re: I did a slightly deeper analyses on the presidential election. Trump wins 294-244.

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Do you think libertarians are going to vote for Kamala Harris?

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Libertarians are not voting for anyone that increases government spending. Which is 99% of Biden's policy. Especially now that democrats are not absorbing legalizing marijuana.

The L party could steal more democrats with the LGBTQURS first out the gate on their platform.

She had clothes on so that is an improvement.

LINK

I think Jill Stein hurt Hillary more so, no?

You did this to fit YOUR wanted outcome

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The L party could steal more democrats with the LGBTQURS first out the gate on their platform.

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I agree LGBTQ democrats might find Libertarians interesting, however if you are a modern democrat, human rights is the only thing attractive to the new democrat party voters

IMO

Democrats who vote for Libertarians = Economic Conservatives with liberal social views

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I'm assuming the the enthusiasm gap between Trump and Hillary in 2016 will be the same as 2020 between Trump and Biden and simply splitting mostly the Johnson and Stein vote in each state.

I hope the enthusiasm gap widens in favor of Trump but IDK how to model that. I guess I can figure it out but I'm not digging that deep because I just don't have the time. Additionally enthusiasm is fluid and changes day by day based on events.

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I know you’re thinking logically, but thinking logically in an insane time I don’t think is going to be as accurate as it is normally. Going downtown and seeing your city look like East Berlin, I think most people think “frick the people that did this”. They look at these ruined cities and businesses with horror, and unless they’re fricking insane they know that Trump is not responsible for this. It’s local officials.

And here’s something I think the Democrats have greatly underestimated: religious people. Religious people have been cut off from their communities and mercilessly ridiculed and suppressed since March. Bill De Blasio banned protests in May (which he can’t do) and then changed his mind on a protest he liked. Earlier this month he said he was going to ban mass gatherings and religious events, but when asked about mass BLM protests, he said that was different since those actually had meaning. That is one of the most offensive things I’ve ever heard, and I’m not even that religious. Who the frick are you, Bill De Blasio, to tell me where I get meaning in my life? How about the people that wanted to say goodbye to their mothers and wives in the hospital but weren’t allowed to do so? What about people who want to give their loved ones a funeral? No meaning in that, you fricking cocksucker? That is incredibly offensive even to hardcore atheists like Sam Harris.

And then there’s everyone being terrified of the Left, that they will come burn their homes down or get them fired from their jobs. These extremists that want this future are only like 15% of the country. The other 85% aren’t going to tolerate being fired over saying you shouldn’t chemically castrate a 10 year old.

And then there’s gun control. Biden has said he’s going to put fricking Beto in charge of his guns program. Kamala Harris has said she’d sign an unconstitutional executive order basically repealing the 2nd Amendment. When Biden himself correctly called her out on that being unconstitutional and that she couldn’t do that without a constitutional amendment, she enthusiastically and dictatorially says "I would just say, 'Hey Joe, instead of saying, 'No we can't' let's say, 'Yes we can,'”. Look how much gun sales have gone up since the pandemic. Rational Democrats now understand the importance of the 2nd Amendment. That rhetoric is not going to fly in this election cycle, nor an election cycle for the next two decades.

Things going back to normal will be the only thing on people’s minds going into November. Are Biden and Kamala going to do that? I’d say frick no. People have got to decide whether what is going on throughout the country is completely unacceptable (which is my bet) or if we surrender to terrorists and live our lives on eggshells from this day forward. I think people can see spoiled brats for who they are and will want to crush them in any way they can.

So I think you can throw out past logic when things weren’t so extreme and start thinking rational answers to extremely insane and horrifying questions. It’s logical insanity that has been thrust upon us. You intelligently defend your positions, but we’re for all intents and purposes in a civil war right now.

I do t think she's pulling anything because she isn't even remotely getting the attention Gary/Weld got in 2016 and Gary had way more of a name after running in 2012.

The silent majority always wins an election. I don't know who the majority is for this time, but it will determine the winner.

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So I think you can throw out past logic when things weren’t so extreme and start thinking rational answers to extremely insane and horrifying questions. It’s logical insanity that has been thrust upon us. You intelligently defend your positions, but we’re for all intents and purposes in a civil war right now.

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I can't disagree.

Trump is winning MN. They’ve had enough.