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Message
Question about polymarket - Ilhan Omar
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:20 am
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:20 am
The Republican candidate can be bought at 4.9 cents, $100 would pay $1576. Is this a buy situation right now or she still gonna get elected? How’s that work?
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:22 am to DeBoar
She gets elected easily
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:23 am to DeBoar
quote:That state would reelect her, even if she were shown to be Osama bin Laden's right hand advisor. In fact, given her constituency, it would probably make her more popular.
or she still gonna get elected?
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:23 am to Cosmo
If she left the country, she not getting elected to shite
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:25 am to DeBoar
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:25 am to rtr72
quote:
If she left the country, she not getting elected to shite
That’s what I’m saying. I assume eventually polymarket will just remove it. Or hypothetical if she wins but later removed wonder if polymarket would pay out.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:27 am to castorinho
You think she’s gonna make it to Jan 3rd? $100 seems tempting.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:27 am to rtr72
quote:
If she left the country, she not getting elected to shite
Maybe now people will see how unlikely that is.
The markets saw the raid and didn’t really move at all. Don’t show BoarEd though he’ll be devastated.
This post was edited on 10/16/26 at 7:29 am
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:28 am to mwade91383
quote:
Maybe now people will see how unlikely that is.
The markets saw the raid and didn’t really move at all. Don’t know BoarEd though he’ll be devastated.
Arky posters in shambles rn.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:29 am to DeBoar
Until an indictment drops, she will keep playing the card that it's a political witch hunt.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:30 am to DeBoar
quote:read my screenshot again. Don't waste your money
You think she’s gonna make it to Jan 3rd? $100 seems tempting.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:30 am to DeBoar
Depending on the market rules, using your idea, the better play would be buying "No" outcomes for Ilhan rather than "Yes" for the Republican.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:31 am to castorinho
quote:
read my screenshot again. Don't waste your money
I did. She can win but has to make it to Jan 3rd to swear in.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:32 am to DeBoar
quote:read it again. Carefully.
I did
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:32 am to DeBoar
Even if you win they’re not gonna pay out because of some technicality they make up on the spot
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:33 am to castorinho
The statement confuses e, not unusual. Is the bet she wins the election, or a Demo gets sworn in? Looks like the prediction is a Democratic gets sworn in as I don't see Omar's name as winner or sworn in. I see why you say read again carefully.
This post was edited on 10/16/26 at 7:35 am
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:33 am to el Gaucho
quote:
Even if you win they’re not gonna pay out because of some technicality they make up on the spot
That’s my original thought
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:34 am to Victor R Franko
quote:That's the title.
. Is the bet she wins the election,
quote:That's the fine print, and the reason why the bet is a foregone conclusion
or a Demo gets sworn in?
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:36 am to castorinho
Okay if she’s projected media winner. So yeah it’s contradicting
Posted on 10/16/26 at 7:40 am to DeBoar
quote:
How’s that work?
Work?
It's a full scam, that's how. Ilhan isn't NOT getting elected if she's on the ballot. Her handlers have baked that into the system. Look at Los Angeles. Look at D.C and Mayor Marion Barry. Dems will support the absolute worst scum and villainy imaginable.
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