 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Two weeks ago she was +16. Someone want to explain what new information just came through to make her drop so quickly right before the election?


I thought I read somewhere in the last week or so that she and Eugene Yu of Konnech were pretty tight. In fact, Konnech is HQ'd in that state. From their Website:

ADDRESS

Konnech Headquarters: 325 East Grand River, Suite 225, East Lansing, MI 48823, USA
Research and Development: 4211 Okemos Rd. Suite 3,4, Okemos, MI 48864, USA
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:23 pm to
Unfortunately, I think that race is over and Whitmer wins. She’s had a big lead since the start.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56547 posts
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Someone want to explain what new information just came through to make her drop so quickly right before the election?


It’s statistically impossible for this to happen barring something major happening.

This is evidence of fraud occurring vial the polls. And it’s clear evidence if election interference.
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