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Theo the Frenchie that predicted Trump's win in twenty-four
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:34 pm
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:34 pm
Théo utilized a strict mathematical "neighbor-polling" approach. He realized traditional polls suffered from a "shy Trump voter" bias because people were reluctant to admit they were voting for Trump, but would openly admit if their neighbors intended to vote for him. His reputation is that of an incredibly sharp outlier who effectively out-calculated traditional media pollsters.
LINK
Texas so far
LINK
Texas so far
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:37 pm to OWLFAN86
And? What’s your synopsis?
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:37 pm to OWLFAN86
Why can’t I find Tarrant County? My brother just bought a place in Southlake and I want to troll him if it’s blue 
This post was edited on 10/20/26 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:38 pm to crimsonsaint
quote:
And? What’s your synopsis?
Apparently, you ate unfamiliar with his posting history. Clearly it is gleeful news of the GOP's demise.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:40 pm to crimsonsaint
paxton is going to lose
Abbott looks better than feared
Abbott looks better than feared
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:42 pm to OWLFAN86
The actual problem with polls is that republican voters are busy working and taking care of their kids. When they call me I hang up if I'm in a good mood. I tell them to get fricked if I'm under stress already. If I actuall took a poll, I'd tell them why their democrat candidates are losers. I imagine I'm not alone.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:43 pm to OWLFAN86
I mean it wasn’t very difficult to predict Trump was going to win in 24.
With most races I take a 3-5 point handicap to compensate for polls so most races should be fine. Polling has been way off and if it holds true Paxton will win as long as the libertarian candidate doesn’t suck more than 3% of the vote.
With most races I take a 3-5 point handicap to compensate for polls so most races should be fine. Polling has been way off and if it holds true Paxton will win as long as the libertarian candidate doesn’t suck more than 3% of the vote.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:43 pm to udtiger
quote:Clearly you're unfamiliar with my posting history; I've only predicted paxton losing
Apparently, you ate unfamiliar with his posting history. Clearly it is gleeful news of the GOP's demise.
Abbott looks better than feared,, as I've already stated
But so you understand this source, this is the source that predicted Trump winning in 24.
Predicting Trump would win in 24 decisively
Read up on it; it's very comprehensive perhaps learn something
it's right there before you start casting aspersions. Maybe have the common sense to look into it first before you make a fool of yourself
or keep posting
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:44 pm to EasterEgg
This is not a poll. I don't do polls
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:46 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
Theo the Frenchie that predicted Trump's win in twenty-four
A blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then.
Is this supposed to scare us?
You think Talarico is a better candidate than Robert Francis O'Rourke?
Really?
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:47 pm to OWLFAN86
Right now it shows Paxton at 47 and abbot at 51%. Granted Paxton is state wide but I can’t see people voting overwhelmingly more for abbot than Paxton unless Texans really want to FAFO. The libertarian is under 3% but still siphoning votes away from Paxton. This is why I can’t stand libertarians. No chance that candidate will win but fricking over the right.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:47 pm to OWLFAN86
Not good
That was fast. Excellent.
That was fast. Excellent.
This post was edited on 10/20/26 at 6:49 pm
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:48 pm to OWLFAN86
I've never rooted for a stroke over a person before but here we are.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:49 pm to OWLFAN86
About as scientific as muh bell whether counties
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:55 pm to OWLFAN86
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:55 pm to boosiebadazz
quote:
About as scientific as muh bell whether counties
Show the statistics of which are better indicators and let’s see if this statement is true. Statistically, what are the odds of someone winning the bellwethers winning. Let’s go by number of bellwethers won and the probability of a win.
Then let’s see how often this French dude has been correct. Let’s consider the sample size and make an educated decision on which is more scientific.
We know you won’t show your work. Nor do I expect you to. You know your statement is ridiculous. You don’t care. Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:58 pm to Speckhunter2012
quote:I think paxton is so much worse than Cruz is on his worst day
You think Talarico is a better candidate than Robert Francis O'Rourke?
Really?
REALLY
my one assertion from the very beginning and again since you people are stupid
I'm not voting for Talerico
I don't want Talerico to win
I don't like Talrico
I just think Paxton is going to lose
But that's not the point here; that's the entire state of Texas. There are other races listed, not just county by county but precinct by precinct; this is a hardcore deep data drive
get in there and find something positive for paxton i challenge you
Posted on 10/20/26 at 6:58 pm to BBONDS25
Sounds like a great AI prompt for you. And you’re correct; I really don’t care on this one.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 7:04 pm to EasterEgg
quote:
When they call me I hang up if I'm in a good mood. I tell them to get fricked if I'm under stress already. If I actuall took a poll, I'd tell them why their democrat candidates are losers. I imagine I'm not alone.
I haven't answered a single political call, text or email.
I'm not voting for a dem.
I hope it helps get their hopes up.
Posted on 10/20/26 at 7:06 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
paxton is going to lose
You seem gleeful.
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