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re: “Relevant Statistics” Thread

Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:31 pm to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111563 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

example that explains why multiplying to adjust for population ratio is a lie. Do you understand?
i understand that every liberal talking about police brutality does exactly that.
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
22812 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:36 pm to
I don’t think you understand how statistics work. He was just trying to normalize it. Are you upset how it is worded?

I also don’t think it is fair to attach any of it to race in the discussion.

All of this violence can be tied back to social group behaviors, economics, and education.
This post was edited on 6/2/20 at 7:42 pm
Posted by Sid E Walker
InsecureU ©
Member since Nov 2013
23887 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:37 pm to
You can focus on the multiplier inaccuracy if you want, but the actual numbers are pretty eye-opening. Comment on that.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

i understand that every liberal talking about police brutality does exactly that.
What type of statistic are you talking about?

It depends on what data is included, and also on the meaning of the data to determine how to make the adjustment.

In the case of interracial crime, we are excluding a lot of data (same-race crime), so there is no need to "adjust" the numbers in this way. The data is already adjusted by black/white ratio by virtue of using only the interracial data.


Again, this goes to show how easy it is to manipulate people with statistics.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

I don’t think you understand how statistics work.

quote:

He was just trying to normalize it.
That is not how you normalize this data.
quote:

Are you upset how it is worded?
No, I'm "upset" that it is plainly a lie. A manipulation.

Another example for those who still don't understand. Let's throw the ratio way out of whack and make it 1000 white people and 1 black person. 1 of the white people attacks the black person, and the lone black person attacks 1 white person. How should we "adjust" these statistics? Should we take the 1 and 1, and multiply the black person's 1 by 1000 to adjust for population ratio? The black guy is 1000X times more likely to attack a white person than a white person is to attack a black person! No shite, there's only 1 of him.

Does it make sense yet, or should I try again?
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

The part where 9X is "adjusted" for population up to 45X is a prime example of how easy it is to manipulate people with statistics. Multiplying the 9X by 5 (the difference in population) is meaningless. It just reflects the fact that the majority is more likely to be attacked at random by virtue of just being the majority. As a simple example, take a population of 100, 83 white and 17 black (same ratio as 61% to 12.5%). If everyone is a criminal and everyone else is attacked at random, we will end up with the 83 whites attacking 14 blacks and 69 whites, and the 17 blacks attacking 14 whites and 3 blacks. It's 14 both ways all else equal. In this case, would you inflate the minority population's numbers by 5X given that everyone is a criminal and all attacks are random?



This was your takeaway from all of the evidence and data provided?

Dumbass
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69330 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:51 pm to
So korkstand, if a statistician wants to measure if whites are more likely to kill blacks than blacks are to kill whites, or vice versa, how should he/she go about doing it?
This post was edited on 6/2/20 at 7:52 pm
Posted by BoomBoomBoom
Member since Oct 2013
939 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:52 pm to
Can you provide direct links to the graphs or data?
Posted by Aristo
Colorado
Member since Jan 2007
13292 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:56 pm to
The data is cited within the graphic.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64658 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

Korkstand



The lengths of dishonesty and absurd mental gymnastics you progressives will go to in order to maintain your political narrative is nothing short of amazing.
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
20030 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

The part where 9X is "adjusted" for population up to 45X is a prime example of how easy it is to manipulate people with statistics. Multiplying the 9X by 5 (the difference in population) is meaningless. It just reflects the fact that the majority is more likely to be attacked at random by virtue of just being the majority.

As a simple example, take a population of 100, 83 white and 17 black (same ratio as 61% to 12.5%). If everyone is a criminal and everyone else is attacked at random, we will end up with the 83 whites attacking 14 blacks and 69 whites, and the 17 blacks attacking 14 whites and 3 blacks. It's 14 both ways all else equal. In this case, would you inflate the minority population's numbers by 5X given that everyone is a criminal and all attacks are random?


This is like watching the winning floor routine of mental gymnastics.
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
22812 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:04 pm to
I don’t agree with assigning it to race. I don’t believe people are significantly killing people over race.

I don’t follow your disagreement with the standard normalization. If you throw out his argument I think you throw the argument he debating.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

You can focus on the multiplier inaccuracy if you want
I typically do focus on correcting lies and manipulation.
quote:

but the actual numbers are pretty eye-opening. Comment on that.
The actual numbers are concerning, I agree. There are clearly some cultural/racial/class/whatever you want to call it problems that we need to solve. But we should NOT try to solve them by blowing them way out of proportion to try to scare people. As another example of data manipulation, just as important as the data provided is the data that was left out. The rest of the data says that a random white person is about twice as likely to be attacked by another white person than by a black person.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111563 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

What type of statistic are you talking about?


Lol
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

This was your takeaway from all of the evidence and data provided?

Dumbass
My takeaway is that people are being manipulated and believing it. It does nothing whatsoever to address the problem other than blow it way out of proportion and make people angry. It is counterproductive.

Dumbass.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28710 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

The lengths of dishonesty and absurd mental gymnastics you progressives will go to in order to maintain your political narrative is nothing short of amazing.
I am literally here correcting the dishonesty and mental gymnastics on the part of others.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
21827 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

It does nothing whatsoever to address the problem



It proves your entire narrative about “the problem” is bullshite.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64658 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

I am literally here correcting the dishonesty and mental gymnastics on the part of others.


What’s most hilarious about your post is I think you probably have fooled yourself in to thinking this is what you’re really doing.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111563 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

It does nothing whatsoever to address the problem other than blow it way out of proportion and make people angry.


I think we can find some common ground on stats here.
(Not really.)
Posted by Caplewood
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2010
39156 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 8:15 pm to
cope pussy
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