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re: Nate Silver’s latest election model update has Kamala Harris winning for the first time

Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:04 pm to
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
120137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:04 pm to
Mate, don’t tell me you’re voting Kamala?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76603 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

You are smarter than this. This guy took a bullet and is still out there campaigning with piss poor protection.
And the direction he is going is a loss even after he took a bullet, which takes serious effort.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
24808 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

Do better.


He needs to be smarter.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

Being ballsy got his arse kicked by a geriatric last time around


I'll revert back to the Wire.

quote:

What did you learn when you went into the Terrace at two in the morning to conduct field interviews? What valuable information did we acquire from this situation?


Nobody has come close to explaining what positives came from this, other than "well that's Trump for ya!" and spinning his emotional reacts to Kemp from 4 years ago.

They won't, even if they do agree it was stupid, because they don't want to be put in the "out group"

Scruffy best watch his arse b/c he's got one or two more questions until he's in purgatory at best.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
10674 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

Being ballsy got his arse kicked by a geriatric last time around


"Being ballsy" delights the MAGA base, who views the presidency as though it is professional wrestling.

It doesn't really do much for swing voters, who are the actual voters that elect a POTUS. With that crowd it usually does more harm than good.

The irony is that Huckster Carlson has brainwashed the MAGA base to abhor the real instances in which "being ballsy" is a good thing, namely, foreign policy decisions. He's turned the MAGA base into Carter-era Democrats, in fact, with regard to international intervention.

Unless Trump is the one rattling the saber. In that case it's o.k. with them. But they will still advocate against it, they will simply ignore it when Trump does it and act like it never happened.



Posted by Bama Bird
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Mar 2013
22704 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:10 pm to
I didn't want Trump for this reason, and tbh I still don't exactly(for efficacy reasons), but I was never not going to support the GOP, and especially one from the America First branch. If Trump had a legit risk to worry at this point in time, I would absolutely be talking about it. The numbers look fantastic for a Republican- best of my lifetime and irl Harris support is practically nonexistant. The only ones paying attention to Trump right now are people who watch CNN/MSNBC (already Harris voters) and Trump supporters. No one else is even going to know this happened

The parties are advised to chill
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89772 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

Just don’t have me banned for being different, bruv. Freedom isn’t free.


I dont have to have you suspended

that I can do myself

but under what pretense? you have done nothing wrong

why would you even bring that up? is that a strategy for you to win the thread? passive aggressively paint me as unfair and unjust and that makes you what? a td.com victim?

you have your opinion, I have mine

neither of us is more important than the other, neither of us actually really and truly knows anything.

we just believe what we believe based on what we see and hear and read

who really cares? what difference does it really make?

Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
120137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:16 pm to
Who are you voting for?
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
35618 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

So as soon as Trump gets a little behind, we're starting with election fraud all over again?

No, sir.

I've been on election fraud all along because it has never been addressed by those who could rectify the problem.
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26163 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:20 pm to
quote:

Such a bad candidate that somebody tried to shoot him and end his life, yeah?


There’s no one Democrats would rather face in the election. If for some reason it turns out the classic profile school shooter was working with someone to take Trump out of the election, it won’t be Dems. Trust that.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89772 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:22 pm to
kemp was feckless in 2020

he is feckless now

trump just calls it out again and some of you lose your mind

he has trash talked kemp and also praised him for 5 years

I find it funny that some of you think voters in GA in 4 months will even remember or care about any of the criticism or the praise trump has given kemp over the last 5 years

Posted by azcatiger
somewhere
Member since Mar 2011
5369 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:24 pm to
Trump will win. He has to or we are completely fricked.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38572 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

but under what pretense? you have done nothing wrong


I’ve been suspended on this board for less, bubba

If it wasn’t you, fine. But I have a feeling you know how the game works here

quote:

why would you even bring that up? is that a strategy for you to win the thread? passive aggressively paint me as unfair and unjust and that makes you what? a td.com victim?


Not my intention. Apologies if I was roping you into something that you had nothing to do with previously.
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
120137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:27 pm to
Answer my question
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38572 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:28 pm to
I don’t currently have a wife or a wife’s boyfriend
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89772 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:33 pm to
funny I just looked it up, and I suspended you 8 years ago for flaming in a LSU FB game (Moo State) thread and unsuspended you six days later

thats it for our regulatory interactions through the years
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8293 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:39 pm to
I’m going to wait until the debates to see where this goes. Trump needs to be the debater that he was against Biden. The petty name calling and she’s not black isn’t going to cut it. Her policies at the border, economy , abortion is the way to attack Kamala. If Trump can do that, he will destroy Kamala.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38572 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:41 pm to
Good to know

I remember being at that tailgate, I think I had that one coming
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
18930 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:48 pm to
You mean the loser that had Hillary Clinton at 79% in 2016?

Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
141559 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

SlowFlowPro


If you don’t think Trump will win, why are you prancing around trying to make wagers on what he will or won’t do once elected?

Scruffy, you need to be stronger. Have some faith.
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