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re: Neverending Election 2022 Thread! Senate 50-49 D-R, House looking 222-213 R-D!

Posted on 11/12/22 at 6:50 pm to
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 6:50 pm to
I think this is good?? I tuned out since noon to help my sanity and such.

quote:

Rich Baris "The People's Pundit"
@Peoples_Pundit
Correction: Here is the current break in AZ06. Pinal has a chunk in this district out that I suppose DD believes is just too much for Pima, which has ED drops remaining after the smaller DEM mail batch.


This post was edited on 11/12/22 at 6:51 pm
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

I just checked out the NYT tracker and I see some more ballots dropped in AZ.

And Lake lost more ground.

Those are from Pima and Coconino which just did drops. Supposedly Pima still hasn't released any election day drop offs:

quote:

Landon Wall
@LandonWall_

Pima has not released any E day drop offs which will stop the bleed. Lake is matching or out performing Trump 2020 in every county that has finished counting. Expect Pima to get tighter.


LINK
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

The Maricopa batch is 85k

@karilake
51.8%

@katiehobbs
48.2%
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:16 pm to
Come on- post links baw!
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

Maricopa County has tabulated 85,656 ballots
Est. 194,885 remain (88% complete)

Batch breakdown

Governor

@KariLake
51.8

@katiehobbs
48.2

Senate

@bgmasters
49.1

@CaptMarkKelly
49.2

AZSOS

@RealMarkFinchem
49.4

@Adrian_Fontes
50.6

AZAG

@AbrahamHamadeh
52.4

@krismayes
47.6


LINK
Posted by saintsfan6
TX
Member since Aug 2016
550 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:28 pm to
Arizona is toast. Who could have guessed we would get similar results to 2020?! Hope y’all are buckled up for “we almost had em!” from here on out!
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35949 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:46 pm to
Yeah, Lake ain't winning this.
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:49 pm to
Maricopa:

quote:

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer

There were no box 3 ballots in this latest tabulation.


LINK
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33414 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 7:52 pm to
There are about 267K votes left statewide. Kari needs those to break at approx 58% for her to win.
Posted by BHTiger
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
9263 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:13 pm to
If this wasn't so important to America's future this late /slow counting would be comical.
Posted by SoonerK
Member since Nov 2021
1014 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:24 pm to
Clark just dropped their mail-ins. CCM is going to win NV and with that its 50D/49R with Georgia going into is runoff. The Dems have held the Senate.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5908 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:28 pm to
It’s going to end up 51-49. Herschel is going to lose the runoff now that the Dems have hit 50 in the senate.

No one in the GOP is going to put their neck out for a flawed candidate in Georgia when the best case scenario is Dems still control the senate.

I assume desantis continues to say he is focused on being governor of Florida for the next 6 weeks and keeps the stink of a Hershel senate defeat off him and firmly on Trump.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
20283 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

Kari needs those to break at approx 58% for her to win.


She was done before the election. AZ is a hoax. She was polling plus 11-15 and exit polling was as much as 80-20 yet she suddenly is less than a 50% clip.

No way, Lake is a fabulous, energetic candidate that dominated the campaign.
Posted by SoonerK
Member since Nov 2021
1014 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

She was done before the election. AZ is a hoax. She was polling plus 11-15 and exit polling was as much as 80-20 yet she suddenly is less than a 50% clip.

What polls were you looking at?
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5908 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

No way, Lake is a fabulous, energetic candidate that dominated the campaign.


Indeed. She really is the GOP Beto.
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14681 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:39 pm to
Any drawn out election favors the Dem 80% of the time. I guess it’s better to be lucky than good.

Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
10338 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:48 pm to
This is one of the biggest disasters, if not the biggest disaster, for the GOP ever.

This is an election where they easily should’ve had 230+ seats in the House given the historically awful Biden administration. Mail in ballot harvesting has changed the game forever.

If you can’t win big in this environment, when could you ever expect to win big again?
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
20044 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:49 pm to
Nevada is a big union worker state. They're as loyal to the Dems as blacks.

Some idiots will never learn no matter how bad the economy gets.
This post was edited on 11/12/22 at 8:50 pm
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33414 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 8:55 pm to
I wonder how many votes were generated during the 8-hour camera shutdown in NV
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
22764 posts
Posted on 11/12/22 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

This is one of the biggest disasters, if not the biggest disaster, for the GOP ever. This is an election where they easily should’ve had 230+ seats in the House given the historically awful Biden administration. Mail in ballot harvesting has changed the game forever. If you can’t win big in this environment, when could you ever expect to win big again?

Are we serious enough to have a legit post mortem? It’ll be interesting to see.
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