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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 7/21/26 at 3:33 pm to
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7739 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

Well, we can stop refreshing every five minutes now.


Jesus man go touch some grass.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5853 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 4:30 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16404 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 4:35 pm to
I spoke with Victor again this morning. He is retiring end of this month but others soon. The harvest is Russia is already forecast to be not so great. The only impact should be Turkey and nearby nations. The world has a LOT of surplus grain left over from last year.

Remember OMLs prediction of world famine in 2022 due the war?
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27316 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 5:25 pm to
Mykhailo Drapatyi looks exhausted.



Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41579 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

The harvest is Russia is already forecast to be not so great.



Russia has already harvested 21 million tons of grain

Ukraine has harvested around 5
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13662 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 5:56 pm to
Russian grain production peaked in 2022 (what a coincidence!) at 157 million tons.

The last two years have been about 140 million tons.

This year is projected to be about 135 million tons.

If they can't get their diesel fuel production back online, they'll be lucky to do 125 million next year.

For reference it bottomed out in the 1990s in the 80 million ton range. But at least back then they had diesel fuel.

Meanwhile the USA will set another record at around 420 million tons this year.
This post was edited on 7/21/26 at 5:57 pm
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41579 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

Meanwhile the USA will set another record at around 420 million tons this year.


Because US farmland is more suitable for crop production with the majority of it being corn.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13662 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

Because US farmland is more suitable for crop production with the majority of it being corn.

Well. Yeah. We have better farm land than Russia. Sure.

But we also have a few other important things, like: better farmers. A functional capitalist economy. A functional credit market. A history of innovation. Modern infrastructure. Roads (important). Research and Development. Government assistance rather than government theft. Modern machinery. Private ownership. Warm water ports. Good customers. And a population that isn't being pressed into war service.

All things that Russia doesn't have. So. You know. All that adds up.

All the more reason why a 3rd world backwater like Russia fricked up by invading Ukraine. They don't have the balls to hang with western economies.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135333 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

Russia has already harvested 21 million tons of grain

Ukraine has harvested around 5
Nice link!

Ukraine's 2026 grain harvest is projected to be 60 million tons. LINK

Russia's 2026 grain harvest is projected to be 135.2 million tons. LINK

For perspective, Ukraine's population is only approx 35 million.

Russia's population is currently estimated to be 143.1 million.

What is your point?
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41579 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

For perspective, Ukraine's population is only approx 35 million.

Russia's population is currently estimated to be 143.1 million.


What’s your point? Russia exports half the grain they produce every year. Is your argument they are going to starve?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135333 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

Is your argument they are going to starve?
No, dumbass, my point is both countries grain harvest is in line with their population.

Now answer my question about the relevance of your silly statement, which you didn't provide a link for, about how much grain each country has harvested in this very,very early harvest season time frame.

Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8582 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

But we also have a few other important things, like: better farmers. A functional capitalist economy. A functional credit market. A history of innovation. Modern infrastructure. Roads (important). Research and Development. Government assistance rather than government theft. Modern machinery. Private ownership. Warm water ports. Good customers. And a population that isn't being pressed into war service.



We actually suppress some pure capitalist components of our ag industry with stricter regulations and government subsidies, and still do better than Russia (and most countries FWIW). Russia has price controls on some ag products... A socialist relic of another time.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8582 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

Mykhailo Drapatyi looks exhausted


He been on twitter all night with the other Ukrainians trying to convince themselves and the world that having to fire a guy means things are going well?
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41579 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

No, dumbass, my point is both countries grain harvest is in line with their population.


Which means…nothing

quote:

Now answer my question about the relevance of your silly statement


I simply stated a fact about the current harvest. If you find that silly that’s not really my problem comrade

Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41579 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 8:17 pm to
Zelensky fires anyone that disagrees with him. He’s like a Putin. Only shorter and much dumber
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16404 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 9:21 pm to
My point is that it doesn't matter the market is a glut without Russia's harvest. He said this morning that it is a weather issue.

Just because something looks like a big number doesn't mean that it is big by comparison. He doesn't go by government forecasts.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135333 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

I simply stated a fact about the current harvest.
So, as usual, you had no point. Good to know.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41579 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 9:47 pm to
It’s going to be ok little guy
Posted by 10thyrsr
Texas
Member since Oct 2020
1235 posts
Posted on 7/21/26 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

All things that Russia doesn't have. So. You know. All that adds up.


One thing we DON'T have is a populace used to doing without. It will take a LOT more to impact Russians than it would to impact the US.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5002 posts
Posted on 7/22/26 at 3:57 am to
quote:

I have decided that Mykhailo Drapatyi will become the new Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Great news. This shows the strength of the Ukrainian democracy and especially the strength of the populace when they take to the streets.
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