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re: How confident are you Trump will win?

Posted on 11/2/20 at 10:50 am to
Posted by Nurbis
Member since May 2020
1361 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 10:50 am to
No confidence one way or the other. I think Trump is by far the better candidate.

Considering policy issues like defunding police, reducing 2nd amendment rights, and reducing border security. I don't know how any rational person can vote for those policies.

Considering character issues like Biden selling access to his office as VP. Biden personally being hostile to voters for questioning his policies. Biden saying voters have no right to know his position on packing the courts. Biden being inappropriate with young girls and covering up his son's criminal actions. Biden having obvious indications of mental decline. How can any decent person vote for that?

I know who the better candidate is but I don't trust people in this country to vote sensibly. I can only hope there are enough people like me that have never felt compelled to vote before that feel compelled now. I have never felt before like a candidate was a real threat to freedom in this country the way I do about Biden/Harris and the current state of the Democrat party.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158844 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 10:50 am to
quote:

I wish I were as confident as you all. I know the polls were wrong in 2016 but why would they face the embarrassment of having it so wrong again 4 years later.
It blows my mind that people actually want to vote for Biden but I’m fully prepared for the worst.

ETA: The only thing giving me hope is to see ridiculous polling showing Georgia and Texas turning blue. That gives me reason to think these pollsters are completely deranged.


I’d say this is where I’m at
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68752 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 10:59 am to
Not confident. But, I wasn't confident in 2016 either.
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
41008 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:02 am to
More so today than I have been since pre-Covid.
Posted by Erin Go Bragh
Beyond the Pale
Member since Dec 2007
14916 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:02 am to
Donald Trump will win another four years in the white house tomorrow.

Hopefully bruce springsteen honors his promise to leave the USA and makes it a win/win on Tuesday.

Posted by angryslugs
Member since Apr 2008
10227 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:03 am to
100%
Posted by oliveandblue
Member since Nov 2014
1673 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:06 am to
70-30 Trump. I am scared to tell my housemates about what's likely gonna go down. It's gonna be UGLY in DC.

Biden has subzero traction in middle America.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73654 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am to
Our President has proven me wrong so many times. I have no choice but to trust him now.
Posted by AnyonebutSteelers
Austin, Texas
Member since Aug 2020
711 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am to
I would be confident if it weren't for the 2012 experience, where many conservatives predicted Romney landslide and the outcome was anything but.

2012 was, for me, what 2016 is to Democrats - a stunning gut-punching loss that you don't get over, and brings up bad worries each time.

I have learned not to trust anyone who predicts an easy Republican win in a tight race.
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
32909 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am to
About 30% due to Democratic frickery
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72421 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:09 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:00 pm
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73654 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:12 am to
quote:

I just don’t like how everyone on here sounds like Clinton’s supporters from 2016.


Clinton's supporters were reacting to the polls. Why would you even compare the two?
Posted by Burreaux09
Member since Jan 2020
665 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:12 am to
%100.
By a larger margin than 2016
Posted by September 1948
Member since Jun 2018
2133 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:19 am to
90%

There has never been this much positive energy for an incumbent that Trump enjoys and as much apathy towards his opponent.

Many thousands show up to see Trump and ten show up to see the sleepy dementia patient. Plus, body doubles who are found out and have to scurry out. Amazing!
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72421 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:19 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 10:59 pm
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23387 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:20 am to
60/40 Biden

Hopeful for a surprise
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73654 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:21 am to
quote:

It is somewhat comparable.


Not at all, man.
Posted by JackieTreehorn
Malibu
Member since Sep 2013
29291 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:24 am to
40%. I'd love to be wrong though.
Posted by Wolfhound45
Hanging with Chicken in Lurkistan
Member since Nov 2009
120000 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:25 am to
Very.
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18569 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:27 am to
quote:

I just don’t like how everyone on here sounds like Clinton’s supporters from 2016.



I agree.

But in 2012, Romney, a dry toast moron, was up against Obama, a political and historical heavy weight (like him or hate him).

This is a 78 year old geezer facing Trump. I do think the scenario is different.

But I’m still nervous. Too many Never Trumpers
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