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UPDATED latest early voting & absentee voting numbers for states who reported for 10/26/18

Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:42 am
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28356 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:42 am
10/25 Reporting #s:
California:
Democrats 740k = 57%
Republican 426k = 37%
Unknown 60k = 4%

Colorado:

Democrats 157k = 45%
Republican 160k = 46%
Unknown 24k = 7%

Florida (10/24)
Democrats 769k = 44%
Republican 862k = 49%
Unknown 95k = 5%

Georgia:
Democrat: 359k = 42%
Republican 445k = 52%
Unknown 41k = 5%

Iowa:
Democrat 105k = 48%
Republicans 95k = 43%
Unknown 19k = 8%

Idaho: :usa:
Democrat 17k = 29%
Republican 36k = 59%
Unknown 7k = 11%

Illinois:
Democrat 165k = 55%
Republican 93k = 31%
Unknown 38k = 12%

Indiana: :usa:
Democrat 68k = 35%
Republican 106k = 55%
Unknown 17k = 9%

Kansas: :usa:
Democrat 36k = 40%
Republican 47k = 52%
Unknown 6k = 7%

Maine :banghead:
Democrat 37k = 54%
Republican 24k = 36%
Unknown 6k = 9%

Michigan :usa:
Democrat 172k = 32%
Republican 265k = 50%
Unknown 88k = 16%

Montana: :usa:
Democrat 45k = 29%
Republican 72k = 46%
Unknown 38k = 24%

North Carolina :banghead:
Democrat 430k = 51%
Republican 360k = 43%
Unknown 40k = 4%

North Dakota: :usa:
Democrat 5k = 12%
Republican 31k = 68%
Unknown 8k = 19%

Nebraska: :usa: Absentee only no EV #s.
Democrat 32k = 41%
Republican 43k = 54%
Unknown 2k = 3%

New Jersey :banghead:
Democrat 128k = 55%
Republican 86k = 37%
Unknown 16k = 7%

New Mexico :banghead:
Democrat 80k = 58%
Republican 52k = 37%
Unknown 5k = 4%

Ohio: :usa:
Democrat 187k = 38%
Republican 242k = 49%
Unknown 57k = 11%

Tennessee: :usa:
Democrat 178k = 27%
Republican 414k = 65%
Unknown 44k = 6%

Texas: :usa:
Democrat 498k = 38%
Republican 704k = 54%
Unknown 82k = 6%

Wisconsin: :usa:
Democrat 80k = 36%
Republican 92k = 42%
Unknown 42k = 20%

West Virginia: :usa:
Democrat 6k = 32%
Republican 10k = 53%
Unknown 2k = 14%

Democratic Party based Target Early or Target Smart numbers (Actual on the ground numbers)
This post was edited on 10/26/18 at 4:27 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71692 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:45 am to
Is early voting an accurate way to gauge how a state will vote? Clinton did well in early vote vs trump and still lost.
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
12743 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:52 am to
Looks good for republicans.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
46140 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:53 am to
quote:

Is early voting an accurate way to gauge how a state will vote?


Historically, in most states, the Dems outperform the Reps in early voting. You need to look at the history of each state to help determine how things are looking this election.
This post was edited on 10/26/18 at 11:54 am
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37713 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 11:55 am to
God I hope we pull the upset in Michigan.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
97218 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 12:08 pm to
NC and Iowa are the only ones who look bad for Rs.

But if I remember right both looked bad for Trump in 2016 in EV. And then ended up going red
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 12:09 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 1:46 am
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28356 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:21 pm to
The Ohio Senate race now really bears some watching. These Republican early & absentee votes are still trending Republican throughout the day today.

Dems 190k = 38k
Reps 244k = 50k
Indy 56k = 11k

Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
59735 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Is early voting an accurate way to gauge how a state will vote?


Historically, no.

But change in early voting within a state may very well give an indication of enthusiasm and turnout.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
157711 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

North Carolina
Democrat 430k = 51%
Republican 360k = 43%
Unknown 40k = 4%
A lot of republicans registered unaffiliated/Indy so is this the unknown?
Posted by fjlee90
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2016
8390 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 4:57 pm to
Michigan is yuge!
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
15892 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 5:00 pm to
The republican numbers in California are higher that I would have thought.

I know there are conservatives there but I would have bet that many wouldnt vote because it is hopeless.
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
12743 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 7:30 pm to
Starting to look like Arizona and Nevada are the only red seats that maybe in danger. Republicans voters lead by a decent amount in Arizona too .

Indiana , Ohio , Michigan , New Jersey and Pennsylvania look better then expected. Those state could be close .


Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
43795 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 7:47 pm to
Moving to North Dakota is tempting.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
87268 posts
Posted on 10/26/18 at 7:52 pm to
Once again, doing awesome work
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:05 pm to
Mrlsu can we have up to date numbers please

Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28356 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:09 pm to
I'll do it in a few minutes after I bill some clients for legal work.
Posted by Ollieoxenfree99
Member since Aug 2018
7748 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:11 pm to
It's also midterms, so trends for POTUS elections aren't necessarily a true representation.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
33295 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

The republican numbers in California are higher that I would have thought.


California had the third highest number of people voting for Trump in the country; they're just outnumbered. Just like how Texas had the 4th highest number of people who voted for Hillary.

The "winner take all" mechanism for states tends to give a very one-sided idea behind the demographics that tend to be way more complicated than people tend to believe.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
96295 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:18 pm to
Please update so much appreciated mate!
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