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Posted on 10/9/20 at 1:28 pm to OchoDedos
Then your eyes aren’t truly open. Trump is going to get 20%, nothing less. Take a screenshot, bookmark it, save it for later.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 1:38 pm to Iron Lion
quote:
've said this on here before, I live and work in a diverse area in Tuscaloosa County. The number of black people that support Trump blows my mind. The democrats are going to be shocked when they see how many of their sheep are sheep no more.
I live in Harris County (Houston). Dont bet on who's gonna be shocked!
Posted on 10/9/20 at 1:41 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
Trumps internals show 20-22% black support
I sure hope so. I honestly think that's too high, but I would love to be wrong.
Obtw, still laughing at the people here who posted polls showing a 43% Approval Rating for Trump by blacks and thinking that 9-out-of-20 black people were going to vote Republican.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 1:41 pm to Tiger985
quote:
the Democrat machines in Philly, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee and Detroit are going to deliver their 112% by hook or crook
fify
Posted on 10/9/20 at 1:42 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
You're right. I'm seeing 88 to 8 now.
Pew's 3,000+ person exit poll showed 6% which indicates a shy Trump vote, so that's good.
If Trump get's 10 percent, he's good to go.
That’s only a 2 percentage point gain. He could easily lose that support in other areas (White women) completely offsetting the gain. I’m hoping for a lot higher than 10% black vote for Trump and I think he gets it too.
This all comes down to voter turnout in about 1/2 dozen states in the end. (Along with the possible issue of voter fraud in those same 1/2 dozen states)
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:01 pm to OchoDedos
quote:
I don't believe it, but I'll gladly take 15%
If it's 20% and using Math & shite on the 2016 numbers..(rounding up)
2016 Total votes
Trump: 63 million
Killary: 66 million
12% of the vote was AA & Killary got 88% with Trump getting 8%
12% of 129 million is 15.5 million
88% of 15.5 million is 13.64 million
8% of 15.5 million is 1.24 million
2020
If the same (15.5 million) vote in 2020 and we assume Trump pulls most of his support increase in % from Biden:
Trump (20% of 15.5): 3.1 millon (compared to 1.24 in 2016)
Biden (78% of 15.5): 12.09 million (compared to 13.64 in 2016)
..and we assume Trump and Biden total 129 million votes between them (with all other demographics remaining the same)..
Trump: 64.86 million (63 mil + 1.86 mil additional AA votes)
Biden: 64.45 million (66 mil - 1.55 mil less AA votes)
Trump wins the popular vote by ~400K, and, depending on where he grabs the additional support from, could easily top 2016's EC total for him
This post was edited on 10/9/20 at 2:09 pm
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:09 pm to LSUAlum2001
It's already been asked numerous times, but I'll ask again: How can numbers like this and the national polling numbers we're seeing both be correct?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:09 pm to Zachary
quote:
It's already been asked numerous times, but I'll ask again: How can numbers like this and the national polling numbers we're seeing both be correct?
Internal polling is far more accurate than the crap you are seeing from the traditional polls.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:13 pm to Iron Lion
quote:
I've said this on here before, I live and work in a diverse area in Tuscaloosa County. The number of black people that support Trump blows my mind. The democrats are going to be shocked when they see how many of their sheep are sheep no more
My sample size is not giant but more black people I know are pro-Trump than not.
Now most of them are christians and from the south/Texas. I’m not pretending like that’s the average for the nation but it is my experience.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:15 pm to FlexDawg
From what I have seen from black Americans on Twitter and Facebook, I believe that is close.
If it is true, good for them, good for America!
They are NOT dumb and helpless like the Democrats have portrayed for decades. Many are great, honest Americans who love the country. The media only portrays what they want us to see and it is disgusting that they would do that to the black community and our country.
If it is true, good for them, good for America!
They are NOT dumb and helpless like the Democrats have portrayed for decades. Many are great, honest Americans who love the country. The media only portrays what they want us to see and it is disgusting that they would do that to the black community and our country.
This post was edited on 10/9/20 at 2:19 pm
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:18 pm to bayoubengals88
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:19 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
If Trump get's 10 percent, he's good to go.
Actually he needs 13% and then he’s good to go. I’m also liking his polling among Hispanics.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:22 pm to FlexDawg
It’s borderline criminal that CNN and the MSM constantly run out blacks that Hate the police and say they need to be defunded. The overwhelming majority of blacks in this country support and need the police.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:33 pm to OchoDedos
What happens when those ballots from black precincts come in and start giving President Trump votes? Do they "disappear"?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:41 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
He got 8 last time, dude. He better get at least 12%.
I'm predicting 10-12%, a 2-4% improvement. This will matter a lot in NC, WI and PA. That's the states that needs to see the improvement. The other states don't matter as much as long as he gets the same black support as last time.
This post was edited on 10/9/20 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:44 pm to FlexDawg
It'll never happen. Blacks vote 90-95% Democrat.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 2:47 pm to bogeypro
quote:
It'll never happen. Blacks vote 90-95% Democrat.
They voted 88% Democrat, 8% GOP and 4% other in 2016.
Trump just needs to improve by 2 to 4 points and he's got this.
The Hispanics only voted for Trump by 29% last time. He should improve those numbers to at least 32% this time, IMO.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 3:32 pm to bogeypro
quote:
Blacks vote 90-95% Democrat.
88% in 2016, but continue believing that line.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 3:36 pm to Tmcgin
I thought that OP would be a bat signal to the resident libs.
Tmcgin wins the prize for the first one to show up with cramps.
Tmcgin wins the prize for the first one to show up with cramps.
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