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re: Rank your Senate races from highest to least confidence:

Posted on 10/27/26 at 12:58 pm to
Posted by MrFreakinMiyagi
Reseda
Member since Feb 2007
20420 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

If by betting, you mean voting, then yes I have already bet on him.

He probably means betting on kalshi or poly market.
If you are this confident, then you stand to make a financial windfall. I’m sure you wouldn’t miss out on that.

You can legit, “put your money where your mouth is”

I have no earthly idea who is going to win the TX senate race, but if I knew that Paxton was going to win, I’d throw some $ at it
Posted by Padme
Member since Dec 2020
10312 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 12:59 pm to
The democrats don’t even think freako will win. He’s a complete decoy. They pulled their money to pour into other races, gave some fake poll numbers so he could race a shite-ton of money from private donors, just as a means of making the GOP spend much more than they should have to. Not a bad strategy, but freako won’t win.
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 1:00 pm
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
26588 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:06 pm to
You have to compare to 2018 and not 2022. Beto vs. Ted is closer aligned to this event.

The next few days of early voting will tell the story. Voted yesterday and there was 0 people in line in Collin County (some say it is purple). People were voting, but no line.

Days 1-3: 2026 slightly stronger
Days 4-6: essentially neck-and-neck
Day 7: 2018 moves ahead

Democrats need to stay ahead of 2018 pace to have a chance. Beto was a far more digestible candidate to Talarico.
Posted by KemoSabe65
70605
Member since Mar 2018
7816 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:08 pm to
Allah Akbar has a “Black” problem as does the Texas Twink.
NC & Ga are lost
Posted by WGM1990
Member since Aug 2023
265 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:35 pm to
Mississippi will definitely stay Republican with Cindy-Hyde Smith……..Dems are waiting enormous amounts of money tv ads for her opponent…….
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133686 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Historically republicans especially MAGA republicans are more likely to display campaign signs


Not I

I dont want some insane leftist seeing a sign and messing with my house
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
28150 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:39 pm to
Ossof/Collins is going to be so close that there will be a recount.

Maybe ossof wins. But it won't be official after next wednesday.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
26588 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Historically republicans especially MAGA republicans are more likely to display campaign signs


Zero factual truth in that statement.

Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
41276 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 1:59 pm to
Why did you skip over my post?
Posted by lsutiger90
Cottage Grove, Houston, TX
Member since May 2004
1159 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 2:32 pm to
One thing that was very encouraging in Harris County.

The busiest polling station as reported by ABC13 is located in Cypress, not on W. Gray near the downtown/midtown area, as it has typically been.

Cypress is RED, so although I expect Harris to remain a blue county, the RED vote appears to be turning out.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199887 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 2:37 pm to
Meg and Dick Weekly Community Center

grasping at straws
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199887 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 2:39 pm to
inde[pendents will decide Texas

Typically they break 70% for Republicans this time they're breaking 65% Democrat
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
14231 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 2:46 pm to
And independents (no primary history) make up the largest block of early voting ballots cast, as was reported.
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 3:00 pm
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199887 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 3:00 pm to
thats been in the tea leaves for over a year
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6948 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 3:12 pm to
Kansas 50-50
Dr Roger Marshall(R) is a terrible candidate. He is just as bad as Paxton when it comes to to campaigning.

A lot a former statewide elected conservatives are running ads against him.
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 3:13 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
82029 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 3:17 pm to
What are his issues? Why would former conservatives be so set against him?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
26588 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Why did you skip over my post?


Because it was a dumb arse post on a message board.

"Put your money, where your mouth is" - are you a fricking child.

Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
41276 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

"Put your money, where your mouth is" - are you a fricking child.


Buddy you called someone a retard for thinking Texas was in doubt and you are picking the underdog to win.

So there are two possibilities:

1. You’re correct and you’re throwing away free money, which would make you the retard.

2. You’re actually not as sure as you pretend to be, which means you shouldn’t be calling anyone a retard.

So which one is it, bub?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
26588 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 4:31 pm to
Or, I just do not wager on stuff like this.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
41276 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 4:32 pm to
So option 1, then. Got it.
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