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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 2/3/26 at 6:43 am to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15673 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 6:43 am to
quote:

Spectacular job of doubling down on stupid.


Use of the term metrics is cover for "I don't know what I'm talking about" I only hear it used in corporate circles among the most useless bureaucrat types.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5647 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 7:16 am to
Russia carries out heaviest attack on Ukraine's energy sector in 2026

Alyona Kyrychenko — 3 February, 13:54

Russia carried out the attack on Ukraine's energy sector on the night of 2-3 February that became the heaviest since the start of the year.

Source: DTEK, the largest private energy company in Ukraine

Details: The attack targeted electricity generation and distribution facilities.

Quote: "The strikes hit combined heat and power plants and thermal power plants that were operating only to provide heating in Kyiv, Kharkiv and Dnipro. DTEK's thermal power plants were also severely damaged."

Details: A DTEK facility in Odesa Oblast was also attacked with missiles and drones, leaving thousands of people without electricity.

"The energy system is operating under severe restrictions," the company stressed.

Background:

Following the large-scale Russian attack, emergency power outages have been partially introduced in the Darnytskyi and Dniprovskyi districts of Kyiv.
On the night of 2-3 February, eight Ukrainian oblasts came under the Russian attack. Russian forces primarily targeted energy infrastructure.

Ukrainska Pravda
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5647 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 7:22 am to
Air Defense Forces destroy 38 missiles and 412 drones used by Russians to attack Ukraine

Air Defense Forces destroyed 38 missiles and 412 drones used by Russians to attack Ukraine since the evening of February 2.
According to Ukrinform, the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported this on Telegram.

From 6 p.m. on Monday, February 2, and during the night of Tuesday, February 3, the Russian army launched a combined strike on Ukraine using various types of air and ground-based missiles and UCAVs.

In total, the Air Force's radio-technical troops recorded 521 air attack weapons:

4 Zircon/Onyx missiles (the launch area is temporarily occupied Crimea);
32 Iskander-M/S-300 ballistic missiles (the launch areas are the Bryansk region of the Russian Federation, temporarily occupied Crimea);
7 Kh-22 / Kh-32 cruise missiles (the launch area is the Bryansk region);
28 Kh-101 / Iskander-K cruise missiles (launched from the Caspian Sea and Kursk region of the Russian Federation);
450 Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and other types of UCAVs (launched from Bryansk, Kursk, Orel, Shatalovo, Millerovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk). Approximately 300 of them were Shahed-type UAVs.
The primary targets of the Russian strikes were the Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Vinnytsia, and Odesa regions.

The air attack was repelled by aviation, anti-aircraft missile forces, electronic warfare units, unmanned systems units, and mobile fire groups of the Ukrainian Defense Forces.

According to preliminary data, as of 9:30 a.m. on Tuesday, February 3, Air Defense Forces shot down/jammed 450 targets, including 38 missiles and 412 drones of various types:

4 Zircon/Onyx missiles;
11 Iskander-M / S-300 ballistic missiles;
3 Kh-22 / Kh-32 cruise missiles;
20 Kh-101 / Iskander-K cruise missiles;
412 UCAVs of various types.
There were 27 missiles and 31 UCAV hits documented in 27 locations, as well as debris from downed UAVs falling in 17 locations.

Information on six Russian missiles is being clarified.

Ukrinform

Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13315 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 7:22 am to
quote:

just checked the advanced metrics

I guess those advanced metrics don't come with any links?
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 9:01 am to
All this talk about kilometers taken is useless.
quote:

As Napoleon told us, the goal of war is not occupation of places but annihilation of the enemy.

Two examples in US history - In 1865, Grant completely bypassed Richmond and "went where Lee took his army". On the other hand, in 1944 Mark Clark decided to take Rome for the PR value and in doing so let half the German army in Italy escape to fight for another eleven months.

quote:

The battlefield value of territory lies in the tactical, operational, and strategic leverage it provides. Metric based assessments that reduce warfare to casualty figures and surface measures such as area gained can produce misleading interpretations of battlefield dynamics when detached from the territory’s operational and strategic value.
quote:

battlefield dynamics are often judged by metrics like casualty rates and square kilometers of controlled territory. This can produce a distorted picture, a problem I informally term the “Sahara Fallacy”
quote:

So what is the “Sahara Fallacy”? Imagine a scenario where an attacking side must choose how to allocate military resources, either to seize 10 square kilometers controlling the strategically vital Suez Canal or 1,000 square kilometers of random, landlocked Sahara desert.
quote:

if Russian forces move into a sparsely populated and lightly defended town surrounded by open steppe in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, territorial metrics may suggest accelerating gains, but not necessary a battlefield dynamics change
quote:

Thus, if the goal is to assess changes in battlefield dynamics, relying solely on kilometers as a metric risks falling into this fallacy. An important caveat is that territorial advances are not irrelevant, only that they cannot serve as a standalone indicator of dynamics

Yeah, it's complicated but looking at map changes is a waste of time.

LINK
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15673 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 9:15 am to
A lot of people are spending time underground in the subway like they did in the winter of 2022/23.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 9:37 am to
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quote:

Fun fact, the person responsible for this is a Russian asset, Gerhard Schröder (see 2002 Atomgesetz) and the purpose of the move was to ensure German energy dependence on Russia.

He became chairman of the board of Rosneft and NordStream, and was about to join the board of Gasprom before the war started. He made tens of millions from Russian energy companies and pro-Putin lobbying. Lifelong friend with Putin, whom he lauded as a flawless democrat in 2004.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 11:54 am to
quote:

So you're saying that Trump, Rubio and others are lying when they say Russia lost 20-30K troops each month of Oct, Nov, Dec of 2025?


Maybe he just doesn't know what the "K" means.
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
3325 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 12:09 pm to




Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 12:32 pm to
As videos go, the point is belabored, but is a window into the future nonetheless.

Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 12:43 pm to


Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 12:52 pm to
Hungarian elections in 68 days and a double-digit spread in the polls.



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Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 1:18 pm to
Add AI and it is a Terminator prototype.


Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2299 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 2:00 pm to
I’m telling you as someone with multiple tours in the infantry

The future of war is horrifying
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15673 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

So it seems that my theory that Putin has a video or pictures or whatever of a black tranny pissing on Trump while he calls her 'daddy' is looking more and more realistic.


The "Steele Dossier" has been debunked as totally made up for Hillary campaign.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41305 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

The "Steele Dossier" has been debunked as totally made up for Hillary campaign.


It’s still real to him! What a nut
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15673 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 4:59 pm to
It's time for Putin to face that he has LOST. It's not just the war with Ukraine but Russia's military doctrine is a complete shite show and the arms that it dictates it so have. This is at least a decade of rebuilding even if it had the US economy and without Russia's known corruption.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8164 posts
Posted on 2/3/26 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

This is at least a decade of rebuilding even if it had the US economy and without Russia's known corruption.


It is way more than a decade. Russia is currently building about 250 new tanks a year. It will take years to reconsitute their armored divisions and that doesn't even consider the replacement of their strategic armor reserves that they have lost in this war. They can't replace their armor reseves in the short or mid term.

Those reserves had tanks and IFV's dating back to the start of the Cold War, almost 70 years of production. That's gone, and it isn't coming back in our lifetimes.
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