re: Iran Suspending Delegation For Ceasefire Negotiations

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Closing the Straits again doesn’t sound like something a country wanting to abide by the MOU would do.

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I was reporting what they had said as of last night. It isn't surprising to see them oscillate back and forth like this. Because again, they are in a position where they feel like they have to appease the hardliners within their own ranks.

This really isn't difficult. We bombed their country into oblivion. They aren't making any money. They're running out of food and water. Their leadership is dying. In steps Trump and says, "hey, we will give you access to shitloads of money if you'll play nice. If not we will continue kicking your arse." It's the silver or lead proposition. Elements within the regime feel like they must negotiate, while the zealots within the regime see conceding anything to the enemy is literal treason.

Meanwhile, you tell them that Israel will play nice and leave Lebanon. This becomes the pivot point that binds them because you also know that Israel will not do this. What you end up with is an Iranian regime that is turning against itself (between the "level headed rational" types and the religious zealots) and also an excuse to tell Israel to go frick itself at the same time.

Yeah, they may close the strait again, but this isn't the sort of flex the Iranians nor the Sun Tzu's on this website think it is. Global oil routes have already adjusted as best they can to offset the strait being shut down. If they keep pulling this shite they may end up finding themselves losing money in the future even after this is settled as other nations find new routes to get their oil. We can suffer higher gas prices longer than Iran can suffer not being able to feed its country or provide drinking water.