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re: More good momentum in Michigan

Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:15 am to
Posted by Beast Rabban
Giedi Prime
Member since Aug 2004
244 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:15 am to
The first 33min of this video is Robert Cahaly, chief pollster from Trafalgar, and the Michigan race is discussed and sounds promising. He also talks about the African American vote as well, and if true is going to be UGLY for the democrats. Enjoy!

Trafalgar for the Win!
Posted by TigerCrude
Member since Oct 2019
1878 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:21 am to
quote:

don't believe 28% black.

but even 18% would be huge


Large portion of black voters (Likely a large portion that work blue collar jobs. With pensions and 401k benefits.) in a state that is known for its fossil fuel automobile industry? Never woulda thunk it.
Posted by ChineseBandit58
Pearland, TX
Member since Aug 2005
42586 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:25 am to
quote:

but even 18% would be huge


Back beyond the current era of Deep State sedition, I always said 15% of the black vote would get GOP elected forever - or until the DEMs became more realistic in their agenda.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
45202 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Whitmer might be Biden's downfall.


Can’t describe how much I would love this to be the case.
Posted by beauchristopher
new orleans
Member since Jan 2008
65944 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:35 am to
quote:

In my life time no Republican has garnered that much black support. Seems suspect because it has never happened.


There is an absolutely massive black coalition for Trump.

It's actually awesome to see.
Posted by tbo
New Orleans
Member since May 2005
36 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:36 am to
What’s his poll say about Pennsylvania right now. And how it’s trending after the debate.
Posted by rashman
Member since Oct 2020
31 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:41 am to
You do realize Trafalgar is one of the most biased polls out there, right? Majority of polls show Biden did better. Trafalgar was way off in the 2018 predictions. Thought Cruz would beat Beto +7, ended up +2. There are other examples as well. You’re only setting yourselves up for disappointment...
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72065 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:45 am to
quote:

You do realize Trafalgar is one of the most biased polls out there, right?
They were also 2nd in accuracy in 2016.



And were one of the few who predicted a Trump win.

How do you view the other polls that had Clinton up significantly prior to the election?
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 9:46 am
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73578 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:46 am to
Who are you voting for?
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36023 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:51 am to
That piece of shite is voting for the child sniffing, daughter showering, crack addict enabling dementia patient.
Posted by rashman
Member since Oct 2020
31 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:53 am to
The ones that had Clinton ahead weren’t biased, they were just wrong. Some have been adjusted since then. Only time will tell how it plays out, but they have Biden up more than Clinton was. As for Trafalgar, they were one of the only ones that got 2016 right because it was one guy who had a Trump bias and so his poll looked accurate, even though he would’ve just picked Trump anyway. It was a lucky biased guess if you catch what I’m saying. I’m not trying to be mean, just pointing out what I’ve seen on Twitter. His 2018 polls were more off. Cruz is one example, but there were 2 others. I’ll see if I can find it again. Anyway, good luck to your candidate... Trafalgar will be irrelevant after 2020...
Posted by touchdownjeebus
Member since Sep 2010
24835 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:54 am to
When Trump wins Michigan, and then the election, he needs to go into flint and fix that water. Show the other side how it’s done, mr president.
Posted by rashman
Member since Oct 2020
31 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:55 am to
Doesn’t make my opinion any less valid. And I’m reporting facts on Trafalgar polling since 2016, not even opinion. And easy on the name calling friend...
Posted by windshieldman
Member since Nov 2012
12818 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:56 am to
quote:

They were also 2nd in accuracy in 2016.


Which poll was 1st?
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2290 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:57 am to
quote:

You do realize Trafalgar is one of the most biased polls out there, right?


Like Trump would say “WRONG”
Posted by rashman
Member since Oct 2020
31 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Like Trump would say “WRONG”


Of course he would, it’s in his favor...
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:00 am to
quote:

You do realize Trafalgar is one of the most biased polls out there, right? Majority of polls show Biden did better. Trafalgar was way off in the 2018 predictions. Thought Cruz would beat Beto +7, ended up +2. There are other examples as well. You’re only setting yourselves up for disappointment...




Why don't you take your fricking 3 posts and shove them right up your arse?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72065 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:01 am to
IBD/TPP if I remember correctly.

This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 10:02 am
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:02 am to
quote:

rashman
Member since Oct 2020
4 posts
Online


They are coming out of the woodwork boys.
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12236 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:04 am to
quote:

IBD/TPP if I remember correctly.

Nationally it was them and Marist. On the state level, so far I can't find who it was.
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