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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted on 5/4/26 at 4:50 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 5/4/26 at 4:50 pm to BayouBengal51
quote:
“Please ignore what you see with your lying eyes."
quote:
Senior Iranian Military Official: Iran has no plan to target the UAE - Iranian state media
Democrats and the IRGC are so much alike, it’s scary.
1
Posted on 5/4/26 at 4:54 pm to Sid E Walker
Hmmm, what a shame 
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 5/4/26 at 4:55 pm
Posted on 5/4/26 at 4:55 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 5/4/26 at 4:58 pm to BayouBengal51
https://www.flightradar24.com/IRA3549/3f898e8e
What is this Iran Air flight? Took off from SA, skirted UAE, flew over Oman and then into Iran.
Looks like it’s going to Mashhad.
What is this Iran Air flight? Took off from SA, skirted UAE, flew over Oman and then into Iran.
Looks like it’s going to Mashhad.
This post was edited on 5/4/26 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:07 pm to IvoryBillMatt
They protested unarmed in January and over 40k, probably more, were killed
There is absolutely zero chance the IRGC survives this. They don't have the bodies to fight a million man army that wants blood.
And if we or Mossad arms them? New government, new (old) flags flying at government buildings.
There is absolutely zero chance the IRGC survives this. They don't have the bodies to fight a million man army that wants blood.
And if we or Mossad arms them? New government, new (old) flags flying at government buildings.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:15 pm to BayouBengal51
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If tweet fails to load, click here.quote:
What you’re hearing from Scott Bessent is not just a supply update, it is a structural unwind of the cartel pricing mechanism that has anchored global energy for decades...
The mention of an 8 to 10 million barrel deficit tied to the Strait of Hormuz sets the stage, then he immediately pivots to surplus...
That shift is key... when you move from constrained flow to “awash in oil,” you are watching scarcity pricing lose its grip...
The release valve is opening from multiple directions at once., the United Arab Emirates stepping outside coordinated quota behavior, OPEC increasing output, and the United States pushing record production all stack into the same outcome...
Supply stops being "managed" and starts being unleashed.. that is how a cartel begins to lose control without needing a formal collapse announcement...
Now layer in my broader mapping... the old pricing power sat inside a triangle that heavily favored legacy financial and maritime influence tied to the City of London...
You see, that influence depends on controlled flows, predictable quotas, and disciplined producers...
When nations begin acting in their own production interest, forming direct bilateral corridors, and ignoring quota discipline, the gravitational center weakens...
The UAE move becomes a template, not an exception, others see the upside of sovereign production and direct trade lanes and begin to test the same path...
The moment supply floods beyond coordinated control, pricing authority fragments... that is where Britain’s leverage through legacy financial channels starts to thin out, because the system it intermediates is no longer centralized...
What looks like a temporary surge in oil is actually a transition phase where cartel discipline gives way to sovereign flow, and once that shift takes hold, more producers step out of alignment and the entire structure begins to decentralize in plain sight... watch as prices start dropping... simply supply and demand formula..
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:35 pm to Ailsa
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:51 pm to BayouBengal51
I get the feeling that Trump wants to just continue the escort mission of ships in the strait and continue the blockade. It really seems he does not want to blow them up. The thought may be that our Navy can shoot down the drones, missiles and tiny boats while we keep a stranglehold on Iran's economy.
But, Trump may not have any choice but to blow the hell out of them.
But, Trump may not have any choice but to blow the hell out of them.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:55 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:56 pm to TurkeyBaconLeg
quote:
I get the feeling that Trump wants to just continue the escort mission of ships in the strait and continue the blockade. It really seems he does not want to blow them up. The thought may be that our Navy can shoot down the drones, missiles and tiny boats while we keep a stranglehold on Iran's economy. But, Trump may not have any choice but to blow the hell out of them.
IMO the sooner we get to eliminating them, the sooner this thing is over. If we are going to strike then it must be freaking massive with the build up occurring the area.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:57 pm to TurkeyBaconLeg
I think he would rather not but won't get that luxury and will resume - to finish what the Iranians started 47 years ago
Posted on 5/4/26 at 5:58 pm to TurkeyBaconLeg
Might as well take out a few more launchers, AA equipment, missile stockpiles, some terrorist scum leaders all before breakfast in the morning.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:10 pm to remaster916
Sounds like we are running ships through the strait tonight and pulled in air cover. Wit air activity over the gulf.
Or there is an amphibious invasion of the islands.
Or there is an amphibious invasion of the islands.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:17 pm to TurkeyBaconLeg
I expect at some point Israel will start putting pressure on Trump to resume airstrikes or to at least allow them to do so. Look for press leaks about Israeli frustration to start at some point. Don't think it will get that far, though - I think US airstrikes tonight are very possible.
This post was edited on 5/4/26 at 6:19 pm
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:21 pm to TroutGuy
I agree but I do believe Israel would go on her own if push came to shove - drawing off the animosity of the Gulf States toward Iran and an unwillingness to co-exist with Iranian proxies and I cannot blame them
The map has been re-drawn -- will be interesting to see how it unfolds
The map has been re-drawn -- will be interesting to see how it unfolds
This post was edited on 5/4/26 at 6:22 pm
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:34 pm to wfallstiger
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:40 pm to TurkeyBaconLeg
quote:
Trump may not have any choice but to blow the hell out of them.
They may do it to themselves...
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"They have a problem coming up because they have it's a very explosive situation in a lot of different ways."
"You know, their oil, when you turn off the oil underground and the mechanical, too, but underground has a tendency in like almost 100 percent of the cases to literally explode and just destroy everything around it. And you can never get that oil again."
"In other words, you could get back 30 to 40 percent, but it could never be like it is right now. It does tremendous damage to the oil system in a country if that happens."
TRUMP HAS THE CARDS. Can't outlast him.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:43 pm to TroutGuy
We all know what tomorrow is!
I didn’t want to say it but someone has to say it.
I didn’t want to say it but someone has to say it.
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:50 pm to Ailsa
Posted on 5/4/26 at 6:51 pm to Ailsa
9 days ago he said they could begin to explode in 3 days, guess if he keeps repeating it every so often it will eventually turn out to be true
Quote from April 26
Quote from April 26
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