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UPDATED latest early voting & absentee voting numbers for states who reported for 10/26/18
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:42 am
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:42 am
10/25 Reporting #s:
California:
Democrats 740k = 57%
Republican 426k = 37%
Unknown 60k = 4%
Colorado:
Democrats 157k = 45%
Republican 160k = 46%
Unknown 24k = 7%
Florida (10/24)
Democrats 769k = 44%
Republican 862k = 49%
Unknown 95k = 5%
Georgia:
Democrat: 359k = 42%
Republican 445k = 52%
Unknown 41k = 5%
Iowa:
Democrat 105k = 48%
Republicans 95k = 43%
Unknown 19k = 8%
Idaho: :usa:
Democrat 17k = 29%
Republican 36k = 59%
Unknown 7k = 11%
Illinois:
Democrat 165k = 55%
Republican 93k = 31%
Unknown 38k = 12%
Indiana: :usa:
Democrat 68k = 35%
Republican 106k = 55%
Unknown 17k = 9%
Kansas: :usa:
Democrat 36k = 40%
Republican 47k = 52%
Unknown 6k = 7%
Maine :banghead:
Democrat 37k = 54%
Republican 24k = 36%
Unknown 6k = 9%
Michigan :usa:
Democrat 172k = 32%
Republican 265k = 50%
Unknown 88k = 16%
Montana: :usa:
Democrat 45k = 29%
Republican 72k = 46%
Unknown 38k = 24%
North Carolina :banghead:
Democrat 430k = 51%
Republican 360k = 43%
Unknown 40k = 4%
North Dakota: :usa:
Democrat 5k = 12%
Republican 31k = 68%
Unknown 8k = 19%
Nebraska: :usa: Absentee only no EV #s.
Democrat 32k = 41%
Republican 43k = 54%
Unknown 2k = 3%
New Jersey :banghead:
Democrat 128k = 55%
Republican 86k = 37%
Unknown 16k = 7%
New Mexico :banghead:
Democrat 80k = 58%
Republican 52k = 37%
Unknown 5k = 4%
Ohio: :usa:
Democrat 187k = 38%
Republican 242k = 49%
Unknown 57k = 11%
Tennessee: :usa:
Democrat 178k = 27%
Republican 414k = 65%
Unknown 44k = 6%
Texas: :usa:
Democrat 498k = 38%
Republican 704k = 54%
Unknown 82k = 6%
Wisconsin: :usa:
Democrat 80k = 36%
Republican 92k = 42%
Unknown 42k = 20%
West Virginia: :usa:
Democrat 6k = 32%
Republican 10k = 53%
Unknown 2k = 14%
Democratic Party based Target Early or Target Smart numbers (Actual on the ground numbers)
California:

Democrats 740k = 57%
Republican 426k = 37%
Unknown 60k = 4%
Colorado:

Democrats 157k = 45%
Republican 160k = 46%
Unknown 24k = 7%
Florida (10/24)

Democrats 769k = 44%
Republican 862k = 49%
Unknown 95k = 5%
Georgia:

Democrat: 359k = 42%
Republican 445k = 52%
Unknown 41k = 5%
Iowa:

Democrat 105k = 48%
Republicans 95k = 43%
Unknown 19k = 8%
Idaho: :usa:
Democrat 17k = 29%
Republican 36k = 59%
Unknown 7k = 11%
Illinois:

Democrat 165k = 55%
Republican 93k = 31%
Unknown 38k = 12%
Indiana: :usa:
Democrat 68k = 35%
Republican 106k = 55%
Unknown 17k = 9%
Kansas: :usa:
Democrat 36k = 40%
Republican 47k = 52%
Unknown 6k = 7%
Maine :banghead:
Democrat 37k = 54%
Republican 24k = 36%
Unknown 6k = 9%
Michigan :usa:
Democrat 172k = 32%
Republican 265k = 50%
Unknown 88k = 16%
Montana: :usa:
Democrat 45k = 29%
Republican 72k = 46%
Unknown 38k = 24%
North Carolina :banghead:
Democrat 430k = 51%
Republican 360k = 43%
Unknown 40k = 4%
North Dakota: :usa:
Democrat 5k = 12%
Republican 31k = 68%
Unknown 8k = 19%
Nebraska: :usa: Absentee only no EV #s.
Democrat 32k = 41%
Republican 43k = 54%
Unknown 2k = 3%
New Jersey :banghead:
Democrat 128k = 55%
Republican 86k = 37%
Unknown 16k = 7%
New Mexico :banghead:
Democrat 80k = 58%
Republican 52k = 37%
Unknown 5k = 4%
Ohio: :usa:
Democrat 187k = 38%
Republican 242k = 49%
Unknown 57k = 11%
Tennessee: :usa:
Democrat 178k = 27%
Republican 414k = 65%
Unknown 44k = 6%
Texas: :usa:
Democrat 498k = 38%
Republican 704k = 54%
Unknown 82k = 6%
Wisconsin: :usa:
Democrat 80k = 36%
Republican 92k = 42%
Unknown 42k = 20%
West Virginia: :usa:
Democrat 6k = 32%
Republican 10k = 53%
Unknown 2k = 14%
Democratic Party based Target Early or Target Smart numbers (Actual on the ground numbers)
This post was edited on 10/26/18 at 4:27 pm
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:45 am to MrLSU
Is early voting an accurate way to gauge how a state will vote? Clinton did well in early vote vs trump and still lost.
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:52 am to MrLSU
Looks good for republicans.
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:53 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Is early voting an accurate way to gauge how a state will vote?
Historically, in most states, the Dems outperform the Reps in early voting. You need to look at the history of each state to help determine how things are looking this election.
This post was edited on 10/26/18 at 11:54 am
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:55 am to MrLSU
God I hope we pull the upset in Michigan.
Posted on 10/26/18 at 12:08 pm to MrLSU
NC and Iowa are the only ones who look bad for Rs.
But if I remember right both looked bad for Trump in 2016 in EV. And then ended up going red
But if I remember right both looked bad for Trump in 2016 in EV. And then ended up going red
Posted on 10/26/18 at 12:09 pm to deltaland
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 1:46 am
Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:21 pm to MrLSU
The Ohio Senate race now really bears some watching. These Republican early & absentee votes are still trending Republican throughout the day today.
Dems 190k = 38k
Reps 244k = 50k
Indy 56k = 11k

Dems 190k = 38k
Reps 244k = 50k
Indy 56k = 11k

Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:54 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Is early voting an accurate way to gauge how a state will vote?
Historically, no.
But change in early voting within a state may very well give an indication of enthusiasm and turnout.
Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:56 pm to MrLSU
quote:A lot of republicans registered unaffiliated/Indy so is this the unknown?
North Carolina![]()
Democrat 430k = 51%
Republican 360k = 43%
Unknown 40k = 4%
Posted on 10/26/18 at 5:00 pm to MrLSU
The republican numbers in California are higher that I would have thought.
I know there are conservatives there but I would have bet that many wouldnt vote because it is hopeless.
I know there are conservatives there but I would have bet that many wouldnt vote because it is hopeless.
Posted on 10/26/18 at 7:30 pm to MrLSU
Starting to look like Arizona and Nevada are the only red seats that maybe in danger. Republicans voters lead by a decent amount in Arizona too .
Indiana , Ohio , Michigan , New Jersey and Pennsylvania look better then expected. Those state could be close .
Indiana , Ohio , Michigan , New Jersey and Pennsylvania look better then expected. Those state could be close .
Posted on 10/26/18 at 7:47 pm to MrLSU
Moving to North Dakota is tempting.
Posted on 10/26/18 at 7:52 pm to MrLSU
Once again, doing awesome work 

Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:05 pm to MrLSU
Mrlsu can we have up to date numbers please


Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:09 pm to Magician2
I'll do it in a few minutes after I bill some clients for legal work.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:11 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
It's also midterms, so trends for POTUS elections aren't necessarily a true representation.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:12 pm to alphaandomega
quote:
The republican numbers in California are higher that I would have thought.
California had the third highest number of people voting for Trump in the country; they're just outnumbered. Just like how Texas had the 4th highest number of people who voted for Hillary.
The "winner take all" mechanism for states tends to give a very one-sided idea behind the demographics that tend to be way more complicated than people tend to believe.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:18 pm to MrLSU
Please update so much appreciated mate!
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