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Tim Sater of Grassroots Targeting memo: Dem turnout is beyond horrible.. Swing St data

Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:10 pm
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6978 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:10 pm
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6978 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:11 pm to
This is way better than polls. This is what everybody should be concentrating on
This post was edited on 11/4/24 at 1:13 pm
Posted by Contra
Member since Oct 2016
9568 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:13 pm to
She's not going to win. Republican turnout is up big in places like Nevada and Arizona. We may be approaching landslide territory.
This post was edited on 11/4/24 at 1:13 pm
Posted by FLTech
he/won
Member since Sep 2017
28208 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:13 pm to
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:14 pm to
When you don’t allow your base to choose its nominee, this is what you get.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15011 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:15 pm to
Her body language at that rally and lack of enthusiasm said IT ALL....She knows very well it's over.
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
13272 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:15 pm to
Dozens
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
28536 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:17 pm to
Time makes us bolder
Even children get older

. . . and so on and so forth.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24838 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:17 pm to
Urban down. Female down.


Yet women are going to win it for Harris!?

Trump up 16+ with those who intend to vote on Election Day.

Looks like I’ll be getting a full nights sleep tomorrow.
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
29595 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:20 pm to
So Obama crying and begging didn't help.
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29691 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:20 pm to
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Urban down. Female down.



Saw a survey recently that asked about how important voters felt the election was. Compared to 2020 women were down 3%.

Men were down something like 10%.

I know she is doing poorly with men, but that last bit could still hurt Trump depending on where it comes from. Not saying it will, thats just a big number in an election that the polls say will come down to 1%.
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
37988 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

These are some devastating turnout declines for Democrats. HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS in key places.

If 2020 had been a legitimate election, it would have looked the same.

If this holds, it means 2024 is actually somewhat legit. If this suddenly falls apart tomorrow, we'll know it was a steal again. Lara's team better be ready for war.
Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
31402 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:32 pm to
That video is akin to "Please clap."
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
110953 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

If 2020 had been a legitimate election, it would have looked the same.

If this holds, it means 2024 is actually somewhat legit. If this suddenly falls apart tomorrow, we'll know it was a steal again. Lara's team better be ready for war.


It was never going to be logistically possible to pull off in 2024 what they did in 2020.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
23781 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:21 pm to
Wow. I keep saying that I don't know much about polls, but those are some big down numbers.
I understand he's saying Dems historically vote early and not as much on election day.
Dems are saying they expect the down numbers to be made up on election day but have zero historical basis for that expectation.

I'm surprised more folks haven't commented on this. Thanks for the information.
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
10557 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:23 pm to
Good keep running those commercials .... are you better off than 4 years ago? Amp them up in Pennsylvania cities.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
10654 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

Dems are saying they expect the down numbers to be made up on election day but have zero historical basis for that expectation.


The key there is that crooked poll workers will not know who to turn away
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
2294 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:26 pm to
There isn’t a Republican male alive that would think this election isn’t important. The lack of enthusiasm is definitely on the Democrat side but that doesn’t mean Trump will win because it still will come down to three states
Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
89039 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

It was never going to be logistically possible to pull off in 2024 what they did in 2020.


There’s no novel virus to run interference for them this time.
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