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Miami-Dade Update

Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:35 am
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:35 am
With 425,800 ballots already cast (43.4% of the 2016 vote total), Florida's largest county's vote total breaks down like this in terms of Party Registration:

Democrats: 196,953 (46.26%)
Republicans: 123,572 (29.02%)
Unaffiliated: 105,258 (24.7%)

That is a 17.24% lead for the Democrats. This is a county that Hillary Clinton carried by 29.6% back in 2016.... and yet it still wasn't enough for her to win the state of Florida.

Joe Biden simply cannot win Florida unless he wins Miami-Dade by at least 25%.... and that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville. Winning Miami-Dade by just 17% simply won't cut it no matter the gains Biden may have elsewhere.
Posted by 4Ghost
Member since Sep 2016
8518 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:36 am to
He is not winning FL. The Cuban/Hispanic vot is going to be huge this go round
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118613 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:40 am to
quote:

That is a 17.24% lead for the Democrats. This is a county that Hillary Clinton carried by 29.6% back in 2016


I hope this is a reflection of the enthusiasm gap and it's carried nation wide.

And IMO Miami-Dade is more MAGA than conventional wisdom. The Cuban, Venezuelan and a lot of Porto Rician communities are MAGA AF.
Posted by angryslugs
Member since Apr 2008
10185 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:41 am to
How many of those registered democrats are Cubans voting for Trump?
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
21722 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:42 am to
Here was the breakdown of voters in 2016 as well:

Dem: 1,379,247
Rep: 585,824
NPA: 372,401
Posted by BOHICA
Grand Island, Fl.
Member since Mar 2011
318 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:44 am to
quote:

that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando


Northern suburb of Orlando checking in. Biden has nowhere near the enthusiasm Hillary had 2016. He's fricked.
Posted by xGeauxLSUx
United States of Atrophy
Member since Oct 2008
20962 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:45 am to
quote:

He is not winning FL.

You mean Biden?
Posted by 4Ghost
Member since Sep 2016
8518 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:49 am to
Yes, sorry. Biden is NOT winning FL.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
98699 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:53 am to
quote:

The Cuban/Hispanic vot is going to be huge this go rou


It's almost as if they don't want communism.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:55 am to
quote:

And IMO Miami-Dade is more MAGA than conventional wisdom. The Cuban, Venezuelan and a lot of Porto Rician communities are MAGA AF.


Cuban and Venezuelan, yes for sure. Puerto Rican's lean pretty heavy to the Dems.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Northern suburb of Orlando checking in. Biden has nowhere near the enthusiasm Hillary had 2016. He's fricked.


Which county? Are you in Seminole?
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:57 am to
Posted by AmazingSpiderDog
Member since Oct 2020
343 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:09 pm to
LINK

Don't worry bout Florida, we got ya covered.
A little video I shot last Saturday.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
27469 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:28 pm to
How many of those 123k Republicans voted for Biden though? I can tell you damned near 0 of those Democrats voted for Trump.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

How many of those 123k Republicans voted for Biden though? I can tell you damned near 0 of those Democrats voted for Trump.



Not sure if serious.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44683 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Joe Biden simply cannot win Florida unless he wins Miami-Dade by at least 25%.... and that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville


Trump will roll in Nassau/Duval/St. John's counties again. Jacksonville is the biggest city in America with a Republican mayor.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 12:31 pm
Posted by covtgr
Covington
Member since Aug 2004
1040 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:31 pm to
Horrendous numbers for Biden in Florida right now.
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Horrendous numbers for Biden in Florida right now.


That's why they are sending Obama down there on Saturday:
LINK
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
71996 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

How many of those 123k Republicans voted for Biden though?
Considering Trump won the primary with 93.8%, likely all of them.
quote:

I can tell you damned near 0 of those Democrats voted for Trump.
Considering Hispanic support of Trump appears higher this election, you more than likely are completely wrong.
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
5531 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:38 pm to
Downtown Orlando, Tampa and, especially, St Pete are blue.

Keep an eye on crist's district. Made especially for him and deep blue but the challenger is putting up a good fight. If she wins, could be red sweep.
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