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re: predict the % of black voters that vote for Trump, nationally

Posted on 10/19/24 at 7:43 pm to
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
86386 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

It wont take any convincing. Listened to a call in radio show in Montgomery yesterday. Center-rightish host is black. Callers were an endless stream of black men, all but calling him an Uncle Tom on the air. There is no great wave of black men for Trump. They remain as they're been all my life: wedded body and soul to the Democrats.



The divide is among young black men. Not older black men. They aren’t ever coming over. Young black men are voting for Trump though.
Posted by BrohemAlem11
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
13397 posts
Posted on 10/19/24 at 7:47 pm to
Pretty sure if it approaches 20% it's a landslide w a popular vote win on top
Posted by ThermoDynamicTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1449 posts
Posted on 10/23/24 at 10:43 am to
No way we getting 37. I predict 20%, which will be plenty.
Posted by LSUAngelHere1
Watson
Member since Jan 2018
10137 posts
Posted on 10/23/24 at 10:43 am to
Real or fake ballots?
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56127 posts
Posted on 10/23/24 at 10:49 am to
22%. I hope that is a very lowball figure.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
195023 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:00 pm to
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:01 pm to
predict the % of black voters that vote for Trump, nationally

He won't get one percentage point over 12.
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
17878 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

don't know man, I think the brothers gonna vote at least 40% to 50% Trump...the women are probably 99% Harris. That would likely make it around 20% for Trump.


I think the brothers have turned the corner. 65%+ Trump from them

This is turning into what it’s always been.

Man versus women
This post was edited on 10/25/24 at 8:08 pm
Posted by TigerRoyale
Zwolle
Member since Oct 2023
1358 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

Somewhere around 25% black males. 5-8 % black woman. After the vote dumps it will be 10% for them all.


I think this is a pretty strong opinion.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
25312 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:11 pm to
I'm hanging at 20%

The black women aren't coming over (unfortunately)
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78334 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:18 pm to
I'm gonna up my guess from 12% earlier in this thread to 13%.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
195023 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:20 pm to
Trump got 12% in 2020
Posted by WestBay
Member since Jul 2023
363 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:31 pm to
Give me the under
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
24158 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:32 pm to
Sorry, I'll say 15. They always vote how they are told to vote.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
195023 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:32 pm to
under 12?
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
17878 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

Not older black men


How many are there? Average life expectancy for a black male is relatively short.
This post was edited on 10/25/24 at 8:35 pm
Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
82240 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:40 pm to
Anything more than 10% would be the death knell of the Democrat Party
Posted by Captain Rumbeard
Member since Jan 2014
6449 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:41 pm to
18% is probably right. And that's devastation for them. I'm hoping for more though. We need to put a stake in this things heart.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78334 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

Trump got 12% in 2020
I know. And he's made huge efforts and will get 13%.
Posted by Reagan80
Earth
Member since Feb 2023
1938 posts
Posted on 10/25/24 at 8:46 pm to
12%
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