- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Is it safe to say if Trump loses, the senate is gone, and vice versa for the house?
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:35 am
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:35 am
Most consequential elections in our lifetime
16
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:36 am to Northwestern tiger
Quit being a crybaby.
Trump will not lose.
Trump will not lose.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:41 am to Northwestern tiger
Pretty much honestly
Senate is currently 53-47
Alabama and Colorado most assuredly will flip cancelling each other out.
Arizona (Mcsally)
Maine (Collins)
Are the most likely to lose
Both of Georgia seats, North Carolina, Montana should be red regardless. Unless Biden wins Georgia and NC but I don't see that specifically happening.
I think the GOP holds on regardless.
Senate is currently 53-47
Alabama and Colorado most assuredly will flip cancelling each other out.
Arizona (Mcsally)
Maine (Collins)
Are the most likely to lose
Both of Georgia seats, North Carolina, Montana should be red regardless. Unless Biden wins Georgia and NC but I don't see that specifically happening.
I think the GOP holds on regardless.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:42 am to Magician2
Did you count mittens for the dems?
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:43 am to Northwestern tiger
Out of the outcomes where Trump loses, probably 30% of those outcomes would have Trump losing but GOP still maintaining a slim Senate majority. Trump can lose MI/WI/PA but still have enough coattails to preserve GOP senate seats in NC, MT, ME, etc.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:44 am to Magician2
quote:
Both of Georgia seats, North Carolina, Montana should be red regardless
MT will be a nail biter. Bullock is popular and Montana voters are funky. I think Trump still clears 60% in MT, but there will be lots of split ticket voters. I think Daines will still hang on, but it'll be like 51/49.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:45 am to Magician2
Dane is in trouble in Montana
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:46 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
Northwestern tiger
quote:
Minneapolis
I get your concern because of where you live but consider this.
Just remove Trump out of the picture. Anyone who voted for him in 2016 is not going to vote for the chaotic BS being pushed by the left.
The #1 cause of candidate voting is fear.
Guess what a record number of gun purchases were made since the riots. People who never dreamed of wanting guns now own them and they know exactly who's responsible for terrorizing them. It's not Trump.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:47 am to Northwestern tiger
It would be a catastrophe. The radicals would push their agenda through very quickly with little to no opposition from within the Democratic Party.
It’s a truly grim scenario
It’s a truly grim scenario
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:47 am to Northwestern tiger
If I had to guess if the election was today... Trump loses, GOP loses AZ/MT/ME/NC, so Dems have a 51/49 Senate majority. But, I think things will improve by November to where Trump wins and GOP only loses AZ and maybe ME (with a 50/50 pickup shot in MI with James). Both scenarios assuming the CO/AL wash of seats changing hands.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:49 am to GeneralLee
quote:
MT will be a nail biter. Bullock is popular and Montana voters are funky. I think Trump still clears 60% in MT, but there will be lots of split ticket voters. I think Daines will still hang on, but it'll be like 51/49.
It will but I think Daines hold on specifically because of how fricking far left the Dems are going. He has a lot of ammo at his disposal and Montanans don't want what's happening across the country.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:51 am to Northwestern tiger
Oh god, tin foil guy
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:52 am to Magician2
Current senate battle ground map
GOP should win NC. Maine could go ether way, Colorado is going Dem, and AZ should be leaning Dem
figure 51/49 or 52/48 at best for R's
but a 51/49 with Momney, Murkawski, Collins and a dem white house (VP as tie breaker vote in senate) not looking too good
GOP should win NC. Maine could go ether way, Colorado is going Dem, and AZ should be leaning Dem
figure 51/49 or 52/48 at best for R's
but a 51/49 with Momney, Murkawski, Collins and a dem white house (VP as tie breaker vote in senate) not looking too good
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:56 am to 2 Jugs
quote:
Trump will not lose.
You're more confident than me. Between the no holds barred efforts of the Democrats to defeat Trump and the other things happening in this country (even if those things aren't Trump's fault), I don't think his path to reelection is as clear as it once was. I'm not saying he is going to lose, but I could see it going either way as of now.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 8:57 am
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:56 am to tigeraddict
I really do think James is a huge sleeper in MI. He outperformed the polls quite a bit in the "blue wave" election in '18 and came within 6 pts of Stabenow. Peters is not as popular as Stabenow. If Trump is within 2-3 pts in MI, I think that's enough to get James across the finish line.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:07 am to Northwestern tiger
If Trump loses we can forget reclaiming the House. The Senate may still be technically in GOP control but enough RINOs are there to essentially roll over.
If he wins we may get the House, but not sure as to # of rollover RINOs.
If he wins we may get the House, but not sure as to # of rollover RINOs.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:13 am to Northwestern tiger
If Trump loses, the country is gone.
The left wants to eliminate the police. They want to destroy capitalism.
The left wants to eliminate the police. They want to destroy capitalism.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:21 am to GeneralLee
quote:
MT will be a nail biter. Bullock is popular and Montana voters are funky
Any time Montana politics comes up, I keep recalling a radio interview I heard with Dirk Benedict years ago (the original Starbuck from the original Battlestar Galactica, not that *&^%$ remake).
Anyway, he lives in Montana, and he was mocking all the big ranchers in the state, talking about how Montana has this rough and ready Wild West image, but in reality, all the landowners are essentially welfare queens that are whores for the federal government and are utterly dependent on Agriculture Department subsidies. it explains why Montana goes Democrat so often despite having a social structure that would peg it as Republican just about anywhere else.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:23 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
Most consequential elections in our lifetime
No it's not
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:26 am to Northwestern tiger
Not necessarily. There will be people that will not vote for Trump, but will vote R the rest of the way on their ballot.
Also, because we use the EC for the President; there are a number of states that hold a lot of weight in determining the President, but have the same weight as smaller states in determining the Senate.
Also, because we use the EC for the President; there are a number of states that hold a lot of weight in determining the President, but have the same weight as smaller states in determining the Senate.
Page 1 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News