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Message
Updated Presidential Election odds - Morning of 8/28/20
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:53 am
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:53 am
Bookmaker (CRIS): Trump -105 / -111 Biden
BetOnline: Trump -110 / -110 Biden
No vig implied odds for Trump
Bookmaker: 49.3%
BetOnline: 50%
I've chosen to use these books as they have the highest limits and lowest Margin for this election. Bookmaker is taking 10k, and BOL taking 2.5k. I see people cite Bovada on here, but really not worth citing a book that's only taking $50 limits on political futures where virtually any square can move the line.
Pre-convention trump was +115 on BM and +125 on BOL. I've usually found that polls usually trail betting odds so I would expect polls coming out next week to tighten and Trump's losing in the polls to lessen.
On a personal opinion, if you're a Biden/Dem supporter, this is not where you want to be with still a month before the first debate. Biden will need a big a lead as possible going into October and if they are roughly even-ish going into the first debate, I think Biden will be a decently sized dog (+135ish) going into the election.
BetOnline: Trump -110 / -110 Biden
No vig implied odds for Trump
Bookmaker: 49.3%
BetOnline: 50%
I've chosen to use these books as they have the highest limits and lowest Margin for this election. Bookmaker is taking 10k, and BOL taking 2.5k. I see people cite Bovada on here, but really not worth citing a book that's only taking $50 limits on political futures where virtually any square can move the line.
Pre-convention trump was +115 on BM and +125 on BOL. I've usually found that polls usually trail betting odds so I would expect polls coming out next week to tighten and Trump's losing in the polls to lessen.
On a personal opinion, if you're a Biden/Dem supporter, this is not where you want to be with still a month before the first debate. Biden will need a big a lead as possible going into October and if they are roughly even-ish going into the first debate, I think Biden will be a decently sized dog (+135ish) going into the election.
3
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:56 am to Fortinbras
What debate?
I'd bet my house Biden is not debating. #weak #sloejoenoshow
I'd bet my house Biden is not debating. #weak #sloejoenoshow
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:56 am to ibldprplgld
quote:
I'd bet my house Biden is not debating.
bookmarked
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:58 am to Mickey Goldmill
If he does this with AC, what will he do in a debate?
LINK
Oh, and grats on your Kamala vote
LINK
Oh, and grats on your Kamala vote
This post was edited on 8/28/20 at 10:59 am
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:58 am to Fortinbras
This is why the dems are losing their shite. They got behind these riots because they thought it would help them politically, but it backfired, and now they are switching gears and trying to condemn them after months of not saying anything and even backing these misfits. They put politics above people. It’s unforgivable.
We will have to see if the marching orders change for these rioters or if the dems have simply lost control of them.
We will have to see if the marching orders change for these rioters or if the dems have simply lost control of them.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 10:59 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Mickey Goldmill
Bookmark this too: Trump rolls to a second term in Nov.
I want you to be able to refer to it over the next 4 years.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:00 am to ibldprplgld
quote:
Bookmark this too: Trump rolls to a second term in Nov.
I want you to be able to refer to it over the next 4 years.
No need. I've said many times on here that I believe Trump will win.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:00 am to Fortinbras
Election odds do not factor in what the Democrats will do to steal the election. Hillary's comment to Biden to "never concede the election" is a not so subtle reflection of the Democrat's battle plans. Consider that if there is still a "contested election", & there is no official election of the POTUS by Inauguration Day, according to the Constitution, the Speaker of the House becomes POTUS. Hello.President Pelosi.........
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:15 am to Keltic Tiger
Not so fast...
LINK
quote:
The 20th Amendment says terms of senators and representatives end at noon Jan. 3. If a federal election were delayed, then no vote would take place to reelect or remove Pelosi from office. She, too, would have to step down from her position.
In this case, the president pro tempore of the Senate – next in line – would assume office as president. Currently, that person is Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa.
But there’s more. If no federal election took place, Pelosi wouldn’t be the only member of Congress to leave office. There are 35 senators up for re-election – 22 Republicans – and if they were all removed without any successors, the 100-member Senate would just have 65 members, with Democrats in the majority.
Because of that, those senators could technically then choose a new Senate president pro tempore, and thus, the president.
LINK
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:20 am to medtiger
quote:
and if they were all removed without any successors, the 100-member Senate would just have 65 members, with Democrats in the majority.
Because of that, those senators could technically then choose a new Senate president pro tempore, and thus, the president.
If they want to set the world on fire...this would be the way to do it...just saying.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:21 am to ibldprplgld
He will debate. His debating itself will be declared a victory by the press no matter how well he does.
If he debates and does half assed or good, he will be declared victor due to the lowest of low expectations for his performance. If he doesn't debate he looks incapable and weak. He will debate and do half assed and everyone will claim victory and the whole thing continues. Blah, Blah, Blah.....
If he debates and does half assed or good, he will be declared victor due to the lowest of low expectations for his performance. If he doesn't debate he looks incapable and weak. He will debate and do half assed and everyone will claim victory and the whole thing continues. Blah, Blah, Blah.....
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:22 am to medtiger
I wonder how much the mail-in vote will not show up in the odds also.
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