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Message
PredictIt is flipping towards our GEOTUS bigly
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:38 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:38 pm
Trump now trading at about 60% in Florida
Trump now creeping up over 40% to win the EC
Trump now at 40% in PA
Trump now over 60% in each of GA, IA, OH, TX
Trump now over 50% in NC
Only lagging states IMO are AZ, MI, WI, NV, and MN. Everything else is fairly priced for Trump.
Also take a peek at our boy JOHN JAMES in Michigan while you can still get him at $.30
Once Arizona flips (just a single good poll away), Trump will be near 260 EV's and Biden will be under 280 EV's.
Trump now creeping up over 40% to win the EC
Trump now at 40% in PA
Trump now over 60% in each of GA, IA, OH, TX
Trump now over 50% in NC
Only lagging states IMO are AZ, MI, WI, NV, and MN. Everything else is fairly priced for Trump.
Also take a peek at our boy JOHN JAMES in Michigan while you can still get him at $.30
Once Arizona flips (just a single good poll away), Trump will be near 260 EV's and Biden will be under 280 EV's.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 5:39 pm
12
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:40 pm to SirWinston
What are the fees like on Predictit? 10% withdrawal fee I'm reading???
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:44 pm to Eat Your Crow
5 percent withdrawal fee plus 10 percent of gains.
If you bet $50 on a 50-50 and win, you will net $95. Then when you withdrawal it will cost you $4.75.
If you bet $50 on a 50-50 and win, you will net $95. Then when you withdrawal it will cost you $4.75.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:44 pm to SirWinston
Noticed that too. I started on Predictit 3 weeks ago and am already up 26%. Get Dem No on NV while you still can at a good rate!
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:45 pm to SirWinston
NY and CA are incredibly great odds for MAGA
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:46 pm to Eat Your Crow
Yeah they take 10% of your profit.
I put a $100 on Trump like a month ago when he was at $0.40. I’m betting he wins and I double up. Max bet is $850 and if I wasn’t scared of fraud I’d do it. I’m already scared giving them my cc info for the $100
I put a $100 on Trump like a month ago when he was at $0.40. I’m betting he wins and I double up. Max bet is $850 and if I wasn’t scared of fraud I’d do it. I’m already scared giving them my cc info for the $100
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:49 pm to SirWinston
Tough call, been watching Predictit everyday. NC barely flips for Trump, Pennsylvania and Michigan were at 70 and slowly getting into 60.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:50 pm to 10MTNTiger
If you max OH GA TX IA and FL you will make like $2500 with very little risk
Then estimate those profits and sprinkle some of them on NV, MI, WI, MN, ME2, NH, NM, AZ, NC, and John James.
Others I like are Trump EC, Trump popular vote, and Dems to not control all 3 branches
Then estimate those profits and sprinkle some of them on NV, MI, WI, MN, ME2, NH, NM, AZ, NC, and John James.
Others I like are Trump EC, Trump popular vote, and Dems to not control all 3 branches
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 5:52 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:01 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:10%, similar to the "juice" on betting websites
What are the fees like on Predictit? 10% withdrawal fee I'm reading???
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:03 pm to SirWinston
quote:
If you max OH GA TX IA and FL you will make like $2500 with very little risk
What is the max "bet" per state?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:03 pm to SirWinston
I have to say, today is the first day in a while that it feels like there has been a real momentum shift.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:04 pm to SirWinston
How do you sell on there?
How does it work?
How does it work?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:05 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
similar to the "juice" on betting websites
good old VIGORISH aka JUICE
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:06 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
10%, similar to the "juice" on betting websites
Makes sense. Thanks!
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:08 pm to Sus-Scrofa
It disgusts me to see Virginia blue
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:10 pm to SirWinston
The way to play it is to basically short Biden (buy the No). That’s what I did a while back. I sold my shares for a Trump win and bought Biden No shares at a cheaper price. Not only is it cheaper, there are also more ways to win (although that is getting less likely) . Right now a Trump Yes is 42 cents and a Biden no is 38 cents.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:11 pm to concrete_tiger
Bet heavy on the Republicans taking the Senate seat in Minnesota
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:14 pm to SirWinston
These polls are all used by the media to manipulate people. They say Biden is up big then they show it getting tighter and that is to make democrats nervous so they will put the bong down and muster up enough energy to get off of their dead arse and go vote. Trump will win the election but I fear we may never know it.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:24 pm to CajunTiger92
So basically if I buy in @ 42 cents a share and Trump wins I get $1 minus fees?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:26 pm to Warfox
quote:I’m curious about that too.
So basically if I buy in @ 42 cents a share and Trump wins I get $1 minus fees?
That seems like a sweet deal.
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