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re: Powell is talking BS. higher long-term rates as ‘supply shocks’ provide policy challenges

Posted on 5/15/25 at 9:50 am to
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6976 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 9:50 am to
LINK

Indeed he did. But remember, you are talking to a TDS infected poster.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
19757 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 9:51 am to
Fire this clown already. What is Trump waiting for?
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12135 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Powell wants a crash so that Trump gets hurt politically.




Trump was a lame duck President on day one. He can't run again.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91056 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 9:58 am to
FIRE THIS POS NOW!
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
37501 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 10:33 am to
What politics is he playing? Doing nothing until the 4th Quarter, at the earliest is the smart play.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97940 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 10:34 am to
quote:

What politics is he playing?


Inflatuon is under 2%

The BLS revisions todat are unreal

He said his targetvis 2% to cut we are here

Whys he waiting?
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
37501 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 10:44 am to
What's the rush? Stupid low interest rates helped to exacerbate inflation. So long as he doesn't raise, I don't see a problem. October is 4.5 months away. Staying steady on the rates doesn't hurt anything. Unless your trying to overbuy a house or strip your equity in a housing market that is overall stagnant and in a price decline currently.

Sure Wall Street might love it for the main purpose of engaging in stock buybacks.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97940 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 11:52 am to
quote:

What's the rush?


I mean we know you are very stupid but the cuts wont even be felt till 12mnths later

So its better to wait for the recession

Dumbarse Jerome waited to raise and why we are in this position
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138787 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Powell is talking BS. higher long-term rates as ‘supply shocks’ provide policy challenges
For those who would defend the man as
"nonpolitical" or "just doing his job," this is the same dude who addressed the obvious and gargantuan supply shocks of 2021 as "transient" and not worthy of action.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61723 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

lowering interest rates is insanely idiotic at this juncture. Addiction to lower than historically normal interest rates is really troublesome. It’s like y’all want higher inflation.


Preach
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134869 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Inflatuon is under 2%
Link?
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
5037 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Why can't low rates be the new normal.. like we were told for everything else?

It's clear inflation is back to normal.


Because it's not. The absolute worst thing we could do is lower rates, and trigger inflation and then have to raise rates back up,

And while the uncertainty of the tariffs has been somewhat resolved, their impact is still unknown. And then we have all these 90-day tariffs cessations expiring.

Get these trade deals done PDQ. Establish the tariff rates and be done with it so that market can adjust and their impact can be determined.

And then adjust rates accordingly.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138787 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Addiction to lower than historically normal interest rates is really troublesome.
Of course that depends on your measure and/or understanding of "normal rates" and how they are determined. E.g., Is 2% inflation in a fiat-based economy "normal"?
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
5037 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Whys he waiting?


Because he knows you've racked up a ton of credit card debt, and your mother had to cut back on your monthly allowance - ALL because of Biden's inflation.

But at this point, it is just obvious that Jerome doesn't like you all that much.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138787 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Because he knows
Does he?
Milton Friedman held that "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon."

Is a one-off price increase secondary to tax policy "inflationary"?
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
39640 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:40 pm to
I listened to some Phd. guy on Bannon and he explained the whole Deficit dynamic in a way that I could understand. He said that the Bond Market will have the final say and that if investors decline to buy bad debt bonds then the Fed will be boxed into the print money or let the Government collapse scenario. Period. 2 plus 2 will always be 4.
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6976 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Staying steady on the rates doesn't hurt anything.


You are full of shite! It dries up money.
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6976 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

ALL because of Biden's inflation.



Powell refused to act on inflation for OVER a year while report after report after report showed inflation was going up. Had he raised rates sooner, we would be done with the situation we are in. But he didn't. He made it worse on the American people.

Now, he's f'n up again by waiting.
Posted by hawkeye007
Member since Feb 2010
6297 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:52 pm to
this is 100% true. Most people don't understand how truly fricked we are. If rates where to go down under 6% it would trigger a housing price uptick. We can't have an uptick in pricing because houses are already overpriced. Wages are not increasing so this makes the situation even worse. What we need is a recession. No one wants to talk about it but that's the only way out of this IMO.
Posted by Tomatocantender
Boot
Member since Jun 2021
5597 posts
Posted on 5/15/25 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

It dries up money.


Spot on, along with the velocity of money which is usually a 6-month lag to begin with.
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