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re: The Senate will stay at 52 for Republicans

Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:11 am to
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
19508 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:11 am to
quote:


Serious question

Trump - who many said was unelectable and not a good choice for President wins in a damn landslide

Yet

Republicans are losing some of the down ballot races in states Trump won - and won convincingly.

shite doesn't pass the smell test
It does happen, and it is common.

However, it is very candidate specific. For example Lake in AZ, her results are trailing Trumps. She has a history. Not suprising.

In this case, McCormick wouldn't expect to trail Trump (1.9% overall, -58.6% in Philly Co.) by that much (0.4%, -59.6% in Philly Co.).

So smell test does apply in McCormick's case. And it fails. There are several red counties where McCormick outperformed Trump, making Philly Co. (and PIttsburg/Scranton) even more suspect.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25273 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:12 am to
I wonder if the deep red precincts are holding out until the urban cheat zones have turned their count in so they don't know what they have to put in their fake ballot dumps.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:35 am to
I thought in Nevada Sam Brown was in good shape.
Not now?
Posted by GrizzlyAlloy
Member since Aug 2020
2581 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

I thought in Nevada Sam Brown was in good shape.
Not now?


No
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
19508 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

How do they count votes? Don't they count the whole ballot?

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania is only 134k and was called election night.

And your numbers show Casey likely to pick up another 60k net. And he's been closing in everyday.

Is Harris going to pick up another 60k or were the President votes tallied already?

I'm not asking if you know just sort of putting it out there for thought.
they do count the ballot. Just to be clear the rate I'm using (78.4) is senate only, Philadelphia Co. only.

I was only trying g to figure out if race should be called or not (answer was no). There's enough votes to count in Philly Co. Likely going to Casey to erase the deficit.

But I think other counties will prevent that from happening when all said and done, even if 78.4 were to hold, and McCormick will win.
Posted by AZHorn
Southern Arizona
Member since Aug 2021
1062 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:40 pm to
Fox News already called it for McCormick today...
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
176000 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:41 pm to
Up to 53. Hoping Lake shocks the world to make it 54.
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39537 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

The Senate will stay at 52 for Republicans

McCormick won and Brown is ahead in Nevada with a large chunk of outlying and rural communities left
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
981 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:48 pm to
You sure about Brown? I though that race was called for his opponent?
Posted by AZHorn
Southern Arizona
Member since Aug 2021
1062 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

quote:
criminal that they are still counting votes no matter who won.


It’s not complex to do what they are doing, they are scanning the database of registered voters who have not voted, then making a provisional ballot, who’s gonna ever know? Then once it’s scanned, mix it with Election Day ballots, then obfuscate anyone investigating. This justice needs to be carried out, outside the corrupt justice system


That's why every state should have a law where all ballots have to be in by election day no matter what, regardless of postmark, and all ballots have to be handcounted before they even scan the votes so everyone knows how many ballots there were to begin with...
Posted by The Eric
Member since Sep 2008
24171 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:51 pm to
Trump has two years to get some big victories. If he can do that then I expect more seats flip in 26.

We must act fast and not flinch.
Posted by DesScorp
Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
9658 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 5:53 pm to
quote:

Brown is ahead in Nevada with a large chunk of outlying and rural communities left


This will come as a shock, Im sure, but a truckfull of mail-in ballots from, surprise, Clark county, showed up suddenly.
Posted by AZHorn
Southern Arizona
Member since Aug 2021
1062 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Up to 53. Hoping Lake shocks the world to make it 54.


Lake might have a shot to close the gap, I would think a lot of the 700,000 plus ballots left to count are from rural areas where she would probably do better, but 50,000 plus vote lead is tough to overcome...Not a lot of rural population in AZ...Same with Nevada, not a lot of Rural folks outside of Vegas and Reno..Arizona has Phoenix and Tuscon, and Flagstaff as the more populated areas. Outside of that there are much smaller towns like Kingman, Showlow, Bullhead City. The rest is just 30 or 40 tiny dots on a map..
This post was edited on 11/7/24 at 6:03 pm
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
22838 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 6:07 pm to
Hopefully Lake can do it.

Then we sue WI and MI and maybe
Get one or both of those
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
19508 posts
Posted on 11/8/24 at 4:05 am to
Yeah, I was very late. My original comments on PA were at 11am. Events overtook me.

Was speaking to why they hadn't.called PA senate in the morning
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