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Trump now leading in all but 1 swing state per Trafalgar Group

Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:34 pm
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53427 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:34 pm
Trafalgar Group was one of the most accurate in 2016.

quote:

The Trafalgar Group, which was one of the only polling operations to correctly predict Trump’s wins in Pennsylvania and Michigan in 2016, currently shows Trump leading in the battleground states of Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan. Trafalgar currently shows Trump narrowly losing in Wisconsin, a battleground state Trump won in 2016.



The lone battleground state Trafalgar currently shows Trump trailing is Wisconsin, where Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has a narrow 47.5%-47.1% lead over the president.


LINK
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115296 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:36 pm to
I hope to god that Trafalgar is the one poll that is right.
Posted by Tigerbait337
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2008
20535 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:36 pm to
RED WAVE
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53427 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:37 pm to
We are going to find out with 32 hours.
Posted by LSUnation78
Northshore
Member since Aug 2012
12040 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:41 pm to
From where im sitting it all depends on turnout tomorrow.

The more reports of high turnout you see tomorrow spells the end for Biden. There are more GOP votes left to cast by a wide margin, and we kept it close in early voting at key swing states.

So long as everyone left to vote is motivated to do so, Trump takes it. The higher turnout is tomorrow, the more crushing the red wave will be.

I think its clear to see which side is more excited FOR their candidate, which bodes well for turnout tomorrow. Just gotta close this thing.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14784 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:42 pm to
Wisconsin well within range for trump and he has the rally tonight
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56294 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

From where im sitting it all depends on turnout tomorrow.

The more reports of high turnout you see tomorrow spells the end for Biden. There are more GOP votes left to cast by a wide margin, and we kept it close in early voting at key swing states.

So long as everyone left to vote is motivated to do so, Trump takes it. The higher turnout is tomorrow, the more crushing the red wave will be.

I think its clear to see which side is more excited FOR their candidate, which bodes well for turnout tomorrow. Just gotta close this thing.



I think this is accurate
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14784 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:43 pm to
Can’t wait to vote tomorrow in GA
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
68252 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

From where im sitting it all depends on turnout tomorrow.



I agree completely

and the biden/antitrump base is less motivated based on my expert opinipn
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14784 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:48 pm to
Generally when the most redeeming thing you can say is I’m voting against someone it doesn’t work well.

Mittens in 2012 comes to mind.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140911 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

Wisconsin well within range for trump and he has the rally tonight

it's basically a tie even without taking into account MOE
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14784 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:49 pm to
Yep which is great news plus the rally
Posted by LSURulzSEC
Lake Charles via Oakdale
Member since Aug 2004
77281 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:50 pm to
Praying they are spot on like 2016...
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
25940 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:50 pm to
One thing is certain. After tomorrow, Trafalgar will either be the gold standard going forward or it will have to fold.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 3:51 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36702 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:50 pm to
What's the chance that the "leading polling groups" are fing with us??
Posted by tgerb8
Huntsvegas
Member since Aug 2007
5935 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

So long as everyone left to vote is motivated to do so


Judging by rally attendance, we've got this sewn up. Biden calling a final "lid" by 8pm.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14784 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:53 pm to
They are way out on a limb and they know the stakes. I think I side with them being correct
Posted by Big Jim Slade
Member since Oct 2016
4910 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:55 pm to
If lines are long people voting FOR their candidate will wait. Somebody looking to vote for Biden just because they may not like Trump, will keep on driving and not be inconvenienced.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19277 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:08 pm to
Trump landslide coming tomorrow.
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