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Message
re: Tracking the Presidential Election race: 8/11 update - Harris Leading
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:12 am to Jon Ham
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:12 am to Jon Ham
It being a tossup right now is terrible for Kamala.
A tossup is a GOP win electorally.
Things can change after a convention, but my hope is the American people see a room full of freaks
A tossup is a GOP win electorally.
Things can change after a convention, but my hope is the American people see a room full of freaks
3
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:14 am to Fun Bunch
I’ll start worrying about polls in October.
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:15 am to VOR
Early voting starts in September champ
Kamala needs to be up 3-4 points at least when that starts or you should be worried that you'll be watching Trump press conferences on MSNBC in the nursing home
Kamala needs to be up 3-4 points at least when that starts or you should be worried that you'll be watching Trump press conferences on MSNBC in the nursing home
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:16 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Kamala needs to be up 3-4 points at least when that starts or you should be worried that you'll be watching Trump press conferences on MSNBC in the nursing home
The Good Fun Bunch
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:16 am to VOR
quote:
I’ll start worrying about polls in October.
Then leave and come back in October....or don't.
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:18 am to SDVTiger
This is the most radical left wing Presidential ticket of all time. Its as if Mondale and Geraldine Ferraro teamed up.
If we can't work together against this we are doomed.
If we can't work together against this we are doomed.
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:23 am to YumYum Sauce
quote:
Literally nobody asked for this thread but go off twink
Saying that about a thread with 124 replies over 2 1/2 days. Have you been on the Walz diet or something? Your brain isn’t getting all the nutrients it needs? Is that what you mean by yumyum sauce?
Posted on 8/9/24 at 9:31 am to Fun Bunch
Posted on 8/9/24 at 10:04 am to YumYum Sauce
I like seeing updates 
Posted on 8/9/24 at 12:24 pm to Jon Ham
quote:
Have you been on the Walz diet or something? Your brain isn’t getting all the nutrients it needs?
Great examples right here folks. The left cannot meme.
Posted on 8/9/24 at 6:25 pm to Jon Ham
Word on the street is that the Harris surge is over and that the negative impacts of the VP pick are starting to show up. Look for polls to start swinging back next week.
Posted on 8/9/24 at 6:32 pm to Jon Ham
One more time people....
Polls don't include the cheat factor!!!!!!!
US elections are not secure, period!
Polls don't include the cheat factor!!!!!!!
US elections are not secure, period!
Posted on 8/9/24 at 6:33 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
It being a tossup right now is terrible for Kamala.
Eh, yes and no
I agree that the Dems need a bigger lead or they’re doomed electorally
I don’t think her momentum is slowing, though. Convention bump hasn’t even happened and Trump can’t stop putting his foot in his mouth lately
Posted on 8/9/24 at 6:46 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
It being a tossup right now is terrible for Kamala.
This is true. If (when) the polls start to swing back, she will be put on the defensive and have to start doing interviews and whatnot. Also, the campaign's current social media / PR blitz burn rate is unsustainable.
Posted on 8/9/24 at 6:50 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
If we can't work together against this we are doomed.
It takes Trump to put the pedal to the metal for that to happen. The media is covering for Cumala. No questions answered and no policies announced. If she doesn’t want to debate but once, the media will cover her and it will be no different than what it is now. Trump is the one that wants to help the American taxpayer. Cumala and cum guzzler support a socialist America and that’s where we are headed I’m afraid.
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:56 am to Jon Ham
8/11 10:56 am CT: Harris
NY Times/Siena polls released yesterday show Harris leading in MI, WI, and most importantly, PA. PA is close to being an absolute “must win” for Trump. New Trafalgar poll has Trump up 2 in PA.
I’m changing it back to Harris leading as the NYT/Siena poll was significantly more accurate than Trafalgar in 2022 (see chart), and since Harris’ lead on PredIct has grown to 15 cents.
NY Times/Siena polls released yesterday show Harris leading in MI, WI, and most importantly, PA. PA is close to being an absolute “must win” for Trump. New Trafalgar poll has Trump up 2 in PA.
I’m changing it back to Harris leading as the NYT/Siena poll was significantly more accurate than Trafalgar in 2022 (see chart), and since Harris’ lead on PredIct has grown to 15 cents.
Posted on 8/11/24 at 2:13 pm to Jon Ham
What are the cross tabs on those polls
Posted on 8/11/24 at 3:36 pm to Jon Ham
Harris now up 16 cents on PredictIt.
Posted on 8/11/24 at 3:37 pm to Jon Ham
Gonna be a rough season for ya.
Posted on 8/11/24 at 3:41 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
I don’t think her momentum is slowing, though.
Poll after poll show the two most important issues to voters are the economy and the border. Do you believe there are enough retarded American voters that would favor Kamala on those two issues for her to win the election?
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