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re: War Room guest Steve Cortes says AI is beginning to negatively affect employment in US

Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
69135 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:05 pm to
A lot of these companies are over playing their hand. This happened when cloud computing became mainstream. They think it will clear entire departments with all the efficiency. It won't.

AI will see a bigger boomerang because of the security concerns permeating through corporate America right now.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7478 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

I do hope you're tongue in cheek.


I wish.

We are entering an era where:

Humans will no longer be the most intelligent agents on Earth.

Humans will cease to make key decisions.

Human labor and creativity will no longer dominate economies.

The only debate is how long it's going to take not whether or not it will happen and the implications are frightening.

That horse is out of the barn and it cannot be stopped minus what I mentioned in my earlier post.

Our laws and leaders absolutely move too slow to save us and the competition between companies in this field mean there is absolutely no slowing it down. On the contrary, it's going to be accelerated.

The AI will move beyond the ability of humans to control. This is going to happen and no one can tell you what that means and that in itself is frightening.





Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53863 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

AI is making the best people amazingly more productive, it allows us to take a task we would farm out to a junior engineer and feed it into our corporate LLM, and continue in 5 minutes.

Things that would have taken me 6 months now take 2 weeks since I don't need to rely on as many people.



This is what I envision. The cream of the crop software engineers who truly understand the deepest understanding of software development will be relevant for awhile, those who are currently doing work supporting the real software developers are the first out the door.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53863 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

There will always be "jobs" but AI is going to cut some industries by 80-90% and then what happens?

Industries like Transportation, Finance, Customer Service, etc. are going to be heavily impacted. Can these people move to construction jobs? Sure, but would construction jobs grow if people can't buy what's be constructed?


I'm surprised in 2025 the majority of freight trains are not being operated 100% remotely and autonomous.
Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
14984 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

I wish


Fair enough points.

I do appreciate that you're looking at the longer term implications beyond the job market.

Where I'm coming from is that there have been both large and small upheavals in the past and civilization seems to adjust to the changes without everything going to pot.

While I understand this could/will be far different... so were the other upheavals until they happened.

One assumed difference that is worrisome is the general apathy that comes part and parcel with an over digitalized world.
Posted by MustWin
Member since Jul 2009
835 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:16 pm to
What concerns me is that it seems that socialism will be the end result of mass unemployment caused by AI job displacement.
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
6164 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

those who are currently doing work supporting the real software developers are the first out the door.

Software has been hot since the 1990s.

A lot of people got degrees in it without ever really getting good at it.

It can be mind numbing boring.

You have problems that just won't be solved. Bugs that defy root causing because something odd happens on the GPU, maybe we ran low on memory? Did another thread or even job have a memory leak?
Whole time, idiots who cant code are asking you when the story will close and why it's 6 weeks late.

And honestly there are always better developers out there, I've met many who's skills put mine to shame.

Often you wind up working in a new language that you aren't great at yet.

Its kind of a tough field to stay in.

So it's not shocking that a lot of CS grads decide after a year or two that they never want to code again... knowing they can still make 6 figures.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71858 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

Elon was worried about this

Not really.
Posted by Pecos Pedro
Member since Nov 2024
745 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

For example, I pay out $600k in developer expenses, I can only deduct $120k of expenses, and I pay tax on the other $480k as income. Which is ridiculous .


So then you support the OBBA that retroactively eliminates this?
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
6164 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

The AI will move beyond the ability of humans to control. This is going to happen and no one can tell you what that means and that in itself is frightening.


You are assuming that the mathematical models continue to add capabilities.

This is more a religious rant of faith than a cold look at what is possible.
Posted by Pecos Pedro
Member since Nov 2024
745 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Narax


I have no idea if you are MAGA or Commie or JooTard or what but thanks for the contributions in this thread. It is always good to have someone who knows what they are talking about in threads like this.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
26924 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Elon was worried about this.....this AI will change the world forever!
he was so worried that he started his own AI engine...
Posted by ole man
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
16888 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:46 pm to
Your not very smart
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
50962 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:47 pm to
HR at IBM is almost entirely AI, now

IBM HR via A.I.
quote:

Improve employee experience

Simplify workflows with AI and automation-enabled self-service. Generative AI helps HR teams quickly summarize information and obtain reliable answers in real time, eliminating the need to navigate lengthy policy documents or switch between apps.

HR and talent transformation consulting services can lift HR from a compliance center to a value driver. Modernize your HR function and create better employee experiences by making AI central to your strategy.


IBM just let go of though sands of HR employees.
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
28683 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

I disagree... there will still be jobs, maybe not the same jobs, but work will be available.


So...the same argument Hillary and the Democrats made about shutting down all the coal mines in West Virginia...you can just retrain all those coal miners for other jobs.

Posted by Iron Lion
Romulus
Member since Nov 2014
13754 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Your not very smart
The irony..
Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
14984 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Your not very smart


Oh, the irony in these four simple words...

My differing point of view is what makes this a discussion rather than an echo chamber.

I ain't the smartest poster on the board, but I'm comfortable in the knowledge I'm not the dumbest. Thank you for that!

Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
14984 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

So...the same argument Hillary and the Democrats made about shutting down all the coal mines in West Virginia...you can just retrain all those coal miners for other jobs.


Forced job loss vs technological innovation driven job loss... I might be wrong but I believe there's a bit more nuance than you realize.
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
14789 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

I'm surprised in 2025 the majority of freight trains are not being operated 100% remotely and autonomous.


They can barely get simple shite to work right at the railroad. Trust me I used to work there.
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
6164 posts
Posted on 6/27/25 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

It is always good to have someone who knows what they are talking about in threads like this.

6 years ago I knew next to nothing about AI, but it has exploded in the software industry to the point where I had to get informed on it or leave the field.

On a daily basis I use the LLM for about 8 queries.
The young guys on my team are probably at 30 plus... no idea which is better.

Pretty much everything I work on uses either the output of an AI, or uses an api to a ML application.

Its come on so rapidly it's amazing.

But to that point we have throughly learned the limits of the current generation of AI.

There are some promising new models like Zeroshot, Generative Adversarial, and Mixed Expert Models, but they all currently don't deal well with the out of sequence issues that LLMs struggle with for accuracy in complexity.

Its very hard to see a future where AI becomes sentient. But very easy to see it being an enabled for humans to really be awesome.

Sometimes I'll stand at my whiteboard at home with my phone out and an LLM open.

It becomes so easy to sketch out solutions for work when I have the equivalent of dozens of experts available for me to query.

I really do think the AI assisted future is going to be awesome.
This post was edited on 6/27/25 at 1:15 pm
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