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Marquesa
| Favorite team: | Auburn |
| Location: | Atlanta |
| Biography: | Nope! |
| Interests: | College Football and fishing |
| Occupation: | Sales |
| Number of Posts: | 1889 |
| Registered on: | 11/10/2020 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: Memphis is talking secession
Posted by Marquesa on 5/10/26 at 10:42 am to RollTide4Ever
Let them become independent and survive without Federal and State handouts. Hilarity will ensue.
quote:
Lower shrinkage. Just makes sense
The people causing the shrink are still going into the store.
No one will want to go out once the Government tells us there are Lizard people about.
Minnesota should be excluded from voting in Federal Elections until they perform basic maintenance of their voter rolls and follow all procedures to insure elecion integrity.
I'd hope we'd use the laws suppporting the freedom of navigation to sail the Taiwan straight to see just how serious they are. If they attack, then all hell breaks loose. If they don't - then the blockade is finished.
re: The increasing power of AI Compute
Posted by Marquesa on 5/3/26 at 8:04 am to TigerAxeOK
quote:
If you've read the Bible, believe its contents, accepted Christ into your heart and prepared for what is to come... then you're ready.
Unfortunately, most people have not, and are not ready.
The Bible fortells of people accepting a great delusion in the end times - the delusion and the actions they take based on it will seem right in their eyes - common sense. It also says the anti-christ will perform miracles and wonders.
I think AI in the future - you pick how soon - 10 years - 30 years, working with the massive power it has - literal electricity, and spaced based AI and power generation- will be able to create world wide visual spectacles. I don't know if this will be in the form of holograms, some sort of mind hack or a new technology we're not aware of yet - but I do see this as a potential future. Lord knows that a few million dollars in political ads can already delude have the country.
Priest believe in Catholicism. There is a difference.
quote:
But didn’t AI come up with this based upon what humans project AI to be? AI is still nothing without humans imo. Especially general use AI systems like Grok. Now I’m sure there’s some wicked AI systems that the public doesn’t have access to but still only good if humans use it.
AI can use logic and the available data (from humans) to make these projections. The point isn't that this is incredibly accurate, the point is that the increase is world changing. Even if the increase is 1/10th - then you're looking at a 15,000 fold increase in ten years. The world will be forever different - and no one knows what that will looklike.
The increasing power of AI Compute
Posted by Marquesa on 5/2/26 at 3:31 pm
I asked Grok to use 2024 as a baseline and give me the annual increase in AI compute for the next 10 years. There are caveats - natural restraints to growth such as available power, raw materials etc - but it's possible that through AI these constraints can be solved. Even if theses constraints slow the growth - the concept of half of this compute being available is mind bending. I don't think we're ready for the world this will bring...
Worldwide AI compute (primarily the stock of AI accelerators like GPUs/TPUs in H100-equivalents or equivalent FLOPs capacity) has grown extremely rapidly, at roughly 3.3–3.4× per year recently (doubling every ~7 months), according to Epoch AI data through 2025.
This measures the total deployed/installed base of AI-optimized hardware capacity worldwide, which best represents "compute power devoted to artificial intelligence." It includes both training and inference. Frontier training compute for the largest models has grown even faster historically (~4–5× per year), but the overall stock is the more relevant aggregate metric.
Projections (2025–2034, with 2024 as baseline = 1×)
These are illustrative projections based on continuing the recent ~3.3–3.4× annual growth rate from Epoch AI. Actual growth will likely vary and could slow due to power constraints, chip production limits, energy infrastructure, costs, and efficiency gains (though demand from inference and new models is expected to keep pressure high).
Many analyses project continued strong (though possibly decelerating) growth through 2030, with AI data center power demand and capacity potentially rising 5–10×+ in that period under high scenarios. I use a rounded 3.3× annual multiplier here for simplicity and consistency with recent empirical trends:
2024: 1× (baseline)
2025: ~3.3×
2026: ~11×
2027: ~36×
2028: ~119×
2029: ~393×
2030: ~1,300×
2031: ~4,300×
2032: ~14,000×
2033: ~46,000×
2034: ~152,000×
Cumulative growth to 2034 would be on the order of 100,000–200,000× under sustained exponential trends, though real-world physics (power, chips, data centers) will introduce bottlenecks and likely cause the rate to moderate, especially post-2030.
Worldwide AI compute (primarily the stock of AI accelerators like GPUs/TPUs in H100-equivalents or equivalent FLOPs capacity) has grown extremely rapidly, at roughly 3.3–3.4× per year recently (doubling every ~7 months), according to Epoch AI data through 2025.
This measures the total deployed/installed base of AI-optimized hardware capacity worldwide, which best represents "compute power devoted to artificial intelligence." It includes both training and inference. Frontier training compute for the largest models has grown even faster historically (~4–5× per year), but the overall stock is the more relevant aggregate metric.
Projections (2025–2034, with 2024 as baseline = 1×)
These are illustrative projections based on continuing the recent ~3.3–3.4× annual growth rate from Epoch AI. Actual growth will likely vary and could slow due to power constraints, chip production limits, energy infrastructure, costs, and efficiency gains (though demand from inference and new models is expected to keep pressure high).
Many analyses project continued strong (though possibly decelerating) growth through 2030, with AI data center power demand and capacity potentially rising 5–10×+ in that period under high scenarios. I use a rounded 3.3× annual multiplier here for simplicity and consistency with recent empirical trends:
2024: 1× (baseline)
2025: ~3.3×
2026: ~11×
2027: ~36×
2028: ~119×
2029: ~393×
2030: ~1,300×
2031: ~4,300×
2032: ~14,000×
2033: ~46,000×
2034: ~152,000×
Cumulative growth to 2034 would be on the order of 100,000–200,000× under sustained exponential trends, though real-world physics (power, chips, data centers) will introduce bottlenecks and likely cause the rate to moderate, especially post-2030.
re: Toyota Is Developing A Water Powered Car Engine
Posted by Marquesa on 5/2/26 at 12:45 pm to lake chuck fan
This isn't real
re: Footage of shooter running into building released
Posted by Marquesa on 4/25/26 at 9:52 pm to prplngldtigr
You'd think security camers would have better resolution by now.
Catholics don't believe in the Bible,they believe in Catholicism. And there is a difference.
re: Interesting fact about the US having Greenland
Posted by Marquesa on 4/19/26 at 5:14 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
This is at least a different spin on the "gotta have it so we can get mineral rights" debate that doesn't hold water.
That's the least analytical response anyone could have hoped for.
Interesting fact about the US having Greenland
Posted by Marquesa on 4/19/26 at 4:59 pm
as part of the US. There is an international game being played for who may extract resouces from the artic. The is a subterranian mountain ridge under the Artic, pretty much bisects the region. Russia, Canada, Denmark (via Greenland) and I think one more country are have bid with an international agency to include this mountain range as part of their "continental shelf". Having this mountain range in you continental shelf gives you vast rights to fishing and minerals - also rights to lay cable and pipelines and more. If the US could become the legal government responsible for Greenland, our non existant case (Alaska is too far away) would be much stronger. We're building a modern fleet of ice breakers to be more active in the region - but if Russia gains control - we won't have any rights other than passage through international waters. Trump is playing the long game. If in 50, 100 or 200 years, the ice is the Artic is less, then mineral and other rights could be a game changer in national wealth and power. I'm not a climate change alarmest - but global temperatures change for a lot of reasons - and it's better to have these rights vs your sworn enemy having them.
Fighting the current war and perhaps the next
Posted by Marquesa on 4/19/26 at 4:09 pm
The war in Ukraine brought forward how important small drones are on the modern battlefield. The US has the best conventional miliatary in the world, but we are often stymied by assymetric warfare. Iran is playing the same gme wtih speedboats, drones, mini subs and mines to keep the strats of hormuz closed. We have DARPA that does nothing but work on innovative ways to overcome our enemies. I think with these types of resources we should be able to develop and overcome most assymetric challenges. I don't have the answers, and if I did I'd want DARPA's funding in compensation. But couldn't we take out these speed boats easily through multiple methods. Why not have a low cost barge like ship that carried drones into the shipping lanes. It could autonomously launch, recover and recharge drones without putting any human life in danger. Sensor drones to find the fast boats and other military targets and armed drones to take them out. Alterntively, we used to have PT boats - certainly we have a drone version of PT Boats that could fight them toe to toe. Again, just spitballing here, but I don't think we should be held hostage by this near failed country. What do you guys think?
quote:
I’m confused because Trump told us they destroyed Iran’s potential nuclear capability last year. So what was the point of all this? A lot of Americans can’t afford groceries and rent, now gas has jumped. Midterms will be a bloodbath.
I have no idea what was or wasn't destroyed, but I suspect Iran will have a hard time enriching uranium for a bit. But apparently they have several hundred pounds that can be made into a bomb and are working furiously for the ability to make more (rebuild what was bombed).
This isn't hard. We have a group of religious fanactics working despeately to bring the Twelfth Imam to end the world as we know it. Bow down to Allah or lose your head.
re: Elon finally weighs in
Posted by Marquesa on 4/12/26 at 6:13 pm to Huge Richard
Frankly, I didn't folllow the logic at the link. WTF?
Jane - You lying slut. ~ Chevy Chase
In the midst of Oil Price Anxiety
Posted by Marquesa on 4/12/26 at 5:49 pm
Don't lose the perspective of a Nuclear Armed Iran. There is a price to pay for avoiding the end of the world. Adding a buck or more to the cost of a gallon of gas for a few months is well worth it. Perspective people, perspective. One more thing. Democrats are evil.
It would shield domestic fuel prices from the global shock being caused by the straits being closed, potentially force action from Great Britain, EU, Japan and China to open up the straits Just some possibilities. Totally not free market, but a reasonable theoritical discussion
What if Trump stopped the export of US Domestic Oil
Posted by Marquesa on 4/5/26 at 3:13 pm
Left the Strait of Hormuz for Europe and Asia to figure out. What sort of economic and political fallout would be expected?
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