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Nate Gold with updated presidential election forecast.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:12 pm
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:12 pm
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:13 pm to GumboPot
Big Orange Up! I’m shocked!
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:14 pm to GumboPot
"He has NO CHANCE of winning!!!!!!!! Reeeeeeeeee!!" -rammerjammer
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:18 pm to GumboPot
People want a better economy and Do not want a shite ton of immigrants coming across the border. Who knew?
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:21 pm to SDVTiger
I can make out Eric and don Jr as faces on the players…is one of the others Kanye in a MAGA hat 
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 8:22 pm
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:27 pm to GumboPot
I needed this piece of good news. Been getting black pilled lately
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:27 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
"He has NO CHANCE of winning!!!!!!!! Reeeeeeeeee!!" -rammerjammer
"muh blumpf cannot win da general hurr durr"
that cuck is the worst. he must be on suicide watch now.
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 8:32 pm
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:30 pm to armtackledawg
quote:
I needed this piece of good news. Been getting black pilled lately
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:34 pm to GumboPot
How do Nate’s “forecasts” differ from his “polls”?
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:36 pm to KingOrange
We have seen a Trump presidency and know that life was better under the Trump administration. Everybody loves more money in their pocket, less inflation and less taxes.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:37 pm to AnAppleADay
quote:
How do Nate’s “forecasts” differ from his “polls”?
Nate doesn’t conduct polls. He performs a meta analysis on the current polls to determine his forecast.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:38 pm to GumboPot
If the lead is not huge, we lose in another cheat-fest!
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:42 pm to GumboPot
I’m so confused with these polls the last couple of weeks.
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:49 pm to AnAppleADay
quote:
How do Nate’s “forecasts” differ from his “polls”?
I'm assuming that his forecasts are where his model shows where the election will be come election day based on some formula that includes how the polls are trending, based on historical trends, and some other factors.
And I'm assuming his "polls" are just what his formulas are showing currently.
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 8:53 pm
Posted on 8/30/24 at 9:17 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Nate Gold with updated presidential election forecast.
He's at least right about AZ. The polls that show AZ a tossup or even Kamala up must be canvassing only Phoenix proper.
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