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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 1/6/26 at 3:27 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15677 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

I think the biggest reason being do you really commit billions of capital on the promise of a lame duck US president.


Chevron has $2 billion ready to go.

Hunt operated in Iraq for years and still does albeit in the Kurdistan region of Northern Iraq. It is dependent on unreliable countries to export.

What most don't understand is that the operating oil company is not the only one invested in a field. There are minority investors and maybe even a majority investor whose name is not the operator of the field. Risk is always spread. They also float SEC compliant securities for a number of investors to finance the project/field. Risk is spread and spread and spread.
This post was edited on 1/6/26 at 3:36 pm
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

This is the problem of having a US government that lurches widely every 4-8 years with no respect or comity for the actions of the prior administration.



thank God!

But the comity and respect is supposed to be safeguarded by the checks and balances, if it isn't something unpopular and unworthy.

We've lost that, it's just overturn everything the previous administration did...
This post was edited on 1/6/26 at 3:50 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61723 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

Chevron has $2 billion ready to go.


I’m not doubting you, but where/how do you know this?
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41305 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

but where/how do you know this?


He doesn’t.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8165 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 5:23 pm to
I thought I remembered seeing something about this in the news. Not quite the same thing as having 2B ready to go, but might be what he is talking about.

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Ex-Chevron-Chief-Launches-2-Billion-Push-to-Revive-Venezuelas-Oil-Fields.html

quote:

The former chief of Latin American operations at U.S. supermajor Chevron is in discussions with investors to raise $2 billion to invest in opportunities in Venezuela, the executive, Ali Moshiri, told the Financial Times in an interview published on Monday.

Moshiri is a former head of Latin American operations at Chevron. Now his company, Amos Global Energy Management, is in talks with institutional investors to raise money for several investment opportunities the firm has identified in Venezuela.


Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15677 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 7:02 pm to
On the news Its actually Chevron's ex head of Latin America operations who has it for Chevron with his own investment company.
Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2299 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

Chevron has $2 billion ready to go


I openly admit that I know nothing about this subject but I've read somewhere that it would take up to $60B and a full decade to get Venezuela back to producing what they were producing before Chaez came to power.
I'm not sure you're going to find a lot of takers willing to invest that much in order to go into a VERY risky endeavor that's going to take that long to come to fruition.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61723 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

I'm not sure you're going to find a lot of takers willing to invest that much


It’s not like one company has to foot that whole bill and it’s not like all of it needs to be reworked.
I figure they could start on things that don’t need as much work or things that would be more profitable.

As others have said, with the price of oil where it is and right Capex budgets in the near term, it’s going to happen quickly.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 8:53 pm to
Remember what I said about the tipping point in any revolutionary protests?

When the police/security forces/military have to face their friends, family and neighbors in the streets, and turn and switch sides... and how that causes a chain reaction up the command ladder...

quote:

This is historic. Members of the police forces in the city of Abdanan have just joined the protesters who are demanding freedom.

FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 47 YEARS, THE IRANIAN REGIME HAS LOST CONTROL OF A CITY.


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Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 11:13 pm to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 12:20 am to
Flip. Flop. I never knew refineries could be so schitzoprenic.


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quote:

ndian Reliance Industries states that it does not expect Russian oil deliveries in January and has not received such deliveries at all in the last 3 weeks.

With this, the company denied the information circulated in the media that 3 tankers carrying Russian oil were expected to arrive at the Jamnagar oil refinery. As a result, Russian oil imports in India may drop to the lowest level in recent years.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 12:23 am to
Another night...


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quote:

Confirmed: A Ukrainian drone struck the Oskolneftesnab oil depot in Russia’s Stary Oskol district, Belgorod Oblast, according to the regional governor.
This post was edited on 1/7/26 at 12:29 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 12:42 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 12:48 am to
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quote:

Telegram, the messaging app co-founded by Pavel Durov, is facing challenges due to its financial exposure in Russia, Bloomberg reported on January 6.

According to a Bloomberg report, $500 million in Telegram bonds were frozen in Russia’s central securities depository as a result of Western sanctions imposed after the invasion of Ukraine.
quote:

Despite Durov’s attempts to distance himself from Russia, these sanctions complicate Telegram’s debt repayments.

The company had initially paused bond purchases after the US sanctioned Russia’s largest oil producers in October. The bonds in question are part of a $1.7 billion offering to buy back existing debt, which Telegram had partially completed before the sanctions, Bloomberg wrote.
quote:

Amid these difficulties, Durov is still working on Telegram’s plans for an initial public offering (IPO), which have been delayed due to ongoing legal proceedings in France, according to Bloomberg.

Telegram has experienced significant revenue growth, with projections for $2 billion in revenue by the end of 2025.

However, Bloomberg claimed that the company’s net losses for the first half of the year reflect issues with its cryptocurrency holdings and the downturn in the crypto market. Despite this, Telegram remains on track to meet its financial targets, including increasing premium subscriptions and advertising revenue.


LINK
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 1:22 am to
Hmmm....


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quote:

Since runaway oil tanker MARINERA (formerly BELLA 1) has become a hot topic on this platform, it’s worth reiterating that the vessel isn't carrying any oil cargo. It never docked in Venezuela; it came from Iran. See map of its route over past 7 months.
quote:

The drama around this heap of scrap metal is so excessive that it raises the possibility that it is carrying a shipment of Russian weapons from Iran originally destined for Venezuela.






LINK

LINK

Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15677 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:15 am to
Are you related to Tim Walz?
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:33 am to
quote:

#BREAKING Despite Russia deploying a submarine to protect the tanker Bella 1 in the Atlantic Ocean, U.S. airborne forces began helicopter landings on the tanker minutes ago. An operation is currently underway to seize the tanker belonging to Russia’s shadow fleet.
This ain't gonna make Putin very happy.

quote:

BREAKING - US Special Forces have successfully boarded the Iranian shadow vessel Marinera (formerly Bella-1). The tanker previously transported crude for the IRGC. The tanker flies the Russian flag, and is currently empty of cargo, but attempted to steal American oil from Venezuela before it was intercepted by the USCG.

"...but attempted to steal American oil from Venezuela before it was intercepted by the USCG."

Well, will we find out what the cargo really is?

LINK
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15677 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:35 am to
quote:

It’s not like one company has to foot that whole bill and it’s not like all of it needs to be reworked.
I figure they could start on things that don’t need as much work or things that would be more profitable.


Correct, cash flow matters.

A deceased attorney, Harry Carter, originally practicing in New Orleans, who was involved in oil/gas deals told me how those investments in the Gulf of America work. A company gets a lease, with partners. Then they float and Security to investment banks. They don't use their own money but an investment fund spread widely among investment bankers. It's not like Chevron, or Exxon, or Shell actually ponies up $2 billion to fund start production for a 50,000 BPD offshore oilfield. That also takes several years before anything flows. There are also many oil companies you never heard of which take a small interest in a field. This also happens on major onshote field development.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15677 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:37 am to
Seeing this play out, it is difficult to believe that this tanker was about oil at all.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15677 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:59 am to
Trump sucking up to Putin again, I guess...
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