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Started By
Message
Here’s how I know Trump will win
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:50 am
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:50 am
1. Go to this website LINK
2. You will see that you can play with the demographics to create your own scenario. If you only move Trumps support from blacks from 8% to 13% without changing anything else Trump has enough electoral votes to win.
3. Idk if anyone saw but the 66% of telemundo viewers said Trump won the debate. Trump has also been surging in the polls with Latinos. If you only adjust Latino voters, at what point does Trump win? With just 28% Trump loses, but once you get Trump to 44% he wins.
4. So what if the numbers aren’t that great but only slightly better than what NBC predicts? At what point with adjusting BOTH Latino and blacks would Trump win? Answer: Latino 30%, Black 11%
Trump has this.
2. You will see that you can play with the demographics to create your own scenario. If you only move Trumps support from blacks from 8% to 13% without changing anything else Trump has enough electoral votes to win.
3. Idk if anyone saw but the 66% of telemundo viewers said Trump won the debate. Trump has also been surging in the polls with Latinos. If you only adjust Latino voters, at what point does Trump win? With just 28% Trump loses, but once you get Trump to 44% he wins.
4. So what if the numbers aren’t that great but only slightly better than what NBC predicts? At what point with adjusting BOTH Latino and blacks would Trump win? Answer: Latino 30%, Black 11%
Trump has this.
This post was edited on 10/1/20 at 9:08 am
17
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:52 am to FlexDawg
Hispanics love Trump and we are coming in Nov
My prediction is Trump takes HI and NY
He will win Cali on election night but then the mail in starts
My prediction is Trump takes HI and NY
He will win Cali on election night but then the mail in starts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:53 am to FlexDawg
quote:
Trump has this.
Absent massive fraud.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:54 am to SDVTiger
quote:
My prediction is Trump takes HI and NY
He will win Cali on election night but then the mail in starts
sorry....but no
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:54 am to SDVTiger
Speaking of Telemundo.... wonder how they were able to translate that crazy debate from English to Spanish. That would have been interesting to watch.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:55 am to SDVTiger
Lol at HI, no American has a chance to win in HI. They hate the RePub.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:56 am to George Dickel
quote:
Speaking of Telemundo.... wonder how they were able to translate that crazy debate from English to Spanish. That would have been interesting to watch.
I imagine the interpreter and the sign language person for Biden get together and get drunk every night.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:56 am to FlexDawg
It does seem youre gaining black anx latin votes but youre losing white and elderly voters. At best its a wash for you but in reality its not even that.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:57 am to FlexDawg
That is a cool site that is fun to tinker with.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:57 am to Dogwalk
Have you been to Hawaii within the last 4yrs?
How many people do you chat with daily from the Island?
How many people do you chat with daily from the Island?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:58 am to Buckeye Jeaux
quote:
Absent massive fraud.
In my mind this is the only possible way he loses at this point. I believe that if this election was actually devoid of any corruption that Trump would win 40-45 states and the GOP would easily control both the house and the senate. Unfortunately the corruption will probably prevent most of that from happening.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 8:59 am to LSU2019
quote:
losing white and elderly voters
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:00 am to FlexDawg
Will Trump see an increase in black support nationally? Yes I think so.
I think it's largely irrelevant though. The election is local. A handful of counties and precincts are all that matters.
Whether legitimate or fraudulent I guarantee you Biden is going to see the customary 98% black support in the only places that matter.
Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Minneapolis, Milwaukee, Detroit, among a few other places. These places are run by Democrat machines and they will deliver their numbers one way or another.
Bookmark this.
It won't matter that Trump saw increases in New Orleans or Birmingham or Memphis. No one cares.
I think it's largely irrelevant though. The election is local. A handful of counties and precincts are all that matters.
Whether legitimate or fraudulent I guarantee you Biden is going to see the customary 98% black support in the only places that matter.
Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Minneapolis, Milwaukee, Detroit, among a few other places. These places are run by Democrat machines and they will deliver their numbers one way or another.
Bookmark this.
It won't matter that Trump saw increases in New Orleans or Birmingham or Memphis. No one cares.
This post was edited on 10/1/20 at 9:03 am
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:02 am to BuzzSaw 12
quote:
I believe that if this election was actually devoid of any corruption that Trump would win 40-45 states
Do you seriously think this?
Is a state like Oregon or New Jersey, which Trump would win if he took 40 states, really only blue because of fraud?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:03 am to LSU2019
quote:
It does seem youre gaining black anx latin votes but youre losing white and elderly voters. At best its a wash for you but in reality its not even that.
Lol no. Also college student voting will be down this year so that’s another thing to consider.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:03 am to SDVTiger
quote:
My prediction is Trump takes HI and NY
He will win Cali on election night but then the mail in starts
NFW man. those states are FAR left. if by some miracle u are right we will see a mass level of suicides making jonestown look like child's play
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:04 am to Buckeye Jeaux
quote:
Absent massive fraud.
There will be some fraud but massive fraud is detectable and therefore not going to be possible.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:06 am to SDVTiger
If he wins HI and New York...... actually either or..... my faith in humanity is restored.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:06 am to Tiger985
quote:
Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Minneapolis, Milwaukee, Detroit, among a few other places. These places are run by Democrat machines and they will deliver their numbers one way or another.
Bookmark this.
It won't matter that Trump saw increases in New Orleans or Birmingham or Memphis. No one cares.
I don’t know about this. If there’s a shift in the black vote toward Trump a bit I suspect it’ll be fairly evenly distributed among black Americans. Haven’t seen any evidence that the shift is disproportionately among souther black people over northern black people.
A shift of 10% toward the GOP among black men alone could decide an ultra close state like PA.
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