Started By
Message

re: “Relevant Statistics” Thread

Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:05 pm to
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
21836 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

it's about 2X out of proportion,


And that’s the absolute BEST you can do, after massaging the data until it had a happy ending.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

16% of the population are committing 90% of the attacks.
That's where you've fricked up, and that's what the manipulative data in the OP counts on.

The actual data shows that 13% of the population is committing 23% of the violent crime. Out of proportion, sure, but not 45X out.
quote:

You can't just say whites get attacked more because they're the majority, because obviously the opposite, that whites attack more because they're the majority, is not true.
But it is true. Whites commit 2X as much violent crime as blacks. Refer to the actual data, page 3. Yes, whites commit less violent crime per their share than blacks, but nowhere near 45X less.
quote:

You don't think that needs to be normalized to put into perspective?
Data that needs to be normalized should be normalized. Data that does not need to be normalized becomes useless when "normalized". If you want to adjust the data in some way, you must do it correctly.
quote:

The example you gave where everyone was a criminal and attacks were random was useless.
It's only useless if you don't understand it. Which you clearly didn't.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

And that’s the absolute BEST you can do, after massaging the data until it had a happy ending.
It didn't require any massaging. And yes, the truth is the best I can do.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19221 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

the truth is the best I can do.


Let us know when you find it...
Posted by WildManGoose
Member since Nov 2005
4568 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

550,000:60,000 is roughly 9:1, and 61% to 13% is roughly 9:2


Bruh, are you a dumbass? 550,000 is BLACK on WHITE attacks. You're comparing that to white population. It should be compared to BLACK population. There are LESS black people committing MORE attacks. 550,000:60:000 is 9:1. 16%:84% is 1:5.25. 550,000/1 = 550,000. 60,000/5.25 is 11,428. 550,000/11,428 = 48.

And why would you use 61% and 13% when you're just considering BoW and WoB? You have to adjust the population. Your numbers are skewed by 26% of the population to begin with.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16438 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

It’s amazing how a movement can have so many supporters absent of any real measurement of truth.




Welcome to the entire Democratic platform.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

Kork -

There are 38 million blacks, and from this population 547,948 violent crimes are perpetrated on whites.

What's the likelihood that a black commits a violent crime against a white?
Roughly 3.1 in 1,000 per year. And the likelihood that a white commits a violent crime against a black is roughly 2.8 in 1,000 per year. Per the data, page 4.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

Let us know when you find it...
Let me know when you understand it
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17969 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

Roughly 3.1 in 1,000 per year. And the likelihood that a white commits a violent crime against a black is roughly 2.8 in 1,000 per year. Per the data, page 4.



So you're not arguing that the OP and others are doing their statistics wrong, you're saying the raw data they're using is wrong?
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19221 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

Let me know when you understand it


Lol, it’s painfully (for you) obvious you don’t.

Keep trying though
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51781 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:17 pm to
These threads are little more than Galileo Galilei explaining heliocentrism to the Church.

It doesn't matter how correct it is, so many absolutely do not want to hear it.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

So you're not arguing that the OP and others are doing their statistics wrong, you're saying the raw data they're using is wrong?
I do think the WoB stats are understated by a bit (I think it's closer to 90k), but that's not the issue. The problem is that multiplying those numbers per demographics is meaningless. The numbers are already a reflection of the demographics of potential victims, so to adjust for demographics again is just squaring the number for no reason. It is just plain incorrect and meaningless.
Posted by WildManGoose
Member since Nov 2005
4568 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

The actual data shows that 13% of the population is committing 23% of the violent crime. Out of proportion, sure, but not 45X out.


The statement is "Blacks commit X times more attacks on whites than whites commit on blacks". The statement itself is restricting the data to black and white population so you can't just go and add extra because you want to. Why did you point out that ONE statement then proceed to pull data on ALL violent crime?
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17969 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

The statement is "Blacks commit X times more attacks on whites than whites commit on blacks". The statement itself is restricting the data to black and white population so you can't just go and add extra because you want to. Why did you point out that ONE statement then proceed to pull data on ALL violent crime?



Exactly. He has figured out he's wrong about this, so he's bobbing and weaving like Ali hoping nobody notices.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19221 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Exactly. He has figured out he's wrong about this, so he's bobbing and weaving like Ali hoping nobody notices.


Bingo
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

The statement is "Blacks commit X times more attacks on whites than whites commit on blacks". The statement itself is restricting the data to black and white population so you can't just go and add extra because you want to. Why did you point out that ONE statement then proceed to pull data on ALL violent crime?
Because if you want to normalize by population, that's what you have to do. If you restrict to a subset and then normalize, you have to restrict to the same subset. You are looking at the crime that whites commit against 13% of the population, and comparing that to crime that blacks commit against 61% of the population.

In other words, you are looking at 13% of white crime and 61% of black crime, and then multiplying black crime by 5 times again.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

Exactly. He has figured out he's wrong about this, so he's bobbing and weaving like Ali hoping nobody notices.
No. I'm trying to figure out how to explain basic math to morons.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
19221 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:40 pm to
quote:

No. I'm trying to figure out how to explain basic math to morons


Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17969 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

No. I'm trying to figure out how to explain basic math to morons.


Okay, genius, tell us how this math is wrong -

59,778 violent crimes perpetrated on blacks by 197 million whites = 30 whites out of every 100,000 whites violently victimize a black

547,948 violent crimes perpetrated on whites by 38 million blacks = 1441 out of every 100,000 blacks violently victimize a white

1441/30 = 47.5

So blacks are 47.5 times more likely to violently victimize whites than whites are likely to violently victimize blacks
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
57938 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 10:50 pm to
I bookmarked this thread so hard it could go on pornhub.
Jump to page
Page First 3 4 5 6 7 ... 23
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 5 of 23Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram