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re: The Atlantic: the great affordability crisis breaking America

Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:16 pm to
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:16 pm to
quote:


Culture is more than museums and pho restaurants.

Of course.

quote:

There are also cultural benefits that are only available outside of large high-density areas
yep.

Some people like a quiet lifestyle.

That's why I found the question about why they want to live there so silly because quite obviously the list of reasons is long and still doesn't take away from the fact that they still have to be able to afford it and clearly enough of them can
Posted by NoHoTiger
So many to kill, so little time
Member since Nov 2006
46184 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

Liberal hotbeds with liberal leaders and ridiculous taxes.

There's also a metric frick ton of money in those areas regardless of party affiliation
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:19 pm to
quote:


I suppose it could be problematic for the actual residents of NOLA


I guess maybe part of the issue here is that I'm just not a remotely nostalgic person. I don't see things today and feel like they need to be that way 20 years from now.

Things change and people move. That's part of life. I'm reminded of a line from a Neil diamond song.
quote:

L.A.'s fine, the sun shines most the time
And the feeling is "lay back"
Palm trees grow and rents are low


He wrote that in 1971. That's not really that long ago.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173614 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:20 pm to
quote:


There's also a metric frick ton of money in those areas regardless of party affiliation


Correct. There are 4 trillion dollar (market cap) tech companies in California and Washington alone. And many other "smaller" ones.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28121 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

There will always be more culture with more people though



That depends on what you consider “culture”. Even if you think that, you have to acknowledge that not all of this culture you’re getting will be good.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173614 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

That depends on what you consider “culture”

You could go buy the strict dictionary definitions and it would be pretty evident that more people will likely amount to more culture

Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28121 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

You could go buy the strict dictionary definitions and it would be pretty evident that more people will likely amount to more culture


I suspect it’s more correct to say that you’ll get a very different culture; that’s not the same as “more”, which you seem to be using as an adjective for “better”. But if you’re not going to bother to define what you’re talking about I don’t suppose you really want to make a point.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173614 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 5:28 pm to
quote:


I guess maybe part of the issue here is that I'm just not a remotely nostalgic person. I don't see things today and feel like they need to be that way 20 years from now.


Sure

I guess my point is I could see how people in an area like NOLA (which to be fair is pretty unique in this regard) are frustrated with housing prices when the wages don't really support them
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44071 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 6:12 pm to
See, I find this interesting, I ask what is driving demand, and I get these two responses:
quote:

people want to live there for a variety of reasons.


quote:

What does it matter? There are a multitude of reasons

I've noticed this trend since the Supply Side Economics of the Reagan era. There is so much emphasis put on supply and marketing, that it's almost irrelevant as to what is driving actual demand. The emphasis seems to now be on, "If you build it, they will come" and simply trying to convince people to demand products that producers can make larger margins on. There are still some consumers out there, however, who aren't interested in being talked into buying something they don't want.
quote:

if they can't afford to live there they aren't part of the demand that's driving prices

And that's the false conclusion that results.

Obviously, if there is more demand than supply, eventually producers will figure out how to increase supply. One way to do that is to examine what is driving the demand and perhaps provide alternate supplies for that demand. If you don't care what's driving it, you're not going to profit from meeting the demand.

But the humorous part to me is the vast majority of posters OTB that ridicule these particular cities as insanely liberal, and at the same time admit to the insane demand for them - but still aren't interested in what is driving the demand.

One thing that strikes me about what's driving the demand is the opportunity to build vast wealth in these cities. Yet to listen to posters on the board, they can't seem to imagine how anyone could build wealth in a liberal city that has 'enormous' tax burdens. The problem comes in, though, when the people who demand to locate in these cities price out the support staff they need to provide services.

Perhaps if other cities could figure out what's driving demand to these cities, they could supply that demand in their own cities. In other words, cities are missing out on satisfying the demand from those who can't afford the prices - seemingly because they're not interested in figuring out what's driving the demand in the first place. Some cities are actually doing just this: Atlanta, Houston, Dallas, Austin, Phoenix, San Antonio...

Ultimately the problem is that the margins on affordable housing aren't as large as on premium housing.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Perhaps if other cities could figure out what's driving demand to these cities, they could supply that demand in their own cities. In other words, cities are missing out on satisfying the demand from those who can't afford the prices - seemingly because they're not interested in figuring out what's driving the demand in the first place. Some cities are actually doing just this: Atlanta, Houston, Dallas, Austin, Phoenix, San Antonio...


Add in Nashville, Charlotte, Orlando, Greenville as well

All red states.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28121 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

But the humorous part to me is the vast majority of posters OTB that ridicule these particular cities as insanely liberal, and at the same time admit to the insane demand for them - but still aren't interested in what is driving the demand.


You're confusing "the answer will be different for different people" with "aren't interested. If that amuses you you're probably very happy and content, though.

You are also ignoring the fact that, depending on whose stats are correct in this thread, between 90% and 66% don't want to live in these large metro areas. You're acting as if they're some objective Shangri-la and for an area to be successful it should try to become them.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 6:58 pm to
quote:


Obviously, if there is more demand than supply, eventually producers will figure out how to increase supply
but if they cannot or are prevented from doing so prices will rise

quote:


But the humorous part to me is the vast majority of posters OTB that ridicule these particular cities as insanely liberal, and at the same time admit to the insane demand for them
I'm not actually ridiculing them in this case except for the fact that their governments exacerbate the problem that already would exist even without them
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:14 pm to
quote:


You are also ignoring the fact that, depending on whose stats are correct in this thread, between 90% and 66% don't want to live in these large metro areas. You're acting as if they're some objective Shangri-la and for an area to be successful it should try to become them

Not to mention that a lot of people live in them that don't want to but have to. Telecommuting will change that with a quickness over the next 50 years
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173614 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

Telecommuting will change that with a quickness over the next 50 years

I swear if it takes 50 years I'll stab someone. Should happen in the next 10
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:19 pm to
quote:


I swear if it takes 50 years I'll stab someone. Should happen in the next 10


Well I don't think it will take 50 years for telecommuting to happen. But when it starts the effects won't be instantaneous. There will be first adopters then the mid aopters and then the late adopters just like typical.

My guess is that they will be economically significant inside of 20
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63313 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

But the humorous part to me is the vast majority of posters OTB that ridicule these particular cities as insanely liberal, and at the same time admit to the insane demand for them - but still aren't interested in what is driving the demand.
This is simple. Leftism thrives on herd mentality.
Posted by El Segundo Guy
1-866-DHS-2-ICE
Member since Aug 2014
11646 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:26 pm to
Good. My wife has 1/4 stake in residential and commercial rental property in LA county. The passive income is really nice. The rent keeps going up and tenants keep paying it.
Posted by AubieinNC2009
Mountain NC
Member since Dec 2018
7314 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:33 pm to
well maybe not try to pack millions of people in areas that have had a set number of houses for over a hundred years.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28121 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

But when it starts


?? It's already started.
Posted by DyeHardDylan
Member since Nov 2011
9721 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:52 pm to
The common denominator is rent control and price manipulating. In these cities’ attempts to artificially lower rent rates, they’ve provided a false model of supply and demand. Rich people buy up all of the cheap housing, and then there’s nothing left but condos and high rises.
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