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re: Ken Paxton leads Democrat James Talarico in a new Texas Senate poll released on Tuesday

Posted on 10/14/26 at 1:42 pm to
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
14771 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 1:42 pm to
Paxton wins by 3-5% but the fact that Talarico is even having people engage in conversation 3 weeks out is terrifying. Granted it's more to do with Paxton's weakness than Talarico or the DNC's strength in Texas.

Robert O'Rourke would low key have had a chance at winning against Paxton.
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
23512 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

thought we didn't believe in polls?


Definitely depends on what it says and if the board likes the results. They like OPs poll. But this one is fake news.

quote:

new poll from the University of Texas at Austin found Democrats with narrow leads in nearly every statewide race after trailing their Republican challengers in the same poll just two months ago — a sign of an increasingly competitive midterm election just days from early voting.

U.S. Senate nominee James Talarico and Democratic lieutenant governor candidate Vikki Goodwin each held 3-percentage-point leads over Republicans Ken Paxton and Dan Patrick, respectively. Nathan Johnson, Gina Hinojosa and Jon Rosenthal had 1-point leads in their races for attorney general, governor and Railroad Commission. Only in the comptroller race, featuring Don Huffines and Democrat Sarah Eckhardt, did a Republican hold an edge.


LINK

All a matter of perspective and bias



Posted by Green Chili Tiger
Lurking the Tin Foil Hat Board
Member since Jul 2009
51299 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Polls always skewed toward Democrats have Paxton ahead.


Quantus Insights has a historical average bias of R+1.05.

Rasmussen says this particular poll is biased towards Republicans by even more than that.

Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
46925 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

It's still funny to watch the melt.


Who is melting?
Posted by FluffyBunnyFeet
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2014
4139 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

MAGA only believes in polls results that support reality

Fixed it for you. Talarico was never going to win.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
22560 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Robert O'Rourke would low key have had a chance at winning against Paxton.


He would have performed better than Talafreako. Not sure he would have had a chance at winning either, but he's definitely a better candidate than this freak.
Posted by MilwaukeeKosherDills
Member since Aug 2021
503 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 2:53 pm to
With a large portion of Musk's quarter billion contribution going into this race, I still see a real shot for Paxton.
Posted by foghat
Dallas
Member since Sep 2006
1253 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 2:56 pm to
quote:


But Talarico cares about Texas, he wore a flag shirt and choked down BBQ and he is vegan, he cares!


You make yourself look so uneducated with these statements.
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6923 posts
Posted on 10/14/26 at 3:18 pm to
I don’t know much about Texas politics, but if you look at the “legitimate” polls Talarico has never had over 47%. There have been a lot of undecided voters and the majority will probably break towards Paxton.

Talarico’s best chance is if 2% to 3% of the undecided voters vote for one of the 4 write-in candidates.
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