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re: SCOTUS rules on Callais

Posted on 4/29/26 at 8:56 pm to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98858 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 8:56 pm to
thank you

So are the Rs gonna blow this? This feels like a Falcons superbowl type lead and it will end up with an L

We see with the Bama gov
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
168604 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 9:02 pm to
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
168604 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 9:07 pm to
from jellyroll



Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
44425 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 9:11 pm to
quote:

So are the Rs gonna blow this?

That's the big question.

Hard to say.

It's really up to us, in the South.

It's also very important to get the maps redrawn before the midterms.

Virginia is up in the air.

Florida gave us a major victory today.

Maryland could get weird.

My family in Texas tells me that we're looking good there.

My family in Tennessee tells me that big things are happening there that may get rid of a couple of obnoxious democrats in Memphis.

These midterms are shaping up to be the biggest in our Republic's history.

The big question after that will be The SAVE Act ... if Johnson and Thune can get it passed, provided we pick up enough seats in the midterms.

The voter roles are being audited and purged in record numbers ... but will that be enough to stop the fraudulent voting? Let's not forget that SCOTUS has already handed down a decision that "Election Day" means Election "Day." Not Election Week or Election Month.

Trump has been chipping away at the irregularities. We've gotta max out voter turnout on the Right.
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25029 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 9:14 pm to
Maxing out the turnout will be the key. And to limit fraudulant voting.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
168604 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 9:40 pm to
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
34158 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 10:02 pm to
Posted by brass2mouth
NOLA
Member since Jul 2007
20655 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 11:06 pm to
quote:

CLARENCE THOMAS


Dude is a treasure.

Always rational.
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
5336 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 12:07 am to
quote:

REPORT: Gov. Jeff Landry to suspend May primary to redraw congressional map

BATON ROUGE - Governor Jeff Landry plans to suspend next month’s primary elections so state lawmakers can pass a new congressional map, the Washington Post reported.

The Washington Post said Landry told Republican House candidates of the plan Wednesday. This comes after a Supreme Court decision that struck down Louisiana’s second majority Black congressional district.

In a 6-3 ruling, the court’s conservative majority found that the district, represented by Democrat Cleo Fields, relied too heavily on race.

The Washington Post said the announcement to suspend the May 16 election could come as soon as Friday. It’s unclear whether the governor’s suspension would apply only to primaries for the six House seats, or include other elections, including the Senate primary.



WBRZ
Posted by Goforit
Member since Apr 2019
8850 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 1:53 am to
Demwits are toast.
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24578 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 7:03 am to
I never understood why they did this in the first place.

Our first real project in law school back in the day was to research strict scrutiny judicial review which happens when the government makes race-based decisions like drawing the map intentionally based on race.

It would be plainly unconstitutional to a first year law student and you have justices dissenting?
Posted by Bourbon Bebe
Member since Oct 2023
318 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 8:00 am to
Attorney Paul Hurd will be speaking about the case on The State of Freedom Podcast at 8 am.
Posted by Pezzo
Member since Aug 2020
3015 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 8:16 am to
quote:

or get EC votes somewhere else.


does it make sense now why we see the democrats pushing the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact pacts in all their blue states to make it so the popular vote gets the EC? with sanctuary cities in major cities across America they can assure the popular vote always gets EC from these states. Voter ID will be the final nail in the democrat coffin in my opinion.

they saw the writing on the wall and are in panic mode. these are their last ditch efforts to undermine and subvert the electoral process.
This post was edited on 4/30/26 at 8:18 am
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
44425 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 8:59 am to
Posted by SoggyCerealClub
Member since Apr 2026
138 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 9:36 am to
Am I correct in remembering that a federal judge told Louisiana that based on population, 1/3rd of our districts have to be majority minority? Is this still the case?
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
44425 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Am I correct in remembering that a federal judge told Louisiana that based on population, 1/3rd of our districts have to be majority minority? Is this still the case?

If I am understanding you question correctly ... I don't think that's the case. Matter of fact, just the opposite. The SCOTUS ruling implicitly finds that no minority/majority metric can be applied. Maps have to be strictly based upon population ... no matter their political or race disposition.

From what I read the court recognized that minorities (sic: blacks and latinos) vote 80% democrat. So I'm assuming here that minority/majority has enough of a racial element to be interpreted as a racial metric ... and thus is now forbidden.

quote:

Federal guidelines for drawing voting district maps require equal population and prohibit racial discrimination and/or racial favoritism.  Under the "one person, one vote" principle established by the U.S. Supreme Court, congressional districts must have populations as close to equal as possible, while state and local legislative districts must be "substantially equal," typically allowing up to a 10% deviation. 

Districts must be contiguous, meaning all parts connect by land or water, and many states require compactness to prevent oddly shaped districts.  While federal law does not mandate nonpartisan maps, the Supreme Court has ruled that partisan gerrymandering claims are beyond federal judicial reach, leaving regulation of partisan bias to state laws. 

Additional common criteria set by state laws include:

Preservation of political subdivisions (e.g., counties, cities) — required in 34 states for legislative districts and 15 for congressional districts. 

Communities of interest — 15 states consider them for legislative districts, 11 for congressional districts. 

Compactness — legally required in 32 states for legislative districts and 17 for congressional districts. 

Incumbent or partisan fairness — some states ban favoring incumbents or require proportional representation.


Louisiana will apply "compactness" after Callais. That is also what Florida just utilized as of yesterday.
Posted by SoggyCerealClub
Member since Apr 2026
138 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 10:06 am to
I guess what I’m asking is, the whole reason we had to draw up new maps is because a federal judge told us we needed 2 minority districts based on our population, correct?

This ruling essentially turns that over and says minority/majority doesn’t matter, only population and compactness does, correct?
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
77413 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 10:07 am to
quote:

This ruling essentially turns that over and says minority/majority doesn’t matter, only population and compactness does, correct?
Thats how I understood it. And if that’s it, then anyone who is genuinely not a racist should have no issue with it
Posted by RaginCajunz
Member since Mar 2009
7223 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 10:15 am to
quote:

This ruling essentially turns that over and says minority/majority doesn’t matter, only population and compactness does, correct?



My interpretation is even stronger. Not only does race "not matter" it is strictly forbidden to be used as any form of justification for the district.
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
44425 posts
Posted on 4/30/26 at 10:17 am to
quote:

This ruling essentially turns that over and says minority/majority doesn’t matter, only population and compactness does, correct?

Exactly.
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