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Latest polls from the states that matter: AZ, GA, MI, NV. PA, WI

Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:30 pm
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27880 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:30 pm
Starting with the same states he won lasst time, Trump checks in at 235 electoral votes (EVs). he needs 270 to capture the White House a 2nd time

AZ - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead with an avg margin of 6.4%. -- 11 EVs [246]

GA - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead with an avg margin of 6.3%. -- 16 EVs [262]

MI - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead with an avg margin of 3.3% -- 15 EVs, within margin of error (MOE)

NV - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead with an avg margin of 7.0% -- 6 EVs [268]

PA - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead except 1, with an avg margin of 3.83% -- 19 EVs, within MOE

WI - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead except 1, with an avg margin of 4.7% -- 10 EVs [278]

If Trump wins all these states he gets to 312.
Posted by Lawyered
The Sip
Member since Oct 2016
29246 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:31 pm to
What about the 3am Wednesday bumps?

That’s what really matters that week
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17528 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:40 pm to
Assuming no cheating. Never assume no cheating ever again. They will cheat again. This time it will be more bigly. They don't care if it's obvious, no one will stop it, or overturn it. Nobody has the balls.
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27880 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

What about the 3am Wednesday bumps?

That’s what really matters that week

Trump never led in 2016 or 2020, and ended up with 75M votes. If the polls are even close to accurate, Trump will surpass the 81M Biden supposedly got

Event the 3am dumps wont save him this go round
Posted by Mountain89
Member since Jan 2024
38 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

What about the 3am Wednesday bumps?

That’s what really matters that week


yup. i don't know why people aren't factoring this in. THEY'VE ALREADY DONE IT ONCE

do you think they're going to stop? also, is North carolina not considered a swing state anymore?


Posted by Elon Musketeer
Member since Feb 2023
54 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

What about the 3am Wednesday bumps?

That’s what really matters that week


They all had a cover with COVID. It's not currently in play. If things go like it should you have Trump 47 taking office January 2025

Things will be somewhat better and people can free up some money and enjoy life.
This post was edited on 3/17/24 at 5:50 pm
Posted by Crimson1st
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2010
20193 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

What about the 3am Wednesday bumps? That’s what really matters that week


Yes and you know this concern is SO beyond fricked up! My family has had SO many Patriots serve and pay big prices to preserve our right to vote and to have our vote count. I’m absolutely not alone in that regard either as many of you reading this have families this holds true to as well or maybe YOU paid a price yourself for the right to have a fair vote. Bless you for your service if so.

That said these sorry cheating arse frick nuts who run this vote scam and shite on the graves of those servicemen…screw every last one of you and I’d love to be there when that shite eating grin is wiped off your sorry assed faces, those of you who cheat, when karma bitch slaps that grin of your worthless ugly face.

And damnit even typing this out is pissing me off you worthless leftist scum! Name your Sonic of choice and I’m there to help karma out ridding you of that grin!
This post was edited on 3/17/24 at 5:51 pm
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94914 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:50 pm to
NC has swung once since 2000.

I think they retired the pineapple after Obama played hide the pickle in 2008.
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27880 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

THEY'VE ALREADY DONE IT ONCE

(R)s will be harvesting this time too. The DIMs have no idea what number to shoot for. Even Maine is being whispered as a battleground state this election cycle
quote:

Maine

791 LV Pan Atlantic Research Biden 32% - 38% Trump (Trump +6)


quote:

do you think they're going to stop? also, is North carolina not considered a swing state anymore?

No

Trump is up by over 10 points there. Won it by 100,000 last time. And by 200,000 in '16
Posted by RAB
Member since Aug 2019
975 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:53 pm to
quote:

Trump never led in 2016 or 2020, and ended up with 75M votes. If the polls are even close to accurate, Trump will surpass the 81M Biden supposedly got Event the 3am dumps wont save him this go round


If you could bottle your optimism you could make millions on eBay.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18119 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:54 pm to
Anything < 10% = Biden Wins.
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9604 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:55 pm to
But but he said something mean about Ron! No unity! OMB!
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90509 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

NV - Every poll in Feb & Mar has Trump in the lead with an avg margin of 7.0% -- 6 EVs [268]


NV always polls well for republicans but it’s never close for them. I think it’s due to almost the entire state population being in 2 cities and this makes it easy for Dems to bus voters and get high turnout. Swing states in the rust belt and southeast have a shite ton of rural voters and mid size red cities and high turnout there can balance the big city Dems. Nevada is just a desert outside of Reno and LV
Posted by RazorBroncs
Harding Bisons Fan
Member since Sep 2013
13534 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:56 pm to

We'll see...

Something tells me it won't be this easy. They won't let it be this easy, whether it's breaking out all the stops to get illegal votes or manufacturing some sort of crisis. There's no way they let Trump win in a landslide, and if they do we should all be skeptical as to why.
Posted by POTUS2024
Member since Nov 2022
10928 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:57 pm to
AZ, PA, MI - under dem leadership. They will go all in on cheating.
Posted by Jspaspa3303
Member since Jun 2020
2378 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

also, is North carolina not considered a swing state anymore?


NC , has moved into the Ohio , Texas , Florida category . He may win NC by 10 this go around .
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94914 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 5:58 pm to
If Trump wins in a landslide then it means they couldn’t realistically put up 200m votes for Joe.
Posted by Perfect Circle
S W Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
6837 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 6:06 pm to
I'll believe it when i hear Biden's concession speech.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16398 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Latest polls DON’T matter: AZ, GA, MI, NV. PA, WI


FIFY.

Voting is a joke. See 2020 and 2022.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16398 posts
Posted on 3/17/24 at 6:08 pm to
quote:

Trump never led in 2016 or 2020,


Who told you that?
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