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re: Treasury has surplus in June as tariff revenues surge - crazy SOB did it

Posted on 7/11/25 at 6:20 pm to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93783 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

I'm educating ignorant fricks, actually


You are not educating anything

You are panicking cause you are always wrong and have the most severe TDS

We see Flats is also a dumbarse as usual
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
4754 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

Funny how many posters predicted nothing but doom and gloom for Trump's tarrifs yet we have something positive and now we get the " we'll it's only 1 month" followed by the " but, but, but" crowd.


Because tariffs have little to do with the June surplus. We collected roughly $4 B more in June than in May with tariffs. In May we had a $314 billion deficit and a surplus in June. So clearly the surplus is due to other things like assigning June costs to May.
This post was edited on 7/11/25 at 7:05 pm
Posted by tigersmanager
Member since Jun 2010
9302 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:02 pm to
Another win for Trump
Posted by SOSFAN
Blythewood
Member since Jun 2018
15123 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

We collected roughly $4 B more in June than in May with tariffs. In May we had a $314


So we collected $4 billion more in June than May but let's not give the tarrifs any credit. Guess we shouldn't give the usaid contracts we canceled any credit either huh
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26944 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

Because tariffs have little to do with the June surplus. We collected roughly $4 B more in June than in May with tariffs. In May we had a $314 billion deficit and a surplus in June. So clearly the surplus is due to other things like assigning June costs to May.


Get out of here with that math & shite. The crazy SOB did it!!!!!
Posted by SingleMalt1973
Member since Feb 2022
22415 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:21 pm to
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62609 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

So is that a “no” ?
Thw questionI responded to was donI have a reading comprehension problem. So the answer was and remains “no”.

quote:

No one has claimed that we have balanced the budget?
Well, either one believes that, or this thread is silly. I won’t guess what other people think.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62609 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

If citizen Trump is shelling out a ton of cash, the safe bet is that he's spending it to get something that will ROI.

There's good debt and bad debt
"We don't have any diagreement with Democrats on how much we spend, just on what we spend it on". The GOPE wins again.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62609 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:45 pm to
quote:

So we collected $4 billion more in June than May but let's not give the tarrifs any credit.
That "increase" amount to 0.065% of our annual spending. So if you want to cheer that... ok!
Posted by chRxis
None of your fricking business
Member since Feb 2008
26692 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

Tafiffs are effectively a tax on American businesses and consumers since the importer is responsible for the payment. (it is possible that importers can use it for downward proce pressure for the suppliers)

As long as the tariffs were on the left side of the Laffer curve it would produce more revenue, simple economics.

If the goal is increasing American manufacturing, what you want to see is a knee down in imports (which may or may not cause an increase or decrease in revenue depending on the amount of the tariff). The reduction in imports is the metric which, if it goes down, gives American manufacturers and would-be manufacturers an idea of if they can expend the CAPEX and ramp up production of a given widget and be financially successful.

Revenue alone isn't a very good metric to consider IF your goal is to increase domestic manufacturing. If revenue is the goal just cranking up every tax until you hit the peak of the Laffer curve is all you need to do, but I didn't think that was the goal. This is just an indication that more taxes create more revenue.


if you think that a majority of this board can 1. understand and 2. follow this completely relevant and true logic, then i don't know what to tell you...

I totally agree with you, and your reasoning and logic are solid as hell, but c'mon man... there are many here needing a fricking dictionary to understand half the words you just used
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89298 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

But Tariffs!!!! Rogerthedumbarse


poor roger the cuckler/panican. he is so depressed right now somewhere in a cabin in alaska practicing for naked and afraid.
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
84884 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:10 pm to
Looking at a used boat wondering if he will ever recoup a 15 percent.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

You are not educating anything

You are panicking cause you are always wrong a

And yet you can't explain why.

I even predicted this retarded comeback in the original thread on this subject

quote:

And this is one of those threads where I'm already shown to be right and people like you will claim I'm never right.


Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

So we collected $4 billion more in June than May but let's not give the tarrifs any credit.

Are you giving them credit for the $300B+ deficit in May, too?
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
6016 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

I don't think I've ever seen the right side of the aisle get such a chubby over the government collecting more tax revenue, but here we are.


I think the right would applaud an increase in revenue if it wasn't the result of an increase in tax rates. Without seeing the breakdown in revenue to see which streams increased, it's hard to make any comments.

Federal quarterly estimated tax payments are due June 15th. Are self employed and others that make estimated tax payments making more money this year requiring them to increase their estimates? If so, that's a positive. Are employees making more increasing withholding? Another positive.

If the increase is strictly due to the new tariffs, we need to wait and see what happens with inflation. Are retail prices increasing to cover the full amount of the tariffs? Are retailers eating the cost? Are the foreign sellers lowering their prices so that the landed cost is the same?
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
57140 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

When was our last month of 300B deficits outside of Covid?


Understood. However, non responsive.
Posted by Hitman67
Lumberton, TX
Member since Jul 2024
269 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:31 pm to
Lol, the Importer doesn't have to pay it dude. You act as if the importer is helpless in the whole thing. You really need to rethink your business knowledge. The importer is the customer and can negotiate or shop elsewhere. In most of these situations where their isn't a monopoly the exporter will eat the tarrif and be excited to do it.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30036 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

Lol, the Importer doesn't have to pay it dude. You act as if the importer is helpless in the whole thing. You really need to rethink your business knowledge.


I have literally thousands of off shore manufacturing delivery contracts sitting around in my firm's file and I pretty much gaurantee you I have seen and litigated more of them than you ever will.

The importer is responsible for the payment of tariffs, and any customs duties and fees. It is as simple as that. As I noted, you can use this as downward price pressure with the manufacturer but there is a rub regarding this thread. The majority of value coming from China is in white labeled goods with high BOQs. Those goods in most segments have a 6-9 month onshoring time from contract signing. That means most of the tariffs represented in the OP were on goods deliveries contracted for before the tariffs existed, so there was no way to use them to negotiate price. The lack of ability to negotiate the majority of contracts means a big portion of the revenue increase is directly on the backs of US companies and consumers. Keep in mind if the US companies eat part or all of the tariffs then it has a downward pressure on their profit and thus corporate income and taxes. This celebration may be just about a balloon being squeezed on one end.

I am all for protectionist level tariffs which I hate. I do not think for the most park they are high enough at present (~33% on average) but that is high enough to shift manufacturing to places like Vietnam and India which by itself I see as a good thing (in terms of US hegemony) but likely at least in the short term bad for US consumers (those companies will take a lot of time to reach Chinese profeciency in things like electonics ie TVs). However, I don't see the current state as driving shoring or reshoring manufacturing except on the fringes.

I am mainly discussing China, other countries are a different animal with different products (both sector and quality/price). I can discuss most Euro countries if you care to but as I said the same factors are quite different than China.

Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89298 posts
Posted on 7/12/25 at 1:23 pm to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94808 posts
Posted on 7/12/25 at 1:31 pm to
"unexpected"
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