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re: Has there been "regime change" in Iran?

Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:33 am to
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138552 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:33 am to
quote:

Has there been "regime change" in Iran?
Who is the "Supreme Leader"?
Posted by canyon
MM23
Member since Dec 2003
22166 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:33 am to
Ok I’ll give you that a “complete” regime change has not happened. Only one half as the old leadership is gone and they now await replacement. More than likely it will look like the last.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
63505 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:33 am to
quote:

Knight of Old


So what is your definition?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97732 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:33 am to
quote:

Because you usually just immediately pivot to whatever helps you praise Trump?


That makes sense
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
96770 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:34 am to
quote:

it's like people on this board assume 90% of the population wants regime change.


Yea, nevermind the thousands upon thousands of US Iranians who fled a tyrannical regime or the thousands of Persian marches.

Those baws are licking their chops waiting to capture some IRGC's. It will be worse than anything the regime has done to them. They are just waiting for the bat signal.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476092 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:34 am to
quote:

Who is the "Supreme Leader"?


Someone part of the regime.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476092 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:36 am to
quote:

Yea, nevermind the thousands upon thousands of US Iranians who fled a tyrannical regime or the thousands of Persian marches.

Those baws are licking their chops waiting to capture some IRGC's. It will be worse than anything the regime has done to them. They are just waiting for the bat signal.


A. You cite thousands and ignore the millions in Iran who support the regime

B. The behavior you reference is why the 1979 revolution happened and why Iran will devolve into sectarian violence if the regime falls. Muslims love killing Muslims for revenge. Absolute joy for those people.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Top 1% On Onlyfans
Member since Dec 2008
52384 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:37 am to
Tends of millions of Iranians don't want regime change and want their theocracy. The notion that almost all the Iranian citizenry want their government overthrown by foreign forces is a farce peddled by propagandists.

The idea that the Shah's son would ever be welcomed back in Iran as leader, as has been often pushed on Fox News, is complete fantasy.

What's fascinating is how we've been fricking with Iran (and the Middle East overall) for many, many decades now. We propped up the corrupt, hated Shah that led to an Islamic revolution. Then we propped up Saddam and helped him invade Iran and kick off an 8 year war. Then, like what usually happens, we have to fight the scumbag that we propped up so we then we go to war against Iraq. Twice.

We've been fricking around in the Middle East for over 50 years now.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
90356 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:37 am to
quote:

A. You cite thousands and ignore the millions in Iran who support the regime



Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91331 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:38 am to
quote:

It never occurs to some people that our bombing may actually have the opposite of the intended effect -- rallying the people around the regime against us.
That would make ending them as a country much easier, no?
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55257 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:39 am to
quote:

As of about 7am, CST, on April 2, 2026, has there been "regime change" in Iran following the US going to war with Iran?

YES!




And NO!
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28043 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:40 am to
quote:

Those baws are licking their chops waiting to capture some IRGC's. It will be worse than anything the regime has done to them. They are just waiting for the bat signal.


Time will tell. It doesn't sound like the admin is confident about the predictions you're making.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91331 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:40 am to
quote:

What was wrong with people making those responses?

They were in direct response to people sarcastically asking “why aren’t the Iranians out in the streets taking the country back literally right this very second?”

I contend those questions were much more retarded than the response. I can’t find a whole lot wrong with the response, tbo.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173419 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:41 am to
quote:

That would make ending them as a country much easier, no?

I'm not exactly sure how you propose to "end" a country of 90 million people.

It appears we miscalculated and overestimated the desire of the people to overthrow the regime
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
82217 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:41 am to
quote:

What if it was only 100,000 people out of 90 million?


This is my question.

We see real Iranians in interviews and actions who clearly are against the current leadership, but are the one's we see representative of only a tiny minority that are being amplified by media?

Given the media's track record of distorting reality, the odds are pretty high.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68121 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:41 am to
Uh, I'm not sure. But, that goes to the point SFP and others have been saying about the pivot. I think Trump legitimately thought the opening strike would lead to a quick toppling of the government. Since that didn't happen, he doesn't seem to know what to do other than possibly level the country. I guess we could create a failed state there, that may be what Israel wants.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55257 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:42 am to
I think your definition is unfair to Trump, and it is inaccurate. If the Iranian Republican guard stays in power, however, it no longer funds, terrorism, pursues nuclear weapons, or builds, a giant missile system, then that is regime change.

What you described in your definition is not just regime change, it is nation building.
This post was edited on 4/2/26 at 7:43 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476092 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:48 am to
quote:

(scare quotes should always induce cringes and eye rolls)


"scare quotes"?

The quotations are used to signify a term has multiple/malleable meanings, which is the central part of this thread/discussion (the changing terminology of "regime change")

quote:

here’s what’s typical, you stipulating terms only favorable to your argument as if they were gospel

How do you display a conceptual/rhetorical pivot without showing the usage prior to that pivot?

quote:

dude, there’s literally a crossroad of history in this region that extends over 2,000 years

And none of that history matters for this discussion, because the regime being discussed rose to power in 1979

There is no relevance or significance discussing the structures of the Achaemenid Empire or Safavid Empire.

Update: there has 100% been regime change from those regimes. That is not in dispute.

quote:

More framing opinion as fact, mixed in is some sort of prescient mind-reading that, again, I’m just supposed to accept as absolute

Or you know taking a stance and defending it.

quote:

Not even once has this administration documented the strategic goals of this military action to include regime change; not even once…

Irrelevant to the discussion (A JBird special)
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
90356 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:49 am to
quote:

Irrelevant to the discussion (A JBird special)

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476092 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 7:49 am to
Iran has 90M people, give or take.

If only a third support the regime, that's about 30M people.
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