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Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:45 am
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:45 am
Supposedly this guy has developed the brow 13 keys that predicts the Presidential elections.
He still claims Biden wins. But looking at his own 13 keys, I’m not seeing MashPotatus winning many of these keys at all.
Daily meal
He still claims Biden wins. But looking at his own 13 keys, I’m not seeing MashPotatus winning many of these keys at all.
quote:
Lichtman's '13 Keys' Party mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. Contest:
There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Incumbency:
The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Third party:
There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
Policy change: The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national he
Daily meal
45
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:51 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
He still claims Biden wins.
Nominating Trump made this an option. This election should be a slam dunk for Republicans but won't be because Trump. And when it comes down to the same 5 or 6 swing states as it did in 2016 and 2020 you will just scream 'fraud' 'cheating' 'rigged' etc. and pretend in make believe land that Trump is some super liked candidate when the actual truth is his approval numbers are almost as bad as Biden's.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:52 am to ronricks
So which Republican would have beaten JB?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:53 am to Covingtontiger77
Biden might have two of those in his favor and the dude still chose Biden?
He must know what’s up with all this nail and vote stealing.
He must know what’s up with all this nail and vote stealing.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:54 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 7:55 am
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:55 am to SDVTiger
quote:
So which Republican would have beaten JB?
Not Trump who lost to Biden last time
Trump is already 0-1 vs the worst (or second worst after Trump) President in history.
The idea that no other Republican could beat Biden but Trump is the very definition of TDS. Trump's approval rating are as awful as Biden's are. There is a reason for that. Nominating Trump for a re-match is insanity and TDS to the one hundredth power by his cult.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:56 am to Covingtontiger77
Never heard of this clown
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:57 am to ronricks
quote:
you will just scream 'fraud' 'cheating' 'rigged' etc
We're going to have another fake election, of course.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:57 am to ronricks
quote:
Nominating Trump made this an option. This election should be a slam dunk for Republicans but won't be because Trump. And when it comes down to the same 5 or 6 swing states as it did in 2016 and 2020 you will just scream 'fraud' 'cheating' 'rigged' etc. and pretend in make believe land that Trump is some super liked candidate when the actual truth is his approval numbers are almost as bad as Biden's.
Well said.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:57 am to ronricks
quote:
Not Trump who lost to Biden last time
This is the 100th time you have repeated this. We get it
quote:
The idea that no other Republican could beat Biden
Which republican speficially could beat him?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:58 am to Covingtontiger77
Trump lost to Brandon as an incumbent, now people think he can win when Brandon is the incumbent?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:58 am to Covingtontiger77
You can’t objectively look at those bullet points and claim Biden will win. You either know there will be massive fraud or you are part of the massive fraud. Which one?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:59 am to Covingtontiger77
Winning if easy when you cheat
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:59 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Which republican speficially could beat him?
Expect crickets
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:00 am to Covingtontiger77
If Biden even makes it to the election.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:00 am to SDVTiger
quote:
So which Republican would beat Biden?
Probably any of them not named Trump.
I hope I’m wrong
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:02 am to Covingtontiger77
Considering how much fraud and error takes place in elections, his predictions don't really seem credible. Also, how late in the game did he pick Trump in 2016? My recollection is that no one had him winning except maybe Bill Still, who famously pointed to some polls crossing just days prior to the election, putting Trump even or ahead.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:03 am to geauxbrown
quote:
Probably any of them not named Trump.
So you are the type of person that thinks Chris Cristie would beat JB
No wonder you are ok with executing dogs for no reason
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:03 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS
He missed 2020.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:05 am to Damone
quote:
Trump lost to Brandon as an incumbent, now people think he can win when Brandon is the incumbent?
That should be easier based on the track record. Everyone paying attention to actual things that effect their personal lives can see that their dollar isn't going as far under Biden and has steadily/drastically gotten worse, noticeably worse, even after trumps botch job with covid.
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