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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 3/13/26 at 6:42 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 3/13/26 at 6:42 am to Coeur du Tigre
Trump removes sanctions of Russian oil because supposedly no one thought about Iran choking off the Strait of Hormuz (which they've done in the past) when he decided to attack Iran... boosting Putin and Russia, which also boosts Iran. Trump remains a tactical genius,
NYT: Trump Removes Sanctions on Russia to Help Oil Flow Amid Iran Conflict
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said it was “unfortunate” that the move could benefit Russia, but maintained that it was only for the short term.
yeah, right...
Forbes: Trump's 30-Day Russia Oil Waiver May Never Expire. Here's Why ... - Forbes
Russian Oil Jumped From $40 To $100 In Twelve Days. The Sanctions Fallout Is Just Starting
Three forces are converging simultaneously — Washington's sanctions pragmatism, Europe's diplomatic re-engagement with Moscow, and the physical redirection of global oil flows — and each reinforces the others in ways that may prove irreversible.
...
The Trump administration's Ukraine endgame. On March 10, Trump and Putin held their first phone call of the year, discussing both Iran and Ukraine. The administration's focus has shifted decisively to the Middle East — and the political incentive to resolve the Ukraine file quickly has only intensified. Easing Russian oil sanctions offers a two-for-one: it lowers American gasoline prices and provides a concession to Moscow that could accelerate peace talks. The logic is transactional, not strategic — but transactional logic is what drives this White House.
...
If the windfall persists and sanctions enforcement loosens further, Moscow regains the fiscal headroom to sustain its military campaign in Ukraine without the economic pressure that was supposed to force negotiations.
NYT: Trump Removes Sanctions on Russia to Help Oil Flow Amid Iran Conflict
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said it was “unfortunate” that the move could benefit Russia, but maintained that it was only for the short term.
yeah, right...
Forbes: Trump's 30-Day Russia Oil Waiver May Never Expire. Here's Why ... - Forbes
Russian Oil Jumped From $40 To $100 In Twelve Days. The Sanctions Fallout Is Just Starting
Three forces are converging simultaneously — Washington's sanctions pragmatism, Europe's diplomatic re-engagement with Moscow, and the physical redirection of global oil flows — and each reinforces the others in ways that may prove irreversible.
...
The Trump administration's Ukraine endgame. On March 10, Trump and Putin held their first phone call of the year, discussing both Iran and Ukraine. The administration's focus has shifted decisively to the Middle East — and the political incentive to resolve the Ukraine file quickly has only intensified. Easing Russian oil sanctions offers a two-for-one: it lowers American gasoline prices and provides a concession to Moscow that could accelerate peace talks. The logic is transactional, not strategic — but transactional logic is what drives this White House.
...
If the windfall persists and sanctions enforcement loosens further, Moscow regains the fiscal headroom to sustain its military campaign in Ukraine without the economic pressure that was supposed to force negotiations.
This post was edited on 3/13/26 at 6:43 am
3
Posted on 3/13/26 at 7:05 am to Lee B
Posted on 3/13/26 at 12:31 pm to Lee B
quote:
Trump removes sanctions of Russian oil because supposedly no one thought about Iran choking off the Strait of Hormuz (which they've done in the past) when he decided to attack Iran... boosting Putin and Russia, which also boosts Iran. Trump remains a tactical genius,
Goodfellows recent episode with NOT Trump folks on the panel, is very supportive of what Trump has done and see this as minimal but necessary.
The Panel included Condi Rice and HR McMasters. Neither has issues with this temporary issue.
Posted on 3/13/26 at 1:06 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Goodfellows recent episode with NOT Trump folks on the panel, is very supportive of what Trump has done and see this as minimal but necessary.
The Panel included Condi Rice and HR McMasters. Neither has issues with this temporary issue.
95% of the population overreacts to oil prices going up when there is a clear causal factor that, when removed, will eventually decrease prices back to around what they were. Oil price increases are not a reason to abstain from Iran intervention.
Posted on 3/13/26 at 1:29 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
95% of the population overreacts to oil prices going up when there is a clear causal factor that, when removed, will eventually decrease prices back to around what they were. Oil price increases are not a reason to abstain from Iran intervention.
Boom!
Posted on 3/13/26 at 5:29 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
Oil price increases are not a reason to abstain from Iran intervention.
So why not just let the sanctions stay, and hurt Iran's benefactor?
Posted on 3/13/26 at 5:41 pm to Lee B
quote:
So why not just let the sanctions stay, and hurt Iran's benefactor
I said it in the post. Almost no one understands how it works, so if you can do anything to keep prices lower you should.
This could be this biggest geopolitical win since the USSR fell. I am all for giving people as few reasons as possible to oppose it as long as the scope stays at a similar level to where it is now.
Posted on 3/13/26 at 6:52 pm to Lee B
quote:
So why not just let the sanctions stay, and hurt Iran's benefactor?
Do you understand economics and geopolitics? Turn those nations against the US is a good idea to you?
Never mind you like the NYT
Posted on 3/13/26 at 6:54 pm to Lee B
Merops is US which has been quite successful in Ukraine.
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:25 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Do you understand economics and geopolitics? Turn those nations against the US is a good idea to you?
Yes, I understand economics and geopolitics... both of which I would've given a lot more consideration before embarking on attacking Iran to this degree.
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:46 pm to Lee B
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. I hope you the Russian fanboys of this thread can appreciate what a real advance looks like.
Posted on 3/14/26 at 2:20 am to WeeWee
Again. Russia can't stop this. The Ukrainian drones get what they want. Over and over and over.
The Ukrainian strategy is clear now - take out the Russian air defense radars with drones, against which the radar systems are defenseless (ironic, no?), and then when the air space is cleared, hit the main targets with heavier missiles.
The only thing keeping Russia from collapse is the lack of effective Ukrainian long range drones and missiles. But they're in production now and we'll see more of them this summer. Watch this space for the coming Battle of Yelabuga...
The Ukrainian strategy is clear now - take out the Russian air defense radars with drones, against which the radar systems are defenseless (ironic, no?), and then when the air space is cleared, hit the main targets with heavier missiles.
The only thing keeping Russia from collapse is the lack of effective Ukrainian long range drones and missiles. But they're in production now and we'll see more of them this summer. Watch this space for the coming Battle of Yelabuga...
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. 
Posted on 3/14/26 at 7:37 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 3/14/26 at 7:49 am to cypher
Russian strikes kill 7, injure 46 across Ukraine as energy grid targeted again
March 14, 2026 10:21 am
Russian attacks across Ukraine killed at least seven civilians and injured at least 46 others over the past day, regional authorities reported on March 14, following an overnight missile and drone assault.
Ukraine's Air Force said it shot down 402 of the 430 drones and 58 missiles launched by Russian forces. Despite the interceptions, six missiles and 28 drones struck 11 locations.
The latest strikes come as Russia intensifies attacks on critical infrastructure and civilian areas, with Ukrainian officials warning of sustained pressure on the country's energy system.
"The main target was the energy infrastructure in the Kyiv Oblast, but unfortunately, ordinary homes, schools, and civilian businesses have also been hit," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
In Kyiv Oblast, four people were killed, and 15 were injured during overnight missile and drone strikes, local authorities said. In Kharkiv Oblast, one person was killed, and 11 were injured, including two children, Governor Oleh Syniehubov reported.
Russian attacks in Kherson Oblast killed one civilian and injured seven others, Governor Oleksandr Prokudin said, adding that social infrastructure and residential areas were also targeted.
In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, one person was killed and seven were injured, Governor Ivan Fedorov said. Russian forces carried out 780 strikes on 39 settlements in the region.
In Donetsk Oblast, three people were injured, according to Governor Vadym Filashkin.
Russian attacks also injured three civilians in Sumy Oblast, where local authorities reported nearly 80 strikes on 35 settlements.
Zelensky warned that Russia seeks to expand its destruction beyond Ukraine, urging European countries to prepare for what he described as the real scale of the threat.
The Kyiv Independent
March 14, 2026 10:21 am
Russian attacks across Ukraine killed at least seven civilians and injured at least 46 others over the past day, regional authorities reported on March 14, following an overnight missile and drone assault.
Ukraine's Air Force said it shot down 402 of the 430 drones and 58 missiles launched by Russian forces. Despite the interceptions, six missiles and 28 drones struck 11 locations.
The latest strikes come as Russia intensifies attacks on critical infrastructure and civilian areas, with Ukrainian officials warning of sustained pressure on the country's energy system.
"The main target was the energy infrastructure in the Kyiv Oblast, but unfortunately, ordinary homes, schools, and civilian businesses have also been hit," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
In Kyiv Oblast, four people were killed, and 15 were injured during overnight missile and drone strikes, local authorities said. In Kharkiv Oblast, one person was killed, and 11 were injured, including two children, Governor Oleh Syniehubov reported.
Russian attacks in Kherson Oblast killed one civilian and injured seven others, Governor Oleksandr Prokudin said, adding that social infrastructure and residential areas were also targeted.
In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, one person was killed and seven were injured, Governor Ivan Fedorov said. Russian forces carried out 780 strikes on 39 settlements in the region.
In Donetsk Oblast, three people were injured, according to Governor Vadym Filashkin.
Russian attacks also injured three civilians in Sumy Oblast, where local authorities reported nearly 80 strikes on 35 settlements.
Zelensky warned that Russia seeks to expand its destruction beyond Ukraine, urging European countries to prepare for what he described as the real scale of the threat.
The Kyiv Independent
Posted on 3/14/26 at 8:34 am to cypher
Posted on 3/14/26 at 8:49 am to cypher
media reports : strikes were from FP-2
Ukrainian forces hit key Kerch ferry crossing, damage two Russian military vessels
14.03.2026 15:22
Ukrainian special operations forces have disabled a Russian railway ferry and damaged another vessel that formed the backbone of the Kerch ferry crossing used by Russia to support its war against Ukraine.
The Ukrainian Defense Ministry's Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) posted on Facebook that the operation targeted the Russian railway ferry Slavyanin and the vessel Avangard, which were key components of the Kerch ferry crossing, Ukrinform reports.
"On the night of March 13-14, 2026, specialists from the HUR's Active Operations Department successfully struck two military vessels of the Russian aggressor state. As a result of the operation, the enemy's railway ferry Slavyanin was disabled and the vessel Avangard was damaged," the Ukrainian military intelligence agency said.
HUR noted that the ships were among the main elements of the Kerch ferry crossing and played a critical role in Russia's maritime military logistics, including the transport of weapons, military equipment, and ammunition.
Ukrinform
images indicate that the vessels were moving when struck...
Ukrainian forces hit key Kerch ferry crossing, damage two Russian military vessels
14.03.2026 15:22
Ukrainian special operations forces have disabled a Russian railway ferry and damaged another vessel that formed the backbone of the Kerch ferry crossing used by Russia to support its war against Ukraine.
The Ukrainian Defense Ministry's Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) posted on Facebook that the operation targeted the Russian railway ferry Slavyanin and the vessel Avangard, which were key components of the Kerch ferry crossing, Ukrinform reports.
"On the night of March 13-14, 2026, specialists from the HUR's Active Operations Department successfully struck two military vessels of the Russian aggressor state. As a result of the operation, the enemy's railway ferry Slavyanin was disabled and the vessel Avangard was damaged," the Ukrainian military intelligence agency said.
HUR noted that the ships were among the main elements of the Kerch ferry crossing and played a critical role in Russia's maritime military logistics, including the transport of weapons, military equipment, and ammunition.
Ukrinform
images indicate that the vessels were moving when struck...
This post was edited on 3/14/26 at 9:22 am
Posted on 3/14/26 at 10:17 am to cypher
In a major release of leaked Russian security services data, this expose' outlines the biggest Kremlin failure in a decade. All due to lazy stupidity: while communicating with a Serbian assassin that did not speak Russian, the head of the unit used Google Translate to issue all his communication with him.
And yes, as soon as Alimov is extradited to the US, Trump will be ordered to send him back to Russia. And Trump will do it.
Lost in translation: How Russia’s new elite hit squad was compromised by an idiotic lapse in tradecraft
quote:
The exposure of Center 795 is bound to create lasting problems for Russia's intelligence services of a kind that cannot be managed by reassignment or denial. The unit's organizational architecture — its embedding within Kalashnikov, its dependence on Rostec infrastructure, its use of Patriot Park as an operational base — is now fully documented in Western court filings and in the work of open-source investigators. Until now, Fisenko and the other commanders of Center 795 had not been publicly identified. Their names, corporate histories, and operational roles — documented by The Insider through leaked materials, corporate registry records, military documentation, and communications intercepts — will make it considerably harder for them to continue working in the same mode. The entire unit has been compromised thanks to one operative’s sloppy tradecraft.
quote:
The most secretive unit in Russian military intelligence was undone not by a defector or a mole — but by a language barrier and a warrant
quote:
The debacle of Alimov’s arrest on his maiden voyage is not the first — and certainly won’t be the last — tradecraft failure betraying the inability of Russia’s most secretive military unit to remain airgapped. As Alimov awaits extradition in Bogotá, the apparatus he helped build — the tanks, the drones, the sniper teams, the carefully constructed Kalashnikov cover — has been laid bare. The irony of Center 795's undoing is not lost on those who tracked it: a unit designed to be the Kremlin's most untraceable instrument of coercion was exposed not through years of patient counterintelligence, not through a defector or a turned asset, but because two men needed to talk to each other and didn't share a language. Russia will build another unit. It will be more careful about the translation tools it uses. But whether it will be more careful about the people it recruits is a different question entirely.
And yes, as soon as Alimov is extradited to the US, Trump will be ordered to send him back to Russia. And Trump will do it.
Lost in translation: How Russia’s new elite hit squad was compromised by an idiotic lapse in tradecraft
Posted on 3/14/26 at 11:07 am to Lee B
quote:
So why not just let the sanctions stay, and hurt Iran's benefactor?
President Trump is in the process of taking three key Russian allies off the table. It's essentially already accomplished in Venezuela, it's happening in Cuba, and it's happening in Iran.
Trump is obviously very keen to avoid any Russian interference in these operations. For example, he wanted (and got) Russia to state publicly that they aren't giving any targeting info to Iran (even if we know they were doing it on the sly). Trump is saying nice things to Putin and mean things to Zelensky, and he's making little concessions to him like the sanctions waiver---all while Trump is dramatically weakening Russia on the world stage by eliminating the Russian allies who cause problems for the US.
As some of you know, I am not MAGA. I'm a Reagan Republican who has voted 3rd party in the last three Presidential elections. I'm critical of the Trump administration when I disagree (tariffs, Greenland, vaccines), and I'll praise him when I agree.
And what Trump is doing with Venezuela, Cuba, and Iran is already the greatest accomplishment in American foreign policy since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
I'm very confident we'll see a different attitude from Trump after these three operations are completed.
Posted on 3/14/26 at 11:26 am to GOP_Tiger
A different way to frame all of that is that what America is doing with Venezuela, Cuba, and Iran is only possible because Ukraine exposed Russian weakness.
None of this could've happened 15 years ago, because Russia would have caused too many problems for America in too many parts of the world.
Ukraine exposed Russia as a paper tiger and then weakened them even more. Russia couldn't defend Armenia, couldn't defend Assad, couldn't defend Maduro, and can't defend Cuba or Iran---and Ukraine gets a lot of the credit.
None of this could've happened 15 years ago, because Russia would have caused too many problems for America in too many parts of the world.
Ukraine exposed Russia as a paper tiger and then weakened them even more. Russia couldn't defend Armenia, couldn't defend Assad, couldn't defend Maduro, and can't defend Cuba or Iran---and Ukraine gets a lot of the credit.
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