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re: Inflation lower than expected

Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:11 am to
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44553 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:11 am to
quote:

Inflation lower than expected


Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97624 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Which is complete crap.


Yes the BLS is the gold standard

Posted by Marshhen
Port Eads
Member since Nov 2018
1029 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:15 am to
quote:

The 2.3% rate of annual inflation was the lowest rate since February 2021, right before supply-chain snarls and pent-up consumer demand sent inflation soaring.



“Pent-up consumer demand” is a funny way of saying trillions of newly printed dollars
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
15523 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:20 am to
Too late Jerome won't stop playing politics though.
Posted by sidewalkside
rent free in yo head
Member since Sep 2021
4592 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:22 am to
quote:

It's expansion time. Lower the rates.


and watch inflation explode again
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
19305 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:23 am to
Figs
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
6967 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:28 am to
Oh no. Somebody call for help. SLP, Roger and their alters are in a corner breaking down!

"Tariffs are evil and will cause MASSIVE inflation!"


Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97624 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:33 am to
quote:

and watch inflation explode again


How did inflation explode after the last cuts if its been lowered
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74635 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:35 am to
because you’ve been right about everything to date
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
8364 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:37 am to
Just saw article that Florida gas now below $3 for first time in years

How can he keep doing this?
Posted by AUin02
Member since Jan 2012
4573 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:42 am to
Inflation was 2.9% in 2024 and currently on course to be 2.4% for 2025. 50 bps drop in inflation after 100 bps cut in rates because, and say this with me, inflation is a product of money supply.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:47 am to
quote:

“Pent-up consumer demand” is a funny way of saying trillions of newly printed dollars


Thanks for making this point.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 8:56 am to
quote:

quote:

It's expansion time. Lower the rates.



and watch inflation explode again


For inflation to explode we need the money supply to increase and in order for the money supply to increase congress needs to pass more irresponsible spending bills. The chances of that happening are pretty good.


This post was edited on 5/13/25 at 8:57 am
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
19865 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:03 am to
Why are you guys so obsessed with the interest rates at this point? Heck they will probably be raising soon given the boom to the economy
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Why are you guys so obsessed with the interest rates at this point?


Probably a few mortgage brokers on this board.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55059 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:26 am to
quote:

And no help from Jerome Powell.

You have that completely backwards. What Trump wants Powell to do is cut rates so that the economy will get a burst of activity. This would make the CPI go higher. You can blame Powell if things grind to a halt and recession ensues; you can’t simultaneously say that the CPI is low in spite of Powell.

Powell is getting criticized on this board, but he might be right. Trump wants the economy to explode; Powell wants the economy to gradually turn up. I guess there is the possibility that many on this board believe, which is that Powell wants poor economic performance in order to sink Trump, but that is unlikely imo.

I want to point out that Powell is in a tough spot. Fed Chairman have gotten very good at managing the economy inside of some very steady boundaries, but the current situation of tariffs going on and off is unprecedented in modern times, so he has no case to which he can compare it.
This post was edited on 5/13/25 at 9:29 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55059 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Yes the BLS is the gold standard

Your point is valid about the true inflation, but the Fed’s target of 2% is based on a particular metric. If it was based on Trueflation the target woud be different, like maybe 1.3%.
Posted by YouKnowImRight
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2023
2951 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:38 am to
Because they've been disciplined with the interest rate.
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
14397 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:41 am to
quote:

Just saw article that Florida gas now below $3 for first time in years


Raised 15 or cents overnight in BR.

I’m assuming it’s because Memorial day/summer is around the corner and ‘recession’ fears subsided according to the ‘experts’

Hoping for $2.30 gas prices of BBL stays sub $62
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97624 posts
Posted on 5/13/25 at 9:43 am to
quote:

the Fed’s target of 2% is based on a particular metric.


Its a fake number. And we are below it using their own metrics. Unless the BLS is using a tard shelter # which they are. Which is why this report isnt below 2%


Orange wants rates to get cut cause of the debt needed to refi. Jerome just admitted hes too late jerome. Cutting 1% isnt going to cause mass inflation. Just like the last cut didnt
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