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Posted on 11/9/25 at 10:20 pm to VolSquatch
Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:27 am to VolSquatch
Another marine drone strike on the Black Sea crude loading port -
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:36 am to Coeur du Tigre
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It looks like hidden drafting has started in Russia.
A campaign started in 20 Russian regions on drafting reservists into units that will secure critically important Russian objects. In Tatarstan, this process started back in October - reservists were recruited to secure oil objects. In Nizhny Novgorod, reservists have already been selected and are undergoing training.
On November 4, Putin signed a decree allowing reservists to be drafted into securing critically important objects in peacetime.
It is hard to estimate the scale of this process and the number of reservists that will be drafted. The main question is whether this is done to accumulate additional human resource for war or to replenish losses and decrease in signing military contracts (which have been the primary source of Russia's cannon fodder in previous years). This should become clear in several months.
Several Russian regions have sharply decreased the amount of payments Russians receive when they sign a contract with the Russian army. That's probably why the hidden mobilization was launched now.
Although it is declared that the reservists will only serve in their regions, there is very little doubt that they will all arrive at the frontlines eventually. This should also influence the overall situation with labor resources in Russia - reservists are usually more educated and qualified. Russia is already experiencing labor shortage, and this will deepen the issue in the long term.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 7:14 am to VolSquatch
Things are not doing well in Russia.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 7:31 am to CitizenK
The war is costing Russia thousands of lives and billions of rubles, but they took a few more blocks of Pokvovsk. What a waste.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 8:25 am to CitizenK
Exclusive: Lukoil declares force majeure at Iraqi oilfield after US sanctions
By Aref Mohammed and Ahmed Rasheed
November 10, 20257:15 AM CST
Iraq halts all cash and crude payments to Lukoil, sources say
US, UK sanctions disrupt Lukoil's international operations
Lukoil may exit West Qurna-2 if conditions persist, source says
BAGHDAD, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Lukoil (LKOH.MM)
has declared force majeure at Iraq's giant West Qurna-2 oilfield, four sources with knowledge of the matter said on Monday, after Western sanctions on the Russian oil major hampered its operations.
Lukoil did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.
Iraq has since halted all cash and crude payments to the company, three of the sources said.
Lukoil sent a letter to Iraq's oil ministry last Tuesday saying there are force majeure conditions preventing it from continuing normal operations at the West Qurna-2 field, the four sources said.
If the reasons behind the force majeure are not resolved within six months, Lukoil will shut production and exit the project entirely, a senior Iraqi oil industry official said.
Reuters reported last week that Iraq's state oil firm SOMO cancelled loadings of three crude oil cargoes from Lukoil's equity production at the oilfield over the sanctions.
By Aref Mohammed and Ahmed Rasheed
November 10, 20257:15 AM CST
Iraq halts all cash and crude payments to Lukoil, sources say
US, UK sanctions disrupt Lukoil's international operations
Lukoil may exit West Qurna-2 if conditions persist, source says
BAGHDAD, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Lukoil (LKOH.MM)
has declared force majeure at Iraq's giant West Qurna-2 oilfield, four sources with knowledge of the matter said on Monday, after Western sanctions on the Russian oil major hampered its operations.
Lukoil did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.
Iraq has since halted all cash and crude payments to the company, three of the sources said.
Lukoil sent a letter to Iraq's oil ministry last Tuesday saying there are force majeure conditions preventing it from continuing normal operations at the West Qurna-2 field, the four sources said.
If the reasons behind the force majeure are not resolved within six months, Lukoil will shut production and exit the project entirely, a senior Iraqi oil industry official said.
Reuters reported last week that Iraq's state oil firm SOMO cancelled loadings of three crude oil cargoes from Lukoil's equity production at the oilfield over the sanctions.
This post was edited on 11/10/25 at 8:26 am
Posted on 11/10/25 at 8:52 am to cypher
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Norway is prepared to make available $100 billion from its sovereign wealth fund as security, enabling the transfer to Ukraine of $140 billion in frozen Russian assets.
The transfer is currently blocked by Belgium, which fears legal risks and prefers to share the assets with other EU member states. Norway is not an EU member but is a NATO member, and its sovereign wealth fund is the world’s largest, valued at approximately $1.7 trillion.
Norwegian politicians have proposed using $100 billion as collateral to underwrite Belgium’s concerns. The idea has received support from four out of nine parliamentary parties, and Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre has ordered the preparation of a report on how the proposal could be implemented.
If anyone can turn down a 71% collateralized cash guarantee, it's the Belgians. Watch them insist on controlling the investment of this $100 billion and taking their resulting fees.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:22 am to Coeur du Tigre
I would like to hear some expert commentary on this sentence from an article in Foreign Affairs, discussing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries:
What do y'all think about that claim?
quote:
Although the units used to distill crude oil can be repaired relatively easily after every attack, they erode after the repeated cycles of heating and cooling caused by strikes.
What do y'all think about that claim?
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:32 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
What do y'all think about that claim?
lol, this should be good.
Five pages of Texas Aggie, Citizen and Vol going at it!!!!
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:44 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
I would like to hear some expert commentary on this sentence from an article in Foreign Affairs, discussing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries:
quote:
Although the units used to distill crude oil can be repaired relatively easily after every attack, they erode after the repeated cycles of heating and cooling caused by strikes.
What do y'all think about that claim?
In short: strangely inaccurate.
I will defer to the engineers or such in this thread, but generally unless the damage is light, the author is being a bit deceptive here. Relative to secondary cracking units and reformers, repairs to distillation units (either type) could be described as 'relatively easier', but repairing a distillation unit is not easy in any sense. Like saying repairing a destroyed transmission is relatively easier than repairing a broken crankshaft. Neither repair is easy.
And this statement -
quote:
they erode after the repeated cycles of heating and cooling caused by strikes
is just silly. FA needs to get a technical editor.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:35 pm to GOP_Tiger
The author has zero clue.
Hot and cold shouldn't be the case at all. Yes a column can be patched, but what about the trays inside having suffered damage. What about the instrumentation since the newer units have digital control systems? They likely need new control valves (Russia doesn't make), controls (Russia doesn't make), technicians to install (Russia used Western technicians in the first place) then everything has to be calibrated.
Fired heaters/furnaces need to be retubed with at least chrome/moly alloys.
In another article it stated that idled older distillation columns could be alternatives. That is asking for a KABOOM they were already old and worn out using inferior Soviet steel
Hot and cold shouldn't be the case at all. Yes a column can be patched, but what about the trays inside having suffered damage. What about the instrumentation since the newer units have digital control systems? They likely need new control valves (Russia doesn't make), controls (Russia doesn't make), technicians to install (Russia used Western technicians in the first place) then everything has to be calibrated.
Fired heaters/furnaces need to be retubed with at least chrome/moly alloys.
In another article it stated that idled older distillation columns could be alternatives. That is asking for a KABOOM they were already old and worn out using inferior Soviet steel
This post was edited on 11/10/25 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:45 pm to Coeur du Tigre
A distillation column is usually rated at around 50 psig maximum allowable working pressure operates at about atmospheric pressure. A vacuum distillation column of course operates at a vacuum so a negative pressure.
There is more to these units than distillation columns.
Probably used AI to find out about them
Got 9 wrong answers and 1 correct out of 10 and figured out that 9 being similar they were correct.
There is more to these units than distillation columns.
Probably used AI to find out about them
Got 9 wrong answers and 1 correct out of 10 and figured out that 9 being similar they were correct.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 3:28 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:quote:
Although the units used to distill crude oil can be repaired relatively easily after every attack, they erode after the repeated cycles of heating and cooling caused by strikes.
What do y'all think about that claim?
I think "erode" is a bad translation. Make it "degrade" or "corrode" and maybe it is accurate.
As a young plant engineer I worked in a plant that had a crazy amount of shut downs in a year. It was usually caused by problems that developed due to the previous unplanned shut down. Crashing a plant and bringing it back up can easily created more problems. Usually not so much in distillation units; though. But it can lead to displaced column trays/packing, or increased corrosion if air is introduced, or existing corrosion passivation is interrupted.
Bottom line - yes, unexpected plant shut downs often create other problems. Especially if the plant safety trips are crap. All kinds of unexpected shite can happen with a hard plant crash.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:07 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
Not necessarily for freedom of religion lovers
Vol, you and I haven't had problems lately, but this is vile.
The only "church" in Ukraine that has any problems whatsoever is the Russian Orthodox Church, run by a former KGB agent who says that those who die fighting in Ukraine are "martyrs." The ROC has been implicated in dozens of spying and subversion ops in Ukraine. It has nothing to do with freedom of religion and you know it.
On the other hand, Russia has closed every evangelical church in its occupied territories in Ukraine -- many hundreds altogether. -- from different denominations. It does this because those churches are "western."
Which one is actually restricting freedom of religion?
Posted on 11/10/25 at 8:47 pm to Tigris
The least safe time is during shutdown and startup of units which use a catalyst to make things react and molecules rearrange, not necessarily the metals being compromised by heating and cooling.
The author has no clue about what makes for safer or less safe.
An interesting fact is that when the cat cracker unit blew up at Shell in Norco, LA during the late 1980's, every single unit in the plant automatically shutdown in correct order. It wasn't the cat cracker reactor or regenerator which shutdown but faulty safety valve on its main fractionator which knocked down the 14 feet in diameter column. It also blew off the heads on the heat exchangers on the opposite side of the entire process unit. Everything else just had fire. Rotating equipment was ruined (large blower for the cat cracker and pumps)
The author has no clue about what makes for safer or less safe.
An interesting fact is that when the cat cracker unit blew up at Shell in Norco, LA during the late 1980's, every single unit in the plant automatically shutdown in correct order. It wasn't the cat cracker reactor or regenerator which shutdown but faulty safety valve on its main fractionator which knocked down the 14 feet in diameter column. It also blew off the heads on the heat exchangers on the opposite side of the entire process unit. Everything else just had fire. Rotating equipment was ruined (large blower for the cat cracker and pumps)
Posted on 11/10/25 at 8:55 pm to GOP_Tiger
Posted on 11/10/25 at 9:44 pm to doubleb
From ISW- situation in Poktovsk murky, but Ukes at risk.
ISW today
quote:
Toplines
The situation in the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad area remains difficult as Ukrainian forces fight to hold the shoulders of the pocket and Russian forces continue to advance in the area. Ukrainian forces reportedly recently cleared Rodynske (north of Pokrovsk), in an attempt to hold the northern shoulder of the pocket.[1] Ukrainian forces are simultaneously counterattacking within Pokrovsk and on its western outskirts to prevent further Russian advances on the southern shoulder of the pocket.[2] Russian advances in northern and western Pokrovsk have slowed in recent days, likely due to continued Ukrainian efforts to counterattack.[3] Russian forces continue to advance in eastern and southern Pokrovsk, which could indicate that Russian forces may attempt to create a sub-pocket to support Russian efforts to encircle Ukrainian forces in the town and ultimately force Ukrainian troops to withdraw from the broader pocket. Russian forces also likely maintain fire control over Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) into the pocket, complicating Ukrainian logistics. Russian forces appear to be working simultaneously to complete the encirclement of the entire pocket and to reduce the pocket itself. The prospects and timeline for those efforts remain unclear.
ISW today
Posted on 11/11/25 at 2:12 am to doubleb
Posted on 11/11/25 at 2:19 am to Coeur du Tigre
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Satellite images of the UAV launch site in the Oryol region demonstrate large-scale enemy activity, the Katsaps of the campaign feel safe there, new shelters, hangars and technical structures are being actively built on the territory, the total number of bunkers and auxiliary facilities is impressive, and the number of UAVs at the base can reach about 500 units at a time.
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