re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

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Russia possibly taking a chunk of a city they haven't been in control of at all to this point despite being in an area where Ukraine is advancing and multiple, often conflicting sources both showing the same thing on their maps was "stunning", not necessarily the maps or the control itself in a vacuum.

In the meantime it's interesting and something to monitor. But we've seen supposed Russian advances be "recon operations" that aren't at all meaningful and we've seen them be legit control that is denied by the media for months, so to extrapolate anything beyond "this could be significant" isn't possible until we have more information.

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That's a fair answer.

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I will go off of your clarification and in that case mostly agree.

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I appreciate that. Thanks.

To be more specific, because Russia is advancing in the East, if we were talking about an infiltration or claimed Russian advance in the East, then I would say that Russia would likely hold that territory, or at least some of it. If Ukraine were actually to reverse it, that would mean pulling resources away from another sector in the East and enable further Russian advance there.

But in the South, Ukraine has been advancing and has the balance of power in its favor. So, a localized Russian advance in the south looks like an attempt to force Ukraine to divert resources. Which is not nothing! But it also makes me skeptical that Russia will hold this territory.

I hope that makes sense, and I wish I had explained myself more carefully at the outset.

Hudson War Mapping

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appreciate that. Thanks.

To be more specific, because Russia is advancing in the East, if we were talking about an infiltration or claimed Russian advance in the East, then I would say that Russia would likely hold that territory, or at least some of it. If Ukraine were actually to reverse it, that would mean pulling resources away from another sector in the East and enable further Russian advance there.

But in the South, Ukraine has been advancing and has the balance of power in its favor. So, a localized Russian advance in the south looks like an attempt to force Ukraine to divert resources. Which is not nothing! But it also makes me skeptical that Russia will hold this territory.

I hope that makes sense, and I wish I had explained myself more carefully at the outset.

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Cheers, I went too hard for the offset and should have asked for more clarity

Ok, since Angarsk is 4500km from Ukraine, we'll allow a "Russian accident".

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That WB in Voronnezh went fast. Was located just north of Belgorod.

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Daylight in Voronezh is going to be delayed this morning -

Very surprising seeing that it's coming from Austria. The perp must have stopped paying off his Viennese handlers. And if you think that's a joke, think again.

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Four years in and they're still doing this. And they're pinning their hopes on the mobilization?

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When this video was published/geolocated, we concluded that this was a combination of new and old losses. That this couldn't possibly be part of the failed Russian assault group that tried to reach Sofiivka on 7-8 July.

We were wrong. Russia actually lined up 50+ soft-skinned vehicles for a mechanized assault that was shredded before it even started to advance.

This was 17ish km behind the closest part of the LOC at the time of the failed assault.

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This is interesting -

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Where did the Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" go?

I think everyone has noticed that over the past month and a half, the aeroballistic Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" has practically completely disappeared from the list of terror weapons used by the RF Armed Forces. And there's a very interesting explanation for that – no, they haven't run out. Something that's being produced can't run out, right?

The thing is, the Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" missiles have lost their former effectiveness, and their use has become, at least for now, impractical. The reason for this is the Ukrainian electronic warfare system "Lima".

It is the "Lima" EW system that has a unique capability that allows it to suppress Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" missiles during flight, as a result of which they simply fall to the ground, sometimes even without detonation.

The losses of Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" from suppression by the EW complex turned out to be so significant that the RF Armed Forces command decided to temporarily abandon the use of these missiles until they undergo modernization sufficient for stable operation in the "Lima" EW impact zone.

On the other hand, given such a clear effect, the question arises: will the further development of the "Lima" EW allow the complex to be used against other missiles that are difficult to intercept, employed by the RF Armed Forces? As an option, in some cases, this could be a solution to the emerging problem of ammunition shortages for the Patriot and SAMP/T air defense systems…

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And for technical threads, don't forget the Comments -

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Aren't hypersonic daggers enveloped in plasma through which no radio signal can pass? It seems like they used to say that at high speeds, plasma forms around the rocket because of this. Electronic warfare can't break through the plasma. And the missile doesn't use radio signals.

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In fact, the interaction of the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic missile with plasma and radio waves looks completely different: 1. Plasma is not formed along the entire trajectory Formation of a dense plasma layer occurs only when moving through the dense layers of the atmosphere at maximum speeds (from 5 Mach and above).

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The plasma screen effect does indeed exist, but it does not protect the missile from electronic warfare throughout the entire flight and does not eliminate the use of radio signals. Myths about the complete invulnerability of hypersonic weapons are often built on oversimplifications of the laws of physics.

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For most of the flight path (at altitudes of up to 30-40 km), the plasma cocoon is either too thin or absent. At this point, the missile actively uses radio signals, and during the final dive toward the target, the missile inevitably slows down due to air resistance, and the plasma density drops.

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If the plasma does not let radio waves out, it blocks them just as effectively from the inside (plasma blackout effect), blinding the rocket itself. To receive a signal from a satellite or see the target, the rocket has to "peek out" from the plasma cocoon or reduce its speed.

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During these vulnerable windows, modern electronic warfare systems spoof satellite coordinates. The electronics receive false data and begin erratic maneuvers at high speed, causing the missile to either veer off course or be destroyed in mid-air due to overload.

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And yes, this is a Russian language site.