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re: “Relevant Statistics” Thread

Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:49 pm to
Posted by prplngldtigr
just up da bayou from down
Member since Dec 2004
6075 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:49 pm to
Im just asking you to do it because I am yet to see ANYONE do it...thought maybe you’d pull a rabbit out your hat.

It’s amazing how a movement can have so many supporters absent of any real measurement of truth.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

NINE
Ok, great, but when we normalize by population it's about 2. Blacks commit violent crime at roughly 2X the rate that whites do.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

You’ve crossed over into obfuscation.



TIL that revealing all of the data is called "obfuscation".
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

this retard motherfricker is trying to lecture people on how to interpret statistical data
Another one who doesn't understand just how dumb he is.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

Im just asking you to do it because I am yet to see ANYONE do it...thought maybe you’d pull a rabbit out your hat.

It’s amazing how a movement can have so many supporters absent of any real measurement of truth.

Some people make it about race, some people make it about class/wealth, some people make it about militarization of police. I'm not here for all that. I'm here to point out lies and manipulation.

People get manipulated on all sides. The sooner we ALL recognize that, the sooner we can get on with doing things right.
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
23894 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

Another one who doesn't understand just how dumb he is.


well I have a BS in statistics but go ahead and tell everyone what exactly is wrong with the data. both raw, and interpreted
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17931 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

Ok, great, but when we normalize by population it's about 2. Blacks commit violent crime at roughly 2X the rate that whites do.


59,778 violent crimes perpetrated on blacks by whites

547,948 violent crimes perpetrated on whites by blacks

There are 197 million whites

There are 38 million blacks

Assuming these data are accurate - a black is 45 times more likely to commit a violent crime against a white than a white is to commit a violent crime against a black.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
21827 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:03 pm to
quote:

Im just asking you to do it because I am yet to see ANYONE do it...thought maybe you’d pull a rabbit out your hat.


He can’t and he knows he can’t. He knows what the data means.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19199 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

If only you were just smart enough to understand how dumb you are.


Ab, talking to yourself again I see.

At least try to do better. Weak and stupid is no way to go through life.
This post was edited on 6/2/20 at 9:19 pm
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19199 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

I'm here to point out lies and manipulation.


Well any fricking time, sweetheart.

You are caught in your feelings, that’s all.
Posted by WildManGoose
Member since Nov 2005
4568 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

at random,
quote:

all attacks are random?



But they're not all criminals and they don't attack at random. If we assume 1 victim per 1 attacker, they are mutually exclusive and non-repeating then according to the statistics 1.44% of blacks are committing attacks on whites and 0.03% of whites are committing attacks on blacks. On a number basis BoW is 9% more than WoB, but attacks adjusted as a percentage of total attacking population is how you get to 45X. It's actually 47.5X, and it is legitimate.

Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

well I have a BS in statistics but go ahead and tell everyone what exactly is wrong with the data. both raw, and interpreted
I did. You didn't respond to it.

If you think it makes any sense to "normalize" the data in the OP to produce "45X more likely", then you need to go back to school. And what school did you go to? TCU? Why don't you call up your old stats professors and ask for their comment on this?
Posted by Mithridates6
Member since Oct 2019
8220 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:43 pm to
What does the media gain by feeding this narrative? I just don't get it.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19199 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:49 pm to
Dude, you are ate up with the dumbass.

Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
23894 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

did. You didn't respond to it.

If you think it makes any sense to "normalize" the data in the OP to produce "45X more likely", then you need to go back to school. And what school did you go to? TCU? Why don't you call up your old stats professors and ask for their comment on this?


I went to Louisiana State University.

and I still don’t think you understand magnitudes of data sets. but keep trying to flesh it out. it’s adorable. also, I’d love to know what point you’re trying to make exactly.

math says 550,000>60,000. especially when 13% commit the 550,000.

but keep using the word random. if I was a lawyer arguing against hate crimes I’d quote you
Posted by WildManGoose
Member since Nov 2005
4568 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:54 pm to
attackedattack
quote:

If you think it makes any sense to "normalize" the data in the OP to produce "45X more likely", then you need to go back to school.


16% of the population are committing 90% of the attacks. You can't just say whites get attacked more because they're the majority, because obviously the opposite, that whites attack more because they're the majority, is not true. You don't think that needs to be normalized to put into perspective? The example you gave where everyone was a criminal and attacks were random was useless. You added the WoW and BoB element.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

I went to Louisiana State University.

and I still don’t think you understand magnitudes of data sets. but keep trying to flesh it out. it’s adorable. also, I’d love to know what point you’re trying to make exactly.
The point is that 45X is very manipulative and meaningless.
quote:

math says 550,000>60,000. especially when 13% commit the 550,000.
What you don't seem to grasp is the fact that 550,000:60,000 is roughly 9:1, and 61% to 13% is roughly 9:2. In other words, the statistics do show that BoW crime is more pronounced than WoB, but it's about 2X out of proportion, not 45X out of proportion.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

But they're not all criminals and they don't attack at random. If we assume 1 victim per 1 attacker, they are mutually exclusive and non-repeating then according to the statistics 1.44% of blacks are committing attacks on whites and 0.03% of whites are committing attacks on blacks. On a number basis BoW is 9% more than WoB, but attacks adjusted as a percentage of total attacking population is how you get to 45X. It's actually 47.5X, and it is legitimate.

If by "legitimate" you mean "meaningless", then sure.


The number you have arrived at is more a reflection of the demographics of the country than it is a reflection of which race is most violent toward the other.

You are unwittingly accounting for the demographics in your calculations twice. Like I said, it is easy to manipulate people with statistics.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19199 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:04 pm to
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17931 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:04 pm to
Kork -

There are 38 million blacks, and from this population 547,948 violent crimes are perpetrated on whites.

What's the likelihood that a black commits a violent crime against a white?
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