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Nate Gold with updated presidential election forecast.

Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:12 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:12 pm
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
13237 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:13 pm to
Big Orange Up! I’m shocked!
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
10102 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:14 pm to
We love polls again!!!
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97811 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:14 pm to
"He has NO CHANCE of winning!!!!!!!! Reeeeeeeeee!!" -rammerjammer
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
16748 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:15 pm to
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
90967 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:16 pm to






Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
13237 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:18 pm to
People want a better economy and Do not want a shite ton of immigrants coming across the border. Who knew?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97811 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:19 pm to

That last gif
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
37740 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:21 pm to
I can make out Eric and don Jr as faces on the players…is one of the others Kanye in a MAGA hat
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 8:22 pm
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
14460 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:27 pm to
I needed this piece of good news. Been getting black pilled lately
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
90967 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:27 pm to
quote:

"He has NO CHANCE of winning!!!!!!!! Reeeeeeeeee!!" -rammerjammer


"muh blumpf cannot win da general hurr durr"

that cuck is the worst. he must be on suicide watch now.
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 8:32 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

I needed this piece of good news. Been getting black pilled lately
Posted by AnAppleADay
Member since May 2016
137 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:34 pm to
How do Nate’s “forecasts” differ from his “polls”?
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8293 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:36 pm to
We have seen a Trump presidency and know that life was better under the Trump administration. Everybody loves more money in their pocket, less inflation and less taxes.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

How do Nate’s “forecasts” differ from his “polls”?


Nate doesn’t conduct polls. He performs a meta analysis on the current polls to determine his forecast.
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
25133 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:38 pm to
If the lead is not huge, we lose in another cheat-fest!
Posted by AnAppleADay
Member since May 2016
137 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:40 pm to
Got it. Thanks!
Posted by SlickRick55
Member since May 2016
2854 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:42 pm to
I’m so confused with these polls the last couple of weeks.
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16250 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 8:49 pm to
quote:


How do Nate’s “forecasts” differ from his “polls”?

I'm assuming that his forecasts are where his model shows where the election will be come election day based on some formula that includes how the polls are trending, based on historical trends, and some other factors.

And I'm assuming his "polls" are just what his formulas are showing currently.
This post was edited on 8/30/24 at 8:53 pm
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
22676 posts
Posted on 8/30/24 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Nate Gold with updated presidential election forecast.

He's at least right about AZ. The polls that show AZ a tossup or even Kamala up must be canvassing only Phoenix proper.
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