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if China blockaded Taiwan tomorrow, what should US do?

Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:03 am
Posted by VooDude
Member since Aug 2017
3061 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:03 am
I’m drunk, but could still maybe, hopefully do as well as our general advisors in a vacuum.

The situation seems inevitable with the amount of Chinese amphibious assault ships built recently, let alone the activity in the area.

What do you do, lay down or fight against the future crash of the global economy because of advanced chip shortages?

Assuming the latter, what do you do next? Full on Chinese blockade or hit the Three Gorges Dam? With the full intellectual might of TD on display, let’s have some fun and play war game scenarios. After you…

Oh, and by the way, China is a-hole: LINK
This post was edited on 5/3/26 at 8:14 am
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
11539 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:07 am to
quote:

or hit the Three Gorges Dam?


We wouldn't do this unless it was a last resort measure. Hitting that dam would be far worse than dropping a nuclear bomb on them. It would completely destroy their country and cause a global market crash. It would be devastating for the entire world.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
36693 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:10 am to
Be at the ready to respond to that event with plans and contingency plans. Broadcast in various ways our aforementioned state of readiness. Deter the Chinese from ever doing it to begin with. Well, at least for another three years I guess. One day it will finally become clear to everyone the values and benefits President Trump brought to the country at large.
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
29603 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:13 am to
Run silent, run deep
Posted by ultratiger89
Houston, Tx
Member since Aug 2007
3934 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:18 am to
quote:

or hit the Three Gorges Dam? We wouldn't do this unless it was a last resort measure. Hitting that dam would be far worse than dropping a nuclear bomb on them. It would completely destroy their country and cause a global market crash. It would be devastating for the entire world.


So before it was built the world was devastated????
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16178 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:19 am to

A complete blockage of all imports to the US from China first. A large chunk of their economy depends on Americans buying cheap plastic shite and stuff made in their child labor factories, shut off that spigot and yes, we hurt. But they hurt FAR worse.

Then we blockade their blockade. Make it impossible for them to resupply their ships without passing through our own blockade. They still use diesel to power almost all of their naval ships and subs and they must be resupplied with fuel constantly, as well as food and supplies. Even cutting off 50% of that supply sends them home fairly quickly without firing a shot.

We could also blockade Chinese mainland itself while their navy is busy with Taiwan. They'd then have a choice to make, use their naval power to cut off Taiwan or come back and resecure the mainland.

There's also a million ways to put a hurting on them economically through sanctions, the Treasury department and banking against individuals and Chinese institutions, and oil/natural gas imports.

There's several different methods we could use to hurt them dramatically without even going kinetic. And if all else failed, we could sink their navy with our vastly superior technology and logistics if things required kinetic action. Our nuclear subs alone would wreak havoc from beneath the waves.
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
16360 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:25 am to
Taiwan is a distraction while they take over the rest of the world via soft coups.
Posted by VooDude
Member since Aug 2017
3061 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:37 am to
quote:

A complete blockage of all imports to the US from China first. A large chunk of their economy depends on Americans buying cheap plastic shite and stuff made in their child labor factories, shut off that spigot and yes, we hurt. But they hurt FAR worse. Then we blockade their blockade. Make it impossible for them to resupply their ships without passing through our own blockade. They still use diesel to power almost all of their naval ships and subs and they must be resupplied with fuel constantly, as well as food and supplies. Even cutting off 50% of that supply sends them home fairly quickly without firing a shot. We could also blockade Chinese mainland itself while their navy is busy with Taiwan. They'd then have a choice to make, use their naval power to cut off Taiwan or come back and resecure the mainland. There's also a million ways to put a hurting on them economically through sanctions, the Treasury department and banking against individuals and Chinese institutions, and oil/natural gas imports. There's several different methods we could use to hurt them dramatically without even going kinetic. And if all else failed, we could sink their navy with our vastly superior technology and logistics if things required kinetic action. Our nuclear subs alone would wreak havoc from beneath the waves.


Thanks for the thoughts, but still
sounds like a greater depression that even the US has never seen before. Maybe unlike Vietnam, we just get used to attrition? Is it possible to untangle from China that quick?

What’s the weak point for economic trade between China and everyone else?

My vote is blockading the Strait of Malacca near Indonesia.
Posted by BK Lounge
Member since Nov 2021
5313 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 12:58 am to
Im not smart enough to know what we should do if this comes to pass.. but as a guy who lives (mostly) in Southeast Asia, id advise anyone of our fellow Tigers or any other US expats/retirees living in the Philippines to get the hell out of there, post haste.. the US has long had a presence in the PI (Clark afb) and recently has been shoring up our resources there in anticipation of shite between China and Taiwan going sideways, and soon… just wouldnt wanna be a white American guy near the epicenter of that (Manila is just south of Taiwan) b/c id feel like a sitting duck.. maybe a little paranoid, that’s ok , better safe than sorry imo .
Posted by VooDude
Member since Aug 2017
3061 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 1:05 am to
quote:

Im not smart enough to know what we should do if this comes to pass.. but as a guy who lives (mostly) in Southeast Asia, id advise anyone of our fellow Tigers or any other US expats/retirees living in the Philippines to get the hell out of there, post haste.. the US has long had a presence in the PI (Clark afb) and recently has been shoring up our resources there in anticipation of shite between China and Taiwan going sideways, and soon… just wouldnt wanna be a white American guy near the epicenter of that (Manila is just south of Taiwan) b/c id feel like a sitting duck.. maybe a little paranoid, that’s ok , better safe than sorry imo .
Beautiful women in that area. Lived in SE Asia out of college (non military) and the women and surrounding areas are gorgeous! Wish I could have stayed on a US salary…
This post was edited on 5/3/26 at 1:06 am
Posted by tigger1
Member since Mar 2005
3854 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 1:07 am to
Three Gorges Dam is a huge issue and may have to be taken down.

Hearing rumors it is under cutting the foundation, waiting to see prove still.
Posted by BK Lounge
Member since Nov 2021
5313 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 1:27 am to
quote:

Beautiful women in that area.




Agreed.. Filipina women are my favorite in the world.. most of them are a beautiful mix of Asian and Latina .. and as a plus, they are the only Asian women who’s first language is English.. well technically their first language is Tagalog, but English is like #1a.. unfortunately, living in the Philippines for many other reasons is extremely difficult.. the lack of decent infrastructure and the absolutely terrible food make it unlivable for me.. occasionally i still make it there for my work from time to time, and every time at the end i am glad to leave because of the issues I mentioned.. but wow, do those women know how to take care of a man .
Posted by Reubaltaich
A nation under duress
Member since Jun 2006
5539 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 4:55 am to
Revoke their 'Most Favored Nation' status. I think they changed the name of what it is called now.

There is a movement to revoke that in Congress right now.
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
10733 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 5:12 am to

Crash the Chinese economy.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40299 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 5:37 am to
quote:

Then we blockade their blockade. Make it impossible for them to resupply their ships without passing through our own blockade.


How far do you think Taiwan is from the mainland? If China goes hot we’re not getting any ships near there.

The reality is that any engagement with China right now would cause the U.S. to enter into the Great Depression 2.0.

It would be extremely painful to endure and would require a world war to get out of, but at the end of it, it’d be for the better (if we actually win, and it doesn’t turn into all-out nuclear war).

We can’t sustain any losses to our navy whether it be damage, mission kills, or God forbid actually losing hulls. We don’t have the yards or capacity to rebuild or make repairs. Our missile stock is already heavily degraded. War planners were estimating that we’d go through our entire stock against China in eight days and the Iran war has shown that to likely be very accurate.

The truth, OP, is that China likely won’t have to fire a shot to get Taiwan. China in the next few decades will commit themselves to draining our resources worldwide with proxy conflicts and show countries like Taiwan that they can’t rely on the United States for protection.
Posted by Nosevens
Member since Apr 2019
19206 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 6:45 am to
Not having all our needs built in China or in the chips case Taiwan would be the smartest choice initially and permanently. After that I find it rather useless to go full throttle in a Chinese / Taiwan war. Having a secure North America & South American is more important for us and our neighbors. That said having the rest of Asia secure through trade and out of China’s hands would go a long way. China’s internal economy and political stability hinges on tackling the world resources, limiting it’s influence abroad disrupts internals
Posted by TigerAllNightLong
Member since Jul 2023
1139 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 7:24 am to
1) Destroy every critical supply chain into China 2) level Taiwan 3) invoke the War Powers Act and force the construction of fab plants.

It will hurt in the short term but it’s really the only option absent a direct attack on the mainland.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
22822 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 7:38 am to
Quit buying Chinese while US blockades China and two nuke subs patrol off of their coast.
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
11539 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 8:01 am to
quote:

So before it was built the world was devastated????


Holy shite you might be genuinely retarded.
Posted by Marquesa
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2020
1889 posts
Posted on 5/3/26 at 8:05 am to
I'd hope we'd use the laws suppporting the freedom of navigation to sail the Taiwan straight to see just how serious they are. If they attack, then all hell breaks loose. If they don't - then the blockade is finished.
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